NASDAQ$CLNE

Clean Energy Fuels Corp · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Clean Energy's first quarter results were announced, revealing a decrease in revenue and gallons delivered compared to the same period last year, but progress was made in RNG fuel agreements and supply expansion.

Clean Energy Fuels Corp. reported a decrease in revenue to $77.1 million and a net loss of $7.2 million for the first quarter of 2021. The company delivered 92.4 million gallons, a 7% decrease year-over-year, although RNG gallons increased by 3%. The company highlighted a fuel agreement with Amazon and joint ventures to expand RNG supply.

  • Clean Energy reported a revenue of $77.1 million, a 10.3% decrease compared to Q1 2020.
  • The company delivered 92.4 million gallons, a 7% decrease from Q1 2020, impacted by COVID-19.
  • RNG gallons delivered increased 3% compared to the first quarter of 2020.
  • Net loss attributable to Clean Energy was $(7.2) million, or $(0.04) per share, compared to a net income of $1.7 million, or $0.01 per share in Q1 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$77.1M

Previous: $86M-10.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.01

Previous: -$0.01+0.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$11.7M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$3.33M

Previous: -$3.66M+9.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$10.5M

Previous: -$1.95M-437.2%
Net Income

-$7.17M

Previous: $1.7M-520.7%
Operating Income

-$6.43M

Previous: $2.49M-358.8%
Gross Profit

$100K

Previous: $100K+0.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$117M

Previous: $69.5M+67.9%
Total Assets

$728M

Previous: $764M-4.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.37M

Previous: $1.05M+219.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Clean Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$77.1M

Q1 2021-10.3%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Clean Energy · $9M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • AFTC
    $4.5M
  • Station Construction Sales
    $4.5M

Forward guidance

Clean Energy Fuels provided its outlook for 2021, expecting a GAAP net loss of approximately $76 million, which includes non-cash contra revenue charges related to the Amazon Warrant. Adjusted EBITDA for 2021 is projected to range from $60 million to $62 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA for 2021 is expected to range from $60 million to $62 million.
  • Expects to see improvements as the economy and commerce continues to gradually open up.
  • Strategy to make Clean Energy synonymous with RNG took a big leap forward with the announcement of fuel agreement with Amazon.
  • Continuing to make great progress on expanding our supply of RNG by formalizing joint ventures with Total and bp.

Headwinds

  • GAAP net loss for 2021 is expected to be approximately $(76) million.
  • Assumes a prolonged effect and a flatter recovery curve from the COVID-19 pandemic through the middle of 2021.
  • Changes in diesel and natural gas market conditions resulting in unrealized gains or losses on the Company’s commodity swap contracts could significantly affect the Company’s estimated GAAP net income (loss) for 2021.
  • Expectations also exclude the impact of any acquisitions, divestitures, new joint ventures, transactions or other extraordinary events including a deterioration in, slower or lack of any recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+31.5%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.3%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.7%-8.5%-13.8%
Q4 2025-6.7%-9.8%+2.0%
Q3 2025-15.9%-15.5%-17.6%
Q1 2025-6.0%+13.5%+6.4%
Q4 2024-25.5%-24.7%-35.8%
Q3 2024+5.2%+0.0%-10.6%
Q2 2024+19.8%+13.7%+7.3%
Q1 2024+5.1%+16.5%+24.1%
Q4 2023-1.4%+2.0%-9.5%
Q3 2023-6.1%-1.7%-2.2%
Q2 2023-7.5%-8.2%-2.9%
Q1 2023+3.8%+1.4%+3.0%
Q4 2022-15.3%-12.9%-23.9%
Q3 2022+2.2%+13.3%-16.6%
Q2 2022+17.9%+19.3%-3.0%
Q1 2022-18.3%-32.8%-10.0%
Q4 2021+15.6%+23.6%+31.8%
Q3 2021-8.7%-0.3%-32.6%
Q2 2021+8.9%+18.5%+14.6%
Q1 2021-16.2%-18.9%-11.6%
Q4 2020+26.9%+38.8%+22.3%
Q3 2020-1.2%+11.4%+75.1%
Q2 2020+4.6%-1.8%-9.2%
Q1 2020+4.7%+3.0%+18.4%
Q4 2019-26.3%-11.7%+4.5%
Q3 2019-6.7%-6.7%-11.2%
Q2 2019-9.8%-16.4%-20.7%
Q1 2019-4.8%-8.1%-18.1%
Q4 2018+31.5%+22.1%+47.3%
Q3 2018+11.9%+0.4%-10.6%
Q2 2018-10.5%-1.8%-2.2%
Q1 2018+2.6%+7.3%+56.0%
Q4 2017-1.4%+8.2%+14.4%
Q3 2017-14.7%-14.1%-7.9%
Q2 2017-9.1%-10.9%-7.9%
Q1 2017+2.9%+4.1%+1.7%
Q4 2016-4.1%-3.7%-5.9%
Q3 2016-16.6%-12.0%-14.6%
Q2 2016+17.5%+20.6%+61.9%
Q1 2016+13.3%
Q4 2015+7.3%
Q3 2015-9.4%
Q2 2015-11.8%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014+14.5%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014+9.2%
Q4 2013-13.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013+2.5%
Q1 2013-4.8%
Q4 2012+3.0%
Q3 2012+8.6%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q1 2012-2.9%
Q4 2009-7.0%
Q4 2011-7.0%
Q3 2011-3.5%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q1 2011-1.8%
Q1 2010-17.9%

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