NASDAQ$AXGN

Axogen Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid performance with revenue increase and strategic advancements.

Axogen reported an 18.7% increase in revenue for the fourth quarter, driven by growth in both emergent trauma and scheduled non-trauma procedures. The company is focused on expanding its leadership in nerve repair with the upcoming launch of Avive+ Soft Tissue Matrix and is progressing towards BLA submission for potential approval in mid-2025.

  • Fourth quarter revenue increased by 18.7% year-over-year, reaching $42.9 million.
  • Emergent trauma procedures and scheduled non-trauma procedures each represented approximately half of total revenues.
  • Gross margin was 78.7% for the quarter.
  • Net loss for the quarter was $3.9 million, or $0.09 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$42.9M

Previous: $36.2M+18.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.06

Previous: -$0.03-100.0%
Gross Margin

78.7%

Previous: 83.0%-5.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$600K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.78M

Previous: $6.62M-126.8%
Net Income

-$3.9M

Previous: -$5.4M+27.8%
Operating Income

-$21.5M

Previous: -$29.7M+27.8%
Gross Profit

$128M

Previous: $114M+11.7%
R&D Expense

$7.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$1.33M

Previous: $4.15M-68.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Axogen · Revenue · Quarterly

$42.9M

Q4 2023+18.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Axogen expects revenue to be in the range of $177 million to $181 million, representing an annual growth rate of approximately 11% to 14%. The company anticipates gross margin for the full year to be in the range of 76% to 79%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth expected between 11% and 14%.
  • Penetrating core accounts by leveraging clinical evidence.
  • Expanding use cases with new products and applications.
  • Expanding leadership position in nerve repair with the 2024 Q2 launch of Avive+ Sofit Tissue Matrix.
  • Rolling submission process with FDA aligned.

Headwinds

  • Potential impacts from global supply chain issues.
  • Hospital staffing issues may create headwinds.
  • Product development and regulatory approvals are subject to risk.
  • Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East may cause business disruption.
  • Management transitions may create potential disruption.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+39.1%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-27.3%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.6%+9.9%+2.6%
Q4 2025-6.6%-10.3%-8.8%
Q3 2025+22.8%+28.6%+58.5%
Q1 2025-23.2%-33.6%-33.4%
Q4 2024+11.7%+11.1%+5.4%
Q3 2024-17.4%-13.4%-2.7%
Q2 2024+39.1%+42.2%+64.4%
Q1 2024-11.7%-11.1%+4.1%
Q4 2023-14.4%-17.4%-26.7%
Q3 2023+37.4%+27.7%+88.8%
Q2 2023-20.8%-27.9%-27.0%
Q1 2023-1.8%-4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2022+11.6%+9.2%+37.8%
Q3 2022+19.0%+21.4%+0.6%
Q2 2022+2.1%+1.2%-10.7%
Q1 2022+23.4%+17.7%+16.8%
Q4 2021+8.0%+27.1%+6.2%
Q3 2021-13.3%-6.0%-37.3%
Q2 2021-2.5%-9.5%-12.5%
Q1 2021+14.9%+13.3%-1.2%
Q4 2020+3.6%+7.0%-7.7%
Q3 2020+3.4%+10.4%+18.0%
Q2 2020+0.3%-2.3%-1.7%
Q1 2020-14.7%-9.6%+10.9%
Q4 2019-17.6%-15.8%-36.3%
Q3 2019+12.4%+13.3%+23.8%
Q2 2019-27.3%-21.8%-5.5%
Q1 2019-2.1%-5.4%-15.7%
Q4 2018+1.6%+6.7%+13.4%
Q3 2018+9.3%+12.8%-1.3%
Q2 2018-12.6%-13.1%-2.4%
Q1 2018-5.1%+5.2%+14.2%
Q4 2017+8.8%+4.5%+17.0%
Q3 2017+10.7%+15.3%+28.5%
Q2 2017-4.8%-6.4%+14.7%
Q1 2017+3.3%+3.7%+25.6%
Q4 2016-0.5%-0.5%-5.2%
Q3 2016-1.7%-10.9%-7.4%
Q2 2016+25.1%+26.2%+32.9%
Q1 2016-0.4%
Q4 2015-4.7%
Q3 2015+17.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014+5.5%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2014+1.6%
Q4 2013-8.5%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013-14.7%
Q4 2012+4.5%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012+18.2%
Q1 2012+0.3%
Q4 2011-4.5%
Q3 2011-14.8%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010-6.8%
Q3 2010+9.7%
Q1 2010-0.3%

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