NASDAQ$AXGN

Axogen Inc. · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter financial results, demonstrating revenue growth and strategic progress.

Axogen reported a 12% increase in revenue to $41.3 million for the third quarter of 2023, driven by both emergent trauma and scheduled non-trauma procedures. The company is maintaining its full-year 2023 revenue guidance in the range of $154 million to $159 million.

  • Revenue increased by approximately 12% compared to the third quarter of 2022, reaching $41.3 million.
  • Revenues from emergent trauma procedures grew in the mid-single digit range, representing approximately half of total revenues.
  • Revenues from scheduled non-trauma procedures grew approximately 20%, also representing approximately half of total revenues.
  • The company is continuing to expand its offering in the nerve protection market with the national launch of Axoguard HA+ Nerve Protector™ in August, and expects to launch Avive+ Soft Tissue Matrix™ in Q1 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$41.3M

Previous: $37M+11.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.01

Previous: -$0.01+200.0%
Gross Margin

80.5%

Previous: 83.3%-3.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$2.4M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$12.4M

Previous: -$13.5M+7.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.5M

Previous: -$17.8M+7.2%
Net Income

-$4.09M

Previous: -$4.32M+5.3%
Operating Income

-$4.03M

Previous: -$4.86M+17.1%
Gross Profit

$33.2M

Previous: $30.8M+7.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$31.1M

Previous: $14.3M+117.2%
Total Assets

$195M

Previous: $196M-0.5%
R&D Expense

$6.99M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$4.75M

Previous: $3.85M+23.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Axogen · Revenue · Quarterly

$41.3M

Q3 2023+11.7%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management is maintaining full-year 2023 revenue guidance in the range of $154 million to $159 million, which represents annual growth of 11% - 15%. The Company anticipates that gross margin will be reduced with the continued transition to the new processing facility in the fourth quarter and continues to expect that gross margin for the full year 2023 will be approximately 80%.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year 2023 revenue guidance maintained in the range of $154 million to $159 million.
  • Revenue guidance represents annual growth of 11% - 15%.
  • Focused on clinical data strength.
  • Focused on innovation.
  • Focused on market development.

Headwinds

  • Gross margin will be reduced with the continued transition to the new processing facility in the fourth quarter
  • Continued impact of COVID-19.
  • Global supply chain issues.
  • Record inflation.
  • Hospital staffing issues.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+39.1%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-27.3%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.6%+9.9%+2.6%
Q4 2025-6.6%-10.3%-8.8%
Q3 2025+22.8%+28.6%+58.5%
Q1 2025-23.2%-33.6%-33.4%
Q4 2024+11.7%+11.1%+5.4%
Q3 2024-17.4%-13.4%-2.7%
Q2 2024+39.1%+42.2%+64.4%
Q1 2024-11.7%-11.1%+4.1%
Q4 2023-14.4%-17.4%-26.7%
Q3 2023+37.4%+27.7%+88.8%
Q2 2023-20.8%-27.9%-27.0%
Q1 2023-1.8%-4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2022+11.6%+9.2%+37.8%
Q3 2022+19.0%+21.4%+0.6%
Q2 2022+2.1%+1.2%-10.7%
Q1 2022+23.4%+17.7%+16.8%
Q4 2021+8.0%+27.1%+6.2%
Q3 2021-13.3%-6.0%-37.3%
Q2 2021-2.5%-9.5%-12.5%
Q1 2021+14.9%+13.3%-1.2%
Q4 2020+3.6%+7.0%-7.7%
Q3 2020+3.4%+10.4%+18.0%
Q2 2020+0.3%-2.3%-1.7%
Q1 2020-14.7%-9.6%+10.9%
Q4 2019-17.6%-15.8%-36.3%
Q3 2019+12.4%+13.3%+23.8%
Q2 2019-27.3%-21.8%-5.5%
Q1 2019-2.1%-5.4%-15.7%
Q4 2018+1.6%+6.7%+13.4%
Q3 2018+9.3%+12.8%-1.3%
Q2 2018-12.6%-13.1%-2.4%
Q1 2018-5.1%+5.2%+14.2%
Q4 2017+8.8%+4.5%+17.0%
Q3 2017+10.7%+15.3%+28.5%
Q2 2017-4.8%-6.4%+14.7%
Q1 2017+3.3%+3.7%+25.6%
Q4 2016-0.5%-0.5%-5.2%
Q3 2016-1.7%-10.9%-7.4%
Q2 2016+25.1%+26.2%+32.9%
Q1 2016-0.4%
Q4 2015-4.7%
Q3 2015+17.3%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015+3.1%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014+5.5%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q1 2014+1.6%
Q4 2013-8.5%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013-14.7%
Q4 2012+4.5%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012+18.2%
Q1 2012+0.3%
Q4 2011-4.5%
Q3 2011-14.8%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010-6.8%
Q3 2010+9.7%
Q1 2010-0.3%

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