NASDAQ$CGNX

Cognex Corp · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong results, exceeding expectations with the second-highest quarterly revenue, net income, and EPS in company history and significant operating margin expansion.

Cognex reported very good results for Q3 2020, exceeding expectations with strong revenue growth driven by large customer deployments in consumer electronics and e-commerce logistics. The company achieved the second-highest quarterly revenue, net income, and earnings per share in its history, along with significant operating margin expansion.

  • Revenue increased by 37% from Q3-19 and 48% from Q2-20, driven by large-customer deployments in consumer electronics and strong performance in e-commerce logistics.
  • Gross margin was 76% for Q3-20, up from 74% in Q3-19 and 70% in Q2-20, due to favorable product mix and cost efficiencies.
  • Operating margin reached 38% in Q3-20, compared to 24% a year ago, due to leverage in the business model.
  • Cognex's financial position remained strong with approximately $1 billion in cash and investments and no debt.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$251M

Previous: $183M+37.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.47

Previous: $0.23+104.3%
Gross Margin

76.0%

Previous: 74.0%+2.7%
Operating Margin

38.0%

Previous: 24.0%+58.3%
Effective Tax Rate (GAAP)

14.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$9.83M

Previous: -$13.5M+27.3%
Free Cash Flow

$77.7M

Previous: $28.2M+175.8%
Net Income

$87.5M

Previous: $41.7M+109.9%
Operating Income

$96.6M

Previous: $43.1M+124.3%
Gross Profit

$191M

Previous: $136M+41.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.01B

Previous: $122M+732.4%
Total Assets

$2.06B

Previous: $1.39B+48.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.4M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Cognex · Revenue · Quarterly

$251M

Q3 2020+37%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Cognex expects Q4 2020 revenue to be between $190 million and $210 million, with gross margin in the mid-70% range. Operating expenses are expected to increase by mid-single digits over Q3-20 and decrease from Q4-19. The effective tax rate is expected to be 18%, excluding discrete tax items.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth over Q4-19 is expected due to higher revenue from consumer electronics and e-commerce logistics.
  • Operating expenses are expected to decrease from Q4-19.
  • The company expects to record a discrete tax benefit of more than $12 million.
  • Continued repurchase shares of its common stock pursuant to its existing stock repurchase program
  • Revenue from automotive and the broader factory automation market improved on a sequential basis

Headwinds

  • Revenue is expected to decline from Q3-20 due to the timing of revenue from customers in the consumer electronics industry.
  • Gross margin is expected to be lower than the gross margin reported for Q3-20.
  • Operating expenses are expected to increase by mid-single digits over Q3-20.
  • Heightened global uncertainty
  • Timing of revenue from customers in the consumer electronics industry, which was highly concentrated in Q3

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+36.3%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-22.7%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.8%+5.5%-2.4%
Q4 2025+36.3%+32.7%+11.5%
Q3 2025-12.9%-15.7%-19.7%
Q1 2025+1.9%+1.9%+9.8%
Q4 2024-13.6%-15.8%-19.7%
Q3 2024-0.9%+0.6%-1.5%
Q2 2024-20.0%-24.6%-17.4%
Q1 2024+7.0%+12.1%+11.2%
Q4 2023+5.5%+9.1%+12.6%
Q3 2023-0.5%+3.8%+7.9%
Q2 2023-3.2%-4.4%-6.9%
Q1 2023+4.8%+4.6%+20.1%
Q4 2022-14.6%-16.2%-13.7%
Q3 2022+7.7%+9.8%+18.8%
Q2 2022-8.1%-5.1%-15.9%
Q1 2022-20.2%-28.1%-29.4%
Q4 2021+2.5%+0.5%+11.7%
Q3 2021-12.8%-8.2%-17.0%
Q2 2021-4.4%-5.5%-1.9%
Q1 2021-2.9%-6.3%-0.5%
Q4 2020+6.4%+2.4%-8.2%
Q3 2020+1.4%+1.4%+11.7%
Q2 2020+2.1%+3.5%+5.8%
Q1 2020+14.4%+7.4%+29.4%
Q4 2019-2.0%-7.2%-18.7%
Q3 2019-1.0%-0.2%-0.9%
Q2 2019+9.4%-0.3%+2.8%
Q1 2019-8.2%-10.8%-24.1%
Q4 2018+2.8%+4.3%+10.1%
Q3 2018+1.8%+12.9%+3.3%
Q2 2018+15.6%+15.8%+16.3%
Q1 2018-0.2%+2.1%+0.4%
Q4 2017-3.9%-2.8%-4.7%
Q3 2017-1.8%+6.0%+8.3%
Q2 2017+11.1%+5.8%+14.0%
Q1 2017+5.7%+5.5%+7.2%
Q4 2016+9.3%+9.7%+15.4%
Q3 2016+0.2%-1.4%+16.0%
Q2 2016+8.3%+9.5%+10.2%
Q1 2016+15.8%
Q4 2015+6.1%
Q3 2015-9.6%
Q2 2015-22.7%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014+8.3%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+13.6%
Q1 2014-0.2%
Q4 2013-7.3%
Q3 2013+5.9%
Q2 2013+4.9%
Q1 2013+5.9%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012+2.4%
Q2 2012+4.2%
Q1 2012+4.6%
Q4 2011-4.7%
Q3 2011-0.8%
Q2 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+15.7%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q4 2010-7.3%
Q4 2008-7.3%
Q3 2009+10.5%
Q3 2010+10.5%
Q2 2009+8.6%
Q4 2009+8.6%
Q2 2010+8.6%

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