NASDAQ$CLNE

Clean Energy Fuels Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Clean Energy's Q4 2020 earnings were impacted by decreased revenue and net loss, primarily due to the effects of COVID-19 and changes in AFTC.

Clean Energy reported a decrease in revenue and a net loss for Q4 2020. Revenue decreased by 37.3% compared to Q4 2019, mainly due to lower AFTC and the impact of COVID-19. The company delivered 96.0 million gallons, a 7% decrease from the previous year. Net loss attributable to Clean Energy was $(2.6) million, or $(0.01) per share.

  • Delivered 96.0 million gallons, a 7% decrease year-over-year, impacted by COVID-19.
  • Revenue was $75.0 million, a 37.3% decrease compared to the prior year, due to lower AFTC and COVID-19.
  • Net loss attributable to Clean Energy was $(2.6) million, or $(0.01) per share.
  • Non-GAAP loss per share was $(0.00) and Adjusted EBITDA was $13.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$75M

Previous: $120M-37.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.02

Previous: $0.21-109.5%
Capital Expenditures

$3.29M

Previous: $14.8M-77.8%
Free Cash Flow

$4.63M

Previous: -$7.16M+164.7%
Net Income

-$2.6M

Previous: $41.1M-106.3%
Operating Income

-$2.37M

Previous: $34.8M-106.8%
Gross Profit

$14.4M

Previous: $51.6M-72.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$109M

Previous: $49.2M+121.5%
Total Assets

$715M

Previous: $777M-8.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$435K

Previous: $824K-47.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Clean Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$75M

Q4 2020-37.3%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Clean Energy · $12.1M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Station Construction Sales
    $7.1M
  • AFTC
    $5M

Forward guidance

Clean Energy expects GAAP net income to be approximately breakeven for 2021 and Adjusted EBITDA to range from $60 million to $62 million.

Tailwinds

  • GAAP net income (loss) for 2021 is expected to be approximately breakeven
  • Adjusted EBITDA for 2021 is expected to range from $60 million to $62 million

Headwinds

  • Assumes no unrealized gains or losses on commodity swap and customer contracts
  • Contemplates a prolonged effect and more flattened recovery curve from the COVID-19 pandemic through the middle of 2021
  • Expectations exclude the impact of any acquisitions, divestitures, new joint ventures, transactions or other extraordinary events including a deterioration in, slower or lack of any recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Expectations regarding 2021 Adjusted EBITDA assumes the calculation of this non-GAAP financial measure in the same manner as described above and without adjustments for any other items that may arise during 2021 and that management deems appropriate to exclude.
  • Changes in diesel and natural gas market conditions resulting in unrealized gains or losses on the Company’s commodity swap contracts could significantly impact the Company’s estimated GAAP net income for 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+31.5%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.3%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.7%-8.5%-13.8%
Q4 2025-6.7%-9.8%+2.0%
Q3 2025-15.9%-15.5%-17.6%
Q1 2025-6.0%+13.5%+6.4%
Q4 2024-25.5%-24.7%-35.8%
Q3 2024+5.2%+0.0%-10.6%
Q2 2024+19.8%+13.7%+7.3%
Q1 2024+5.1%+16.5%+24.1%
Q4 2023-1.4%+2.0%-9.5%
Q3 2023-6.1%-1.7%-2.2%
Q2 2023-7.5%-8.2%-2.9%
Q1 2023+3.8%+1.4%+3.0%
Q4 2022-15.3%-12.9%-23.9%
Q3 2022+2.2%+13.3%-16.6%
Q2 2022+17.9%+19.3%-3.0%
Q1 2022-18.3%-32.8%-10.0%
Q4 2021+15.6%+23.6%+31.8%
Q3 2021-8.7%-0.3%-32.6%
Q2 2021+8.9%+18.5%+14.6%
Q1 2021-16.2%-18.9%-11.6%
Q4 2020+26.9%+38.8%+22.3%
Q3 2020-1.2%+11.4%+75.1%
Q2 2020+4.6%-1.8%-9.2%
Q1 2020+4.7%+3.0%+18.4%
Q4 2019-26.3%-11.7%+4.5%
Q3 2019-6.7%-6.7%-11.2%
Q2 2019-9.8%-16.4%-20.7%
Q1 2019-4.8%-8.1%-18.1%
Q4 2018+31.5%+22.1%+47.3%
Q3 2018+11.9%+0.4%-10.6%
Q2 2018-10.5%-1.8%-2.2%
Q1 2018+2.6%+7.3%+56.0%
Q4 2017-1.4%+8.2%+14.4%
Q3 2017-14.7%-14.1%-7.9%
Q2 2017-9.1%-10.9%-7.9%
Q1 2017+2.9%+4.1%+1.7%
Q4 2016-4.1%-3.7%-5.9%
Q3 2016-16.6%-12.0%-14.6%
Q2 2016+17.5%+20.6%+61.9%
Q1 2016+13.3%
Q4 2015+7.3%
Q3 2015-9.4%
Q2 2015-11.8%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014+14.5%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014+9.2%
Q4 2013-13.1%
Q3 2013+3.7%
Q2 2013+2.5%
Q1 2013-4.8%
Q4 2012+3.0%
Q3 2012+8.6%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q1 2012-2.9%
Q4 2009-7.0%
Q4 2011-7.0%
Q3 2011-3.5%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q1 2011-1.8%
Q1 2010-17.9%

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