NASDAQ$CVCO

Cavco Industries Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cavco's financial performance declined in Q3 2024 due to lower home sales volume and prices, though orders improved and strategic investments continued.

Cavco Industries reported a decrease in net revenue and net income for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024, with net revenue at $447 million, down 10.8% year-over-year, and net income per diluted share at $4.27, compared to $6.66 in the prior year. Despite the declines, orders written this quarter were the highest in the last six quarters, and the company announced a new $100 million stock repurchase program.

  • Net revenue decreased by 10.8% to $447 million compared to the prior year.
  • Net income per diluted share fell to $4.27 from $6.66 in the same quarter last year.
  • Backlogs totaled $160 million, with modules in backlog growing 3% from the previous quarter.
  • A new $100 million stock repurchase program was announced, increasing the total available for repurchase to $139 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$447M

Previous: $501M-10.8%
EPS

$4.27

Previous: $6.66-35.9%
Factory-built modules sold

6.8K

Previous: 7.5K-9.8%
Factory-built homes sold

4.2K

Previous: 4.4K-6.3%
Backlog

$160M

Previous: $427M-62.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$13.2M

Previous: -$40.9M+67.6%
Free Cash Flow

$22.8M

Previous: $18.7M+21.8%
Net Income

$36M

Previous: $59.5M-39.5%
Operating Income

$39.7M

Previous: $73.1M-45.6%
Gross Profit

$103M

Previous: $132M-21.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$353M

Previous: $376M-6.2%
Total Assets

$1.33B

Previous: $1.26B+4.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.71M

Previous: $1.33M+28.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Cavco · Revenue · Quarterly

$447M

Q3 2024-10.8%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cavco · $550M total across 2 segments · Q4 2026

  • Factory-Built Housing
    $528M
  • Financial Services
    $22.1M

Forward guidance

Cavco's management expressed optimism about future performance, citing improved order rates and strategic investments in affordable housing solutions. However, they also acknowledged potential risks related to economic conditions and regulatory factors.

Tailwinds

  • Orders written this quarter were the highest in the last six quarters.
  • Dealer orders continue to improve.
  • Manufacturing and retail operations have executed well through the downturn.
  • Company is focused on the underlying critical need for quality, affordable homes.
  • New Anthem series is the first nationally available HUD-approved manufactured duplex.

Headwinds

  • Return of community orders still lies ahead.
  • Impact of local or national emergencies including the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Labor shortages and the pricing and availability of transportation or raw materials.
  • Cyclical and seasonal nature of our business.
  • General deterioration in economic conditions and turmoil in the financial markets.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.9%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

37 / 63 earnings

Positive

+18.0%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-23.5%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026
Q3 2026-20.3%-18.1%-6.5%
Q2 2026+6.4%+11.1%+18.2%
Q1 2026+4.9%+11.7%+31.4%
Q4 2025-5.4%-12.9%-20.4%
Q3 2025+6.7%+12.0%+10.0%
Q2 2025+7.9%+10.6%+24.3%
Q1 2025-7.6%-12.3%-0.3%
Q4 2024-1.7%-1.3%+1.1%
Q3 2024+3.4%+6.3%+14.2%
Q2 2024+9.0%+5.5%+17.4%
Q1 2024+1.3%+3.9%-0.6%
Q4 2023-6.1%-4.3%-6.6%
Q3 2023-0.5%+5.6%+6.6%
Q2 2023-1.1%+3.8%+17.8%
Q1 2023+9.2%+9.9%-11.1%
Q4 2022+4.4%+5.9%-5.3%
Q3 2022+6.0%+7.2%-1.4%
Q2 2022+3.2%+13.8%+19.3%
Q1 2022+4.0%+5.6%+5.8%
Q4 2021+4.0%+5.0%+4.3%
Q3 2021+3.6%+12.1%+15.9%
Q2 2021-1.5%+10.5%+7.3%
Q1 2021+4.0%+7.2%+0.7%
Q4 2020+9.8%+1.9%-1.6%
Q3 2020+2.8%+3.1%-7.5%
Q2 2020-4.8%-3.9%-2.1%
Q1 2020+8.0%+8.1%+11.2%
Q4 2019+17.5%+13.5%+19.1%
Q3 2019-17.1%-13.9%-22.0%
Q2 2019-23.5%-22.2%-30.4%
Q1 2019+5.0%+6.8%+16.0%
Q4 2018+10.2%+19.4%+12.5%
Q3 2018+18.0%+10.9%+20.1%
Q2 2018-3.8%-5.0%-5.1%
Q1 2018+2.5%-7.1%-1.5%
Q4 2017+11.2%+11.5%+11.8%
Q3 2017+10.6%+14.3%+20.0%
Q2 2017+3.6%+4.7%+12.2%
Q1 2017-0.8%+2.6%+6.4%
Q4 2016+5.6%+4.7%-6.2%
Q3 2016+5.9%
Q2 2016+17.9%
Q1 2016-0.5%
Q4 2015+1.7%
Q3 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015+0.1%
Q1 2015-2.6%
Q4 2014+6.6%
Q3 2014+5.3%
Q2 2014-5.5%
Q1 2014+5.3%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013-4.0%
Q1 2013-3.4%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2012-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q2 2012-3.5%
Q4 2011-12.1%
Q2 2011-12.1%
Q1 2012-12.1%
Q1 2011-12.1%

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