NASDAQ$ASLE

AerSale Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2020.

AerSale Corporation reported a fourth-quarter revenue of $49.4 million and a GAAP net income of $0.6 million. The revenue was adversely impacted by COVID-19, but this was partially offset by stronger aircraft storage volume and related aircraft maintenance work.

  • Fourth quarter revenue was $49.4 million, impacted by COVID-19 on commercial customers.
  • GAAP net income for the fourth quarter was $0.6 million.
  • TechOps revenue increased 41% due to increased storage demand from groundings.
  • Gross margin remained consistent with the fourth quarter of 2019 at 26.6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$49.4M

Previous: $304M-83.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.01

Previous: -$516.98+100.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$3.3M

Previous: $23.8M-86.1%
Gross Margin

26.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$543K

Previous: $1.65M-67.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$12M

Previous: -$2.3M-422.9%
Net Income

$600K

Previous: $1.51M-60.2%
Operating Income

-$26K

Previous: $14.4M-100.2%
Gross Profit

$13.1M

Previous: $32.2M-59.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$29.3M

Previous: $17.5M+67.5%
Total Assets

$389M

Previous: $344M+13.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.04M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

AerSale · Revenue · Quarterly

$49.4M

Q4 2020-83.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 5 of 9 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

AerSale · $49.4M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Technical Operations
    $32M
  • Asset Management Solutions
    $17.4M-82.3%

Forward guidance

AerSale expects revenue of $340–$360 million and adjusted EBITDA of $60-$70 million in 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Increase in activity in the Company’s AMS segment
  • Strong demand for its on-airport MRO services
  • Accelerating demand in cargo and E-Commerce markets
  • Increased requests for passenger to freighter conversions and other TechOps products and services.
  • Main growth driver of the Asset Management segment is expected to be the monetization of the Boeing 757 feedstock acquisition in 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-4.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

12 / 28 earnings

Positive

+16.5%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-24.5%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-10.9%-12.0%-13.5%
Q4 2025-11.7%-12.0%-15.7%
Q3 2025-11.9%-14.4%-5.2%
Q1 2025-12.7%-13.4%-17.2%
Q4 2024+16.5%+15.6%-4.0%
Q3 2024-7.7%-5.4%+4.0%
Q2 2024-9.7%-12.5%-14.9%
Q1 2024+10.0%+4.7%-6.4%
Q4 2023-24.0%-22.0%-23.0%
Q3 2023-13.1%-12.4%-3.4%
Q2 2023-24.5%-24.1%+7.7%
Q1 2023-4.0%-4.4%-7.4%
Q4 2022-15.1%-19.7%-19.2%
Q3 2022-7.3%-4.8%-15.0%
Q2 2022+11.2%+13.0%+18.9%
Q1 2022-2.0%-1.4%+4.6%
Q4 2021+2.5%+11.0%+6.2%
Q3 2021-19.2%-17.6%-16.8%
Q2 2021+4.1%+18.8%+22.7%
Q1 2021-2.0%-3.5%-2.3%
Q4 2020+16.3%+25.5%+25.4%
Q3 2020+2.1%+8.2%+17.9%
Q2 2020+0.7%-0.3%-0.6%
Q1 2020+0.0%+0.0%+1.4%
Q4 2019+0.2%+0.0%-1.0%
Q4 2018+0.2%+0.0%-1.0%
Q2 2019-0.7%-1.0%-1.4%
Q1 2019+0.0%+0.2%+0.3%

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