NASDAQ$ANDE

Andersons Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported best first quarter performance since 2014, driven by strong execution and cost reduction efforts.

The Andersons, Inc. reported a strong first quarter with net income attributable to the company of $15.1 million, or $0.45 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $80.2 million, up $69.0 million year over year. The company benefited from a demand-driven agriculture rally and strong performance across its Trade, Ethanol, Plant Nutrient, and Rail segments.

  • Net income attributable to The Andersons was $15.1 million, or $0.45 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $80.2 million, a $69.0 million increase year-over-year.
  • Trade, Ethanol, Plant Nutrient and Rail segments all reported pretax income.
  • Company reduced total long-term debt by more than $35 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.64B

Previous: $1.85B+42.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.46

Previous: -$1.32+134.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$80.2M

Previous: $14.7M+445.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$16.9M

Previous: -$19.3M+12.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.81M

Previous: -$57M+96.8%
Net Income

$15.1M

Previous: -$37.7M+140.1%
Operating Income

-$7.47M

Previous: -$41.9M+82.2%
Gross Profit

$123M

Previous: $63.1M+94.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$35.4M

Previous: $19.7M+79.7%
Total Assets

$4.27B

Previous: $3.75B+13.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.99M

Previous: $2.88M-30.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Andersons · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.64B

Q1 2021+42.2%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Andersons · $868M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Renewables
    $868M+6.5%

Forward guidance

The company expects Trade business to benefit from merchandising execution in this volatile, demand-driven market. High prices and strong elevation margins are expected to continue at least until the next harvest. Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 29%.

Tailwinds

  • Commodity price volatility and market dislocations have created merchandising opportunities in many of the commodity supply chains that we touch in our Trade business and we expect that this will continue in the near term
  • Ethanol margins have improved significantly with ethanol prices reaching levels not seen in over six years, combined with strong margins on our newer high-protein feed and other co-products
  • Plant Nutrient had its best first quarter since 2008 with increased volume and strong margins that we expect will continue into the peak planting season.
  • While the volume of grain in store is expected to remain at levels below recent years for some time, high prices and strong elevation margins are expected to continue at least until the next harvest.
  • Expects that short-term borrowings will continue at a higher level over the next few quarters; we have strong support from our lenders and expect that our capacity will be sufficient to cover our needs.

Headwinds

  • Rail has been slower to recover
  • Increases in Corporate expense are primarily a result of increased variable incentive compensation as a product of the strong first quarter performance.
  • The company has recorded income taxes at an effective rate of 30.2% and anticipates a full year effective rate of approximately 29%. This rate increase is a result of additional U.S. tax on income earned in foreign jurisdictions and non-deductible compensation expense.
  • Working capital lines are impacted by commodity prices
  • Company expects to spend approximately $100 million in 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-14.2%-9.7%-8.2%
Q4 2025-3.6%-3.8%-0.9%
Q3 2025+4.6%+9.9%+7.8%
Q1 2025-10.1%+2.8%-0.8%
Q4 2024+17.3%+10.1%+3.8%
Q3 2024-4.0%+8.3%+3.9%
Q2 2024-0.3%-0.6%+3.7%
Q1 2024-9.0%-5.5%-10.6%
Q4 2023+3.7%-2.7%+4.0%
Q3 2023-13.5%-7.8%-2.5%
Q2 2023+2.2%+8.6%+5.2%
Q1 2023-10.9%-16.2%-12.0%
Q4 2022+13.7%+17.9%+3.5%
Q3 2022+3.6%+6.0%+5.1%
Q2 2022+14.1%+5.4%+3.3%
Q1 2022-25.7%-24.7%-25.0%
Q4 2021+2.8%+0.9%+16.2%
Q3 2021+0.8%+7.3%-2.1%
Q2 2021+1.1%+5.3%+14.7%
Q1 2021-1.9%+2.5%+9.2%
Q4 2020+2.2%-4.6%+6.4%
Q3 2020-16.7%-18.8%+3.3%
Q2 2020+11.7%+17.2%+23.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-6.9%-9.3%
Q4 2019-11.8%-14.4%-29.6%
Q3 2019+10.6%+9.2%+24.3%
Q2 2019+3.1%+3.6%-9.3%
Q1 2019-10.6%-9.5%-16.0%
Q4 2018+8.1%+4.6%-0.5%
Q3 2018-11.1%-10.0%-13.2%
Q2 2018+14.6%+13.9%+14.6%
Q1 2018-5.3%-5.4%+0.9%
Q4 2017+15.0%+15.0%+13.3%
Q3 2017-6.7%-16.9%-14.1%
Q2 2017-0.7%-4.8%-7.0%
Q1 2017-9.0%-10.4%-1.6%
Q4 2016+5.8%+6.1%+4.0%
Q3 2016-4.1%-8.0%+8.1%
Q2 2016+1.1%+4.4%+6.7%
Q1 2016-11.3%
Q4 2015-14.3%
Q3 2015-8.5%
Q2 2015+7.5%
Q1 2015-2.8%
Q4 2014-10.3%
Q3 2014-18.3%
Q2 2014+6.9%
Q1 2014-15.1%
Q4 2013-7.9%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-3.5%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+4.6%
Q2 2012+0.6%
Q1 2012-2.8%
Q4 2011-5.5%
Q3 2011+7.6%
Q2 2011+4.3%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-1.4%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q4 2008-1.4%
Q3 2010-1.8%
Q3 2009-1.8%
Q2 2009+2.9%
Q2 2010+2.9%
Q4 2009+2.9%

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