NASDAQ$CWST

Casella Waste Systems Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Casella's first quarter financial results exceeded expectations due to strong operating execution, cost efficiencies and disciplined cash flow management.

Casella Waste Systems reported a revenue increase of 3.6% to $189.5 million, with net income up by 349.5% to $4.3 million. The company raised its Adjusted EBITDA, net cash provided by operating activities, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance ranges, and reaffirmed its revenue and net income guidance ranges for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2021.

  • Revenues were $189.5 million, up 3.6% from the same period in 2020.
  • Net income was $4.3 million, up 349.5% from the same period in 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $38.8 million, up 15.9% from the same period in 2020.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities was $32.1 million, up 117.3% from the same period in 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$190M

Previous: $183M+3.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.05+80.0%
Solid Waste Price Growth

3.4%

Previous: 5.8%-41.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$26.8M

Previous: -$19.9M-35.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$22.5M

Previous: -$18.9M-19.2%
Net Income

$4.31M

Previous: $959K+349.5%
Operating Income

$12M

Previous: $7.01M+71.3%
Gross Profit

$62.4M

Previous: $54.4M+14.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$153M

Previous: $26.2M+481.8%
Total Assets

$1.19B

Previous: $958M+24.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.94M

Previous: $1.56M+88.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Casella · Revenue · Quarterly

$190M

Q1 2021+3.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Casella · $137M total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Collection
    $97.5M+3.1%
  • Disposal
    $37.9M-2.0%
  • Solid Waste Processing
    $1.48M+32.4%

Forward guidance

The Company raised guidance for fiscal year 2021 by estimating Adjusted EBITDA between $185 million and $189 million, Net cash provided by operating activities between $150 million and $154 million, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow between $76 million and $80 million. And, the Company reaffirmed guidance for fiscal year 2021 by estimating Revenues between $815 million and $830 million; and Net income between $33 million and $37 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA between $185 million and $189 million (raised from $184 million and $188 million).
  • Net cash provided by operating activities between $150 million and $154 million (raised from $149 million and $153 million).
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow between $76 million and $80 million (raised from $75 million and $79 million).
  • Revenues between $815 million and $830 million.
  • Net income between $33 million and $37 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

36 / 59 earnings

Positive

+27.5%

Q1 2010

Best reaction

-7.6%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+9.7%+6.7%+3.7%
Q4 2025-5.8%-12.0%-23.3%
Q3 2025+7.1%+8.6%+16.4%
Q1 2025-0.7%+2.5%-0.1%
Q4 2024+0.1%+7.8%+0.7%
Q3 2024-4.4%-2.9%+10.5%
Q2 2024+1.8%-1.5%+4.2%
Q1 2024-5.2%-4.8%+5.0%
Q4 2023-0.1%-1.4%+4.5%
Q3 2023+4.1%+5.7%+10.8%
Q2 2023-4.7%-2.4%-4.5%
Q1 2023+2.8%+3.4%+6.7%
Q4 2022-4.4%-4.9%-1.9%
Q3 2022+3.9%+6.8%+10.3%
Q2 2022+6.2%+7.0%+7.7%
Q1 2022-5.6%-11.9%-16.4%
Q4 2021+1.0%-4.1%+17.2%
Q3 2021+4.6%+5.1%+3.3%
Q2 2021+6.1%+7.4%+13.1%
Q1 2021+0.7%+0.6%+1.1%
Q4 2020+1.6%+0.3%+7.6%
Q3 2020-3.0%+0.3%+7.2%
Q2 2020+0.3%+2.1%+5.6%
Q1 2020+7.0%+6.4%+13.8%
Q4 2019-2.5%-3.3%-26.0%
Q3 2019-0.9%-1.2%+9.7%
Q2 2019+3.8%+2.9%+4.4%
Q1 2019+0.5%+0.6%+3.1%
Q4 2018+0.4%-0.7%-0.4%
Q3 2018-7.6%-4.8%+0.3%
Q2 2018+1.3%+2.4%+1.4%
Q1 2018+7.7%+0.2%-4.7%
Q4 2017-2.2%-5.4%-8.0%
Q3 2017+12.0%+6.7%+14.2%
Q2 2017-7.2%-5.3%+0.9%
Q1 2017-0.6%-1.1%-1.6%
Q4 2016+10.2%+12.1%+20.8%
Q3 2016+3.1%+6.1%+20.1%
Q2 2016+4.3%+5.5%+2.7%
Q1 2016+0.4%
Q4 2015+2.5%
Q3 2015-0.5%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015+0.0%
Q1 2014-1.2%
Q3 2013-2.0%
Q2 2014-1.3%
Q2 2013+6.5%
Q1 2013+5.9%
Q4 2012+8.3%
Q2 2012+8.3%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q2 2011-2.1%
Q1 2012+4.5%
Q1 2011-0.6%
Q4 2010+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.8%
Q1 2010+27.5%
Q4 2009+2.5%

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