NASDAQ$ANDE

Andersons Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong fourth quarter results and record full year earnings.

The Andersons, Inc. reported net income from continuing operations attributable to The Andersons of $15 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, and adjusted net income from continuing operations of $34 million, or $0.98 per diluted share. The Trade segment reported record adjusted pretax income, while Renewables saw solid plant performance.

  • Net income from continuing operations attributable to The Andersons was $15 million, or $0.44 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted net income from continuing operations was $34 million, or $0.98 per diluted share.
  • Trade segment reported pretax income of $27 million and record adjusted pretax income of $52 million.
  • Renewables segment reported pretax income of $19 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.68B

Previous: $3.78B+23.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.98

Previous: $1.14-14.0%
Capital Expenditures

$36M

Previous: $23M+56.4%
Free Cash Flow

$404M

Previous: -$193M+309.4%
Net Income

$15.1M

Previous: $32.8M-54.0%
Operating Income

$31.1M

Previous: $76.6M-59.4%
Gross Profit

$170M

Previous: $194M-12.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$115M

Previous: $216M-46.7%
Total Assets

$4.61B

Previous: $4.57B+0.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.5M

Previous: $4.31M-18.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Andersons · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.68B

Q4 2022+23.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Andersons · $868M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Renewables
    $868M+6.5%

Forward guidance

The company expects strong ag supply chain opportunities in 2023, continued worldwide demand, supply uncertainty due to the war in Ukraine, and potential weather impacts in global grain production regions.

Tailwinds

  • Strong ag supply chain opportunities are expected to remain very strong in 2023.
  • Continued worldwide demand coupled with supply uncertainty due to the ongoing war in Ukraine.
  • Potential weather impacts in global grain production regions, continues to keep commodity prices relatively high.
  • Corn oil demand is expected to remain high
  • Merchandising of low-carbon-intensive renewable feedstocks should remain strong as additional renewable diesel facilities begin operations driving significant growth.

Headwinds

  • Ethanol board crush margins for the 2022 fourth quarter were down over $0.90/gallon from the very strong fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Spot ethanol crush margins have declined into 2023.
  • Likely at more normalized margins for plant nutrients.
  • Buyers are waiting for declining prices to stabilize for granular fertilizer
  • Ethanol crush margin outlook is currently challenged

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-14.2%-9.7%-8.2%
Q4 2025-3.6%-3.8%-0.9%
Q3 2025+4.6%+9.9%+7.8%
Q1 2025-10.1%+2.8%-0.8%
Q4 2024+17.3%+10.1%+3.8%
Q3 2024-4.0%+8.3%+3.9%
Q2 2024-0.3%-0.6%+3.7%
Q1 2024-9.0%-5.5%-10.6%
Q4 2023+3.7%-2.7%+4.0%
Q3 2023-13.5%-7.8%-2.5%
Q2 2023+2.2%+8.6%+5.2%
Q1 2023-10.9%-16.2%-12.0%
Q4 2022+13.7%+17.9%+3.5%
Q3 2022+3.6%+6.0%+5.1%
Q2 2022+14.1%+5.4%+3.3%
Q1 2022-25.7%-24.7%-25.0%
Q4 2021+2.8%+0.9%+16.2%
Q3 2021+0.8%+7.3%-2.1%
Q2 2021+1.1%+5.3%+14.7%
Q1 2021-1.9%+2.5%+9.2%
Q4 2020+2.2%-4.6%+6.4%
Q3 2020-16.7%-18.8%+3.3%
Q2 2020+11.7%+17.2%+23.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-6.9%-9.3%
Q4 2019-11.8%-14.4%-29.6%
Q3 2019+10.6%+9.2%+24.3%
Q2 2019+3.1%+3.6%-9.3%
Q1 2019-10.6%-9.5%-16.0%
Q4 2018+8.1%+4.6%-0.5%
Q3 2018-11.1%-10.0%-13.2%
Q2 2018+14.6%+13.9%+14.6%
Q1 2018-5.3%-5.4%+0.9%
Q4 2017+15.0%+15.0%+13.3%
Q3 2017-6.7%-16.9%-14.1%
Q2 2017-0.7%-4.8%-7.0%
Q1 2017-9.0%-10.4%-1.6%
Q4 2016+5.8%+6.1%+4.0%
Q3 2016-4.1%-8.0%+8.1%
Q2 2016+1.1%+4.4%+6.7%
Q1 2016-11.3%
Q4 2015-14.3%
Q3 2015-8.5%
Q2 2015+7.5%
Q1 2015-2.8%
Q4 2014-10.3%
Q3 2014-18.3%
Q2 2014+6.9%
Q1 2014-15.1%
Q4 2013-7.9%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-3.5%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+4.6%
Q2 2012+0.6%
Q1 2012-2.8%
Q4 2011-5.5%
Q3 2011+7.6%
Q2 2011+4.3%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-1.4%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q4 2008-1.4%
Q3 2010-1.8%
Q3 2009-1.8%
Q2 2009+2.9%
Q2 2010+2.9%
Q4 2009+2.9%

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