NASDAQ$CLNE

Clean Energy Fuels Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Clean Energy reported revenue increase and growth in RNG deliveries despite headwinds.

Clean Energy Fuels Corp. announced strong Q4 2022 results with revenue of $113.8 million, up from $91.9 million in Q4 2021. The company sold 54.4 million RNG gallons, a 21% increase year-over-year. Despite challenges from lower environmental credit prices and high natural gas prices, the company is well-funded for 2023 growth.

  • Revenue increased to $113.8 million, up from $91.9 million year-over-year.
  • RNG sales volume increased by 21% to 54.4 million gallons.
  • GAAP net loss was $(12.3) million, or $(0.06) per share.
  • The company addressed near-term capital needs with a $150 million debt raise.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$114M

Previous: $91.9M+23.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.01

Previous: $0.03-66.7%
Capital Expenditures

$15.4M

Previous: $2.88M+436.0%
Free Cash Flow

$19.6M

Previous: $5.58M+251.0%
Net Income

-$12.6M

Previous: -$2.4M-423.5%
Operating Income

-$11.1M

Previous: -$6.1M-82.9%
Gross Profit

$17.4M

Previous: $18.5M-5.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$124M

Previous: $99.4M+24.6%
Total Assets

$1.08B

Previous: $957M+13.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.79M

Previous: $4.77M+21.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Clean Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$114M

Q4 2022+23.7%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Clean Energy · $6M total across 1 segment · Q2 2022

  • Station Construction Sales
    $6M-1.6%

Forward guidance

Clean Energy Fuels provided its 2023 outlook, expecting a GAAP net loss between $(105) million and $(115) million, and an Adjusted EBITDA between $50 million and $60 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA for 2023 is estimated to range from approximately $50 million to $60 million.
  • Expectations exclude the impact of any acquisitions, divestitures, new joint ventures, transactions or other extraordinary events
  • Expectations exclude any lingering negative effects associated directly or indirectly with the COVID-19 pandemic, including macroeconomic conditions and global supply chain issues.
  • Expectations regarding 2023 Adjusted EBITDA assumes the calculation of this non-GAAP financial measure in the same manner as described above and adding back the estimated Amazon warrant charges described above
  • Expectations regarding 2023 Adjusted EBITDA exclude adjustments for any other items that may arise during 2023 that management deems appropriate to exclude.

Headwinds

  • GAAP net loss for 2023 is expected to range from approximately $(105) million to $(115) million
  • Assumes no unrealized gains or losses on commodity swap and customer contracts relating to the Company’s Zero Now truck financing program
  • Includes Amazon warrant charges estimated to range from $60 million to $70 million.
  • Changes in diesel and natural gas market conditions resulting in unrealized gains or losses on the Company’s commodity swap and customer fueling contracts relating to the Company’s Zero Now truck financing program could significantly affect the Company’s estimated GAAP net loss for 2023.
  • Significant variations in the vesting by Amazon of the Amazon warrant could significantly affect the Company’s estimated GAAP net loss for 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+31.5%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.3%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.7%-8.5%-13.8%
Q4 2025-6.7%-9.8%+2.0%
Q3 2025-15.9%-15.5%-17.6%
Q1 2025-6.0%+13.5%+6.4%
Q4 2024-25.5%-24.7%-35.8%
Q3 2024+5.2%+0.0%-10.6%
Q2 2024+19.8%+13.7%+7.3%
Q1 2024+5.1%+16.5%+24.1%
Q4 2023-1.4%+2.0%-9.5%
Q3 2023-6.1%-1.7%-2.2%
Q2 2023-7.5%-8.2%-2.9%
Q1 2023+3.8%+1.4%+3.0%
Q4 2022-15.3%-12.9%-23.9%
Q3 2022+2.2%+13.3%-16.6%
Q2 2022+17.9%+19.3%-3.0%
Q1 2022-18.3%-32.8%-10.0%
Q4 2021+15.6%+23.6%+31.8%
Q3 2021-8.7%-0.3%-32.6%
Q2 2021+8.9%+18.5%+14.6%
Q1 2021-16.2%-18.9%-11.6%
Q4 2020+26.9%+38.8%+22.3%
Q3 2020-1.2%+11.4%+75.1%
Q2 2020+4.6%-1.8%-9.2%
Q1 2020+4.7%+3.0%+18.4%
Q4 2019-26.3%-11.7%+4.5%
Q3 2019-6.7%-6.7%-11.2%
Q2 2019-9.8%-16.4%-20.7%
Q1 2019-4.8%-8.1%-18.1%
Q4 2018+31.5%+22.1%+47.3%
Q3 2018+11.9%+0.4%-10.6%
Q2 2018-10.5%-1.8%-2.2%
Q1 2018+2.6%+7.3%+56.0%
Q4 2017-1.4%+8.2%+14.4%
Q3 2017-14.7%-14.1%-7.9%
Q2 2017-9.1%-10.9%-7.9%
Q1 2017+2.9%+4.1%+1.7%
Q4 2016-4.1%-3.7%-5.9%
Q3 2016-16.6%-12.0%-14.6%
Q2 2016+17.5%+20.6%+61.9%
Q1 2016+13.3%
Q4 2015+7.3%
Q3 2015-9.4%
Q2 2015-11.8%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014+14.5%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014+9.2%
Q4 2013-13.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013+2.5%
Q1 2013-4.8%
Q4 2012+3.0%
Q3 2012+8.6%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q1 2012-2.9%
Q4 2009-7.0%
Q4 2011-7.0%
Q3 2011-3.5%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q1 2011-1.8%
Q1 2010-17.9%

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