NASDAQ$CGNX

Cognex Corp · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cognex experienced a decline in revenue and net income due to lower capacity expansion projects from e-commerce customers and macroeconomic softness.

Cognex reported a decrease in revenue by 29% and a decrease in net income by 62% compared to Q1 2022. The company's largest e-commerce customers continued to absorb excess capacity, and factory automation customers were cautious with capital investment. However, the company launched new products and made strides for long-term growth.

  • Revenue decreased by 29% year-over-year due to lower capacity expansion projects from e-commerce customers and macroeconomic softness.
  • Gross margin was 71%, slightly below the target due to high-priced inventory.
  • RD&E expenses increased by 7% due to personnel-related costs.
  • The effective tax rate was 2%, or 16% excluding discrete tax items.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$201M

Previous: $282M-28.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.13

Previous: $0.42-69.0%
Gross Margin

71.0%

Previous: 72.0%-1.4%
Effective Tax Rate (GAAP)

2.0%

Previous: 23.0%-91.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.51M

Previous: -$4.59M-20.1%
Free Cash Flow

$20.1M

Previous: $62.7M-68.0%
Net Income

$25.6M

Previous: $67.3M-62.0%
Operating Income

$22.2M

Previous: $86.7M-74.4%
Gross Profit

$144M

Previous: $204M-29.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$164M

Previous: $794M-79.3%
Total Assets

$1.97B

Previous: $1.93B+2.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Cognex · Revenue · Quarterly

$201M

Q1 2023-28.8%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Cognex expects Q2 2023 revenue to be between $225 million and $245 million, with gross margin in the mid-70% range and operating expenses increasing by low-single digits.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to increase sequentially due to the normal timing of annual revenue from consumer electronics.
  • Revenue is expected to increase sequentially due to an expected pick-up in activity in China.
  • Gross margin for Q2-23 is expected to be in the company’s mid-70% long-term target range, an increase from 71% in Q1-23.
  • Move beyond the elevated costs from premium broker buys.
  • Expect a more favorable revenue mix.

Headwinds

  • The decline year-on-year is due to the expected continuation of lower revenue from logistics.
  • The decline year-on-year is due to cautiousness in capital spending by our customers.
  • Operating expenses are expected to increase by low-single digits on a sequential basis.
  • Investments in the company’s Emerging Customer initiative will be partially offset by lower stock-based compensation.
  • The effective tax rate is expected to be 16%, excluding discrete tax items.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+36.3%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-22.7%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.8%+5.5%-2.4%
Q4 2025+36.3%+32.7%+11.5%
Q3 2025-12.9%-15.7%-19.7%
Q1 2025+1.9%+1.9%+9.8%
Q4 2024-13.6%-15.8%-19.7%
Q3 2024-0.9%+0.6%-1.5%
Q2 2024-20.0%-24.6%-17.4%
Q1 2024+7.0%+12.1%+11.2%
Q4 2023+5.5%+9.1%+12.6%
Q3 2023-0.5%+3.8%+7.9%
Q2 2023-3.2%-4.4%-6.9%
Q1 2023+4.8%+4.6%+20.1%
Q4 2022-14.6%-16.2%-13.7%
Q3 2022+7.7%+9.8%+18.8%
Q2 2022-8.1%-5.1%-15.9%
Q1 2022-20.2%-28.1%-29.4%
Q4 2021+2.5%+0.5%+11.7%
Q3 2021-12.8%-8.2%-17.0%
Q2 2021-4.4%-5.5%-1.9%
Q1 2021-2.9%-6.3%-0.5%
Q4 2020+6.4%+2.4%-8.2%
Q3 2020+1.4%+1.4%+11.7%
Q2 2020+2.1%+3.5%+5.8%
Q1 2020+14.4%+7.4%+29.4%
Q4 2019-2.0%-7.2%-18.7%
Q3 2019-1.0%-0.2%-0.9%
Q2 2019+9.4%-0.3%+2.8%
Q1 2019-8.2%-10.8%-24.1%
Q4 2018+2.8%+4.3%+10.1%
Q3 2018+1.8%+12.9%+3.3%
Q2 2018+15.6%+15.8%+16.3%
Q1 2018-0.2%+2.1%+0.4%
Q4 2017-3.9%-2.8%-4.7%
Q3 2017-1.8%+6.0%+8.3%
Q2 2017+11.1%+5.8%+14.0%
Q1 2017+5.7%+5.5%+7.2%
Q4 2016+9.3%+9.7%+15.4%
Q3 2016+0.2%-1.4%+16.0%
Q2 2016+8.3%+9.5%+10.2%
Q1 2016+15.8%
Q4 2015+6.1%
Q3 2015-9.6%
Q2 2015-22.7%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014+8.3%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+13.6%
Q1 2014-0.2%
Q4 2013-7.3%
Q3 2013+5.9%
Q2 2013+4.9%
Q1 2013+5.9%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+2.4%
Q2 2012+4.2%
Q1 2012+4.6%
Q4 2011-4.7%
Q3 2011-0.8%
Q2 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+15.7%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010-7.3%
Q4 2008-7.3%
Q3 2009+10.5%
Q3 2010+10.5%
Q2 2009+8.6%
Q4 2009+8.6%
Q2 2010+8.6%

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