NASDAQ$ASLE

AerSale Corporation · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reports lower quarterly revenue and earnings due to timing of flight equipment sales.

AerSale Corporation reported a decrease in revenue for Q3 2022 to $51.0 million compared to $73.3 million in Q3 2021, with a GAAP net loss of $9.0 million versus a net loss of $1.6 million in the prior year period. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance for revenue between $420 - $450 million and adjusted EBITDA between $80 - $90 million.

  • Third quarter revenue was $51.0 million, compared to $73.3 million in the prior year period.
  • Third-quarter GAAP net loss was $9.0 million versus GAAP net loss of $1.6 million in prior year period.
  • Adjusted Net Loss was $1.9 million in the third quarter, versus Adjusted Net Income of $9.2 million in prior year period.
  • Third quarter Adjusted EBITDA was $(0.5) million compared to Adjusted EBITDA of $13.9 million in the prior year period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$51M

Previous: $73.3M-30.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.03

Previous: $0.22-113.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

-$496K

Previous: $13.9M-103.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.94M

Previous: -$1.06M-554.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$15.9M

Previous: -$2.7M-491.5%
Net Income

-$9.01M

Previous: -$1.64M-450.9%
Operating Income

-$8.49M

Previous: $1.83M-564.4%
Gross Profit

$15.5M

Previous: $24.6M-37.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$151M

Previous: $61.9M+144.7%
Total Assets

$510M

Previous: $440M+15.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.36M

Previous: $8.75M-50.2%

Revenue & EPS history

AerSale · Revenue · Quarterly

$51M

Q3 2022-30.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

AerSale · $49.4M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Technical Operations
    $32M
  • Asset Management Solutions
    $17.4M-82.3%

Forward guidance

AerSale reaffirmed its guidance for revenue of $420 - $450 million and adjusted EBITDA of $80 - $90 million in 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Expectations of revenue in the range of $420 - $450 million
  • Expectations of adjusted EBITDA in the range of $80 - $90 million
  • Anticipated receipt from the FAA of an STC for our AerAware product and expectation of sales
  • Expectations that the AerAware technology may prove to be mandatory equipment with airline partners
  • Belief that our AerAware product will reduce costs and greenhouse gas emissions caused by flight delays and diversions caused by weather

Headwinds

  • Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Factors adversely impacting the commercial aviation industry
  • Events related to the war in Ukraine including economic and trade sanctions
  • Fluctuating market value of our products
  • Shortage of skilled personnel, including as a result of work stoppages

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-4.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

12 / 28 earnings

Positive

+16.5%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-24.5%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-10.9%-12.0%-13.5%
Q4 2025-11.7%-12.0%-15.7%
Q3 2025-11.9%-14.4%-5.2%
Q1 2025-12.7%-13.4%-17.2%
Q4 2024+16.5%+15.6%-4.0%
Q3 2024-7.7%-5.4%+4.0%
Q2 2024-9.7%-12.5%-14.9%
Q1 2024+10.0%+4.7%-6.4%
Q4 2023-24.0%-22.0%-23.0%
Q3 2023-13.1%-12.4%-3.4%
Q2 2023-24.5%-24.1%+7.7%
Q1 2023-4.0%-4.4%-7.4%
Q4 2022-15.1%-19.7%-19.2%
Q3 2022-7.3%-4.8%-15.0%
Q2 2022+11.2%+13.0%+18.9%
Q1 2022-2.0%-1.4%+4.6%
Q4 2021+2.5%+11.0%+6.2%
Q3 2021-19.2%-17.6%-16.8%
Q2 2021+4.1%+18.8%+22.7%
Q1 2021-2.0%-3.5%-2.3%
Q4 2020+16.3%+25.5%+25.4%
Q3 2020+2.1%+8.2%+17.9%
Q2 2020+0.7%-0.3%-0.6%
Q1 2020+0.0%+0.0%+1.4%
Q4 2019+0.2%+0.0%-1.0%
Q4 2018+0.2%+0.0%-1.0%
Q2 2019-0.7%-1.0%-1.4%
Q1 2019+0.0%+0.2%+0.3%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro