NASDAQ$CVCO

Cavco Industries Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cavco's financial performance reflected growth in net revenue and a decrease in backlog, amidst a shifting market influenced by rising interest rates and economic uncertainty.

Cavco Industries reported a 16.0% increase in net revenue to $501 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2023, compared to $432 million in the prior year. Income before income taxes increased by 29% to $76 million. Net income per diluted share was $6.66, compared to $8.57 in the prior year, which included a favorable benefit from energy efficient home tax credits. Backlogs decreased to $427 million. The company also completed the acquisition of Solitaire Homes subsequent to the quarter end.

  • Net revenue increased by 16.0% to $501 million compared to the prior year.
  • Income before income taxes rose by 29% to $76 million.
  • Net income per diluted share was $6.66, down from $8.57 in the prior year due to a one-time tax benefit in the prior year.
  • Backlogs decreased to $427 million, reflecting lower home order rates.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$501M

Previous: $432M+16.0%
EPS (adj)

$6.66

Previous: $5.34+24.7%
Factory-built modules sold

7.5K

Previous: 7.6K-1.3%
Factory-built homes sold

4.4K

Previous: 4.4K+0.4%
Backlog

$427M

Previous: $1.1B-61.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$40.9M

Previous: -$8.94M-357.0%
Free Cash Flow

$18.7M

Previous: $70.5M-73.5%
Net Income

$59.5M

Previous: $79.4M-25.1%
Operating Income

$73.1M

Previous: $54.9M+33.1%
Gross Profit

$132M

Previous: $115M+14.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$376M

Previous: $267M+40.7%
Total Assets

$1.26B

Previous: $1.11B+13.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.33M

Previous: $1.04M+27.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Cavco · Revenue · Quarterly

$501M

Q3 2023+16%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cavco · $501M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Factory-built housing
    $481M+16.3%
  • Financial services
    $19.4M+7.1%

Forward guidance

Cavco remains focused on providing quality affordable homes and is well-positioned for growth, leveraging a strong balance sheet and the recent acquisition of Solitaire Homes.

Tailwinds

  • The team continues to deliver outstanding performance.
  • Manufacturing and retail operators are staying nimble and tightly managing margins.
  • The balance sheet remains strong with over $280 million in cash after the acquisition of Solitaire Homes.
  • The company remains focused on providing quality affordable homes.
  • The company is well-positioned to continue growing and helping more families achieve the dream of home ownership.

Headwinds

  • Rising interest rates.
  • High inflation.
  • Uncertainty in the general economy.
  • The market has clearly shifted over the past few quarters.
  • Order rates are down from the extreme highs of 2020-2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.9%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

37 / 63 earnings

Positive

+18.0%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026
Q3 2026-20.3%-18.1%-6.5%
Q2 2026+6.4%+11.1%+18.2%
Q1 2026+4.9%+11.7%+31.4%
Q4 2025-5.4%-12.9%-20.4%
Q3 2025+6.7%+12.0%+10.0%
Q2 2025+7.9%+10.6%+24.3%
Q1 2025-7.6%-12.3%-0.3%
Q4 2024-1.7%-1.3%+1.1%
Q3 2024+3.4%+6.3%+14.2%
Q2 2024+9.0%+5.5%+17.4%
Q1 2024+1.3%+3.9%-0.6%
Q4 2023-6.1%-4.3%-6.6%
Q3 2023-0.5%+5.6%+6.6%
Q2 2023-1.1%+3.8%+17.8%
Q1 2023+9.2%+9.9%-11.1%
Q4 2022+4.4%+5.9%-5.3%
Q3 2022+6.0%+7.2%-1.4%
Q2 2022+3.2%+13.8%+19.3%
Q1 2022+4.0%+5.6%+5.8%
Q4 2021+4.0%+5.0%+4.3%
Q3 2021+3.6%+12.1%+15.9%
Q2 2021-1.5%+10.5%+7.3%
Q1 2021+4.0%+7.2%+0.7%
Q4 2020+9.8%+1.9%-1.6%
Q3 2020+2.8%+3.1%-7.5%
Q2 2020-4.8%-3.9%-2.1%
Q1 2020+8.0%+8.1%+11.2%
Q4 2019+17.5%+13.5%+19.1%
Q3 2019-17.1%-13.9%-22.0%
Q2 2019-23.5%-22.2%-30.4%
Q1 2019+5.0%+6.8%+16.0%
Q4 2018+10.2%+19.4%+12.5%
Q3 2018+18.0%+10.9%+20.1%
Q2 2018-3.8%-5.0%-5.1%
Q1 2018+2.5%-7.1%-1.5%
Q4 2017+11.2%+11.5%+11.8%
Q3 2017+10.6%+14.3%+20.0%
Q2 2017+3.6%+4.7%+12.2%
Q1 2017-0.8%+2.6%+6.4%
Q4 2016+5.6%+4.7%-6.2%
Q3 2016+5.9%
Q2 2016+17.9%
Q1 2016-0.5%
Q4 2015+1.7%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+0.1%
Q1 2015-2.6%
Q4 2014+6.6%
Q3 2014+5.3%
Q2 2014-5.5%
Q1 2014+5.3%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013-4.0%
Q1 2013-3.4%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2012-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q2 2012-3.5%
Q4 2011-12.1%
Q2 2011-12.1%
Q1 2012-12.1%
Q1 2011-12.1%

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