NASDAQ$ANDE

Andersons Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Andersons reports mixed financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, with increased net income and adjusted EBITDA, but a decrease in total revenue compared to the prior year.

The Andersons, Inc. reported a net income attributable to the company of $45 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $116.5 million. However, total sales and merchandising revenues decreased to $3.123 billion from $3.213 billion in the prior year's fourth quarter.

  • Full year net income attributable to The Andersons was $114 million, or $3.32 per diluted share, and $117 million, or $3.40 per diluted share, on an adjusted basis.
  • Fourth quarter net income attributable to The Andersons was $45 million, or $1.31 per diluted share, and $47 million, or $1.36 per diluted share, on an adjusted basis.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the year was $363 million, and $117 million for the fourth quarter.
  • Trade segment reported record fourth quarter pretax income of $54 million on solid operations, while Renewables reported pretax income of $25 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.12B

Previous: $3.21B-2.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.36

Previous: $1.59-14.5%
EBITDA

$114M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$117M

No prior period
Agribusiness Pretax Income

$55.3M

No prior period
Agribusiness Adjusted EBITDA

$87.6M

No prior period
Renewables Pretax Income

$26M

No prior period
Renewables Adjusted EBITDA

$40.8M

No prior period
Pretax Income Attributable to Co.

$58.2M

No prior period
Adjusted Pretax Income Attributable to Co.

$60.6M

No prior period
Net Income Attributable to Co.

$45.1M

No prior period
Adjusted Net Income Attributable to Co.

$46.9M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$56M

Previous: -$41.7M-34.1%
Net Income

$54.1M

Previous: $78.4M-31.0%
Operating Income

$67.3M

Previous: $91.8M-26.7%
Gross Profit

$213M

Previous: $218M-2.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Andersons · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.12B

Q4 2024-2.8%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Andersons · $868M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Renewables
    $868M+6.5%

Forward guidance

The company anticipates continued regulatory and geopolitical uncertainties, coupled with potentially challenging agricultural economics, but also sees signs of opportunity with expected increases in planted corn acres and strong ethanol exports.

Tailwinds

  • Expected significant increase in planted corn acres.
  • Continuing strong ethanol exports.
  • Mix of North American agribusiness and ethanol production assets positions the company well to withstand downward pressures.
  • Progress on several longer-term capital investments to enhance future results.
  • Active pursuit of growth in the Renewables space by lowering carbon intensity and evaluating expansion/acquisition opportunities.

Headwinds

  • Continued regulatory uncertainty.
  • Continued geopolitical uncertainties.
  • Potentially challenging agricultural economics.
  • Lower ethanol prices and co-product values impacted Renewables segment.
  • Soft ag supply chain results due to limited farmer engagement in Nutrient & Industrial.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.3%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-25.7%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-14.2%-9.7%-8.2%
Q4 2025-3.6%-3.8%-0.9%
Q3 2025+4.6%+9.9%+7.8%
Q1 2025-10.1%+2.8%-0.8%
Q4 2024+17.3%+10.1%+3.8%
Q3 2024-4.0%+8.3%+3.9%
Q2 2024-0.3%-0.6%+3.7%
Q1 2024-9.0%-5.5%-10.6%
Q4 2023+3.7%-2.7%+4.0%
Q3 2023-13.5%-7.8%-2.5%
Q2 2023+2.2%+8.6%+5.2%
Q1 2023-10.9%-16.2%-12.0%
Q4 2022+13.7%+17.9%+3.5%
Q3 2022+3.6%+6.0%+5.1%
Q2 2022+14.1%+5.4%+3.3%
Q1 2022-25.7%-24.7%-25.0%
Q4 2021+2.8%+0.9%+16.2%
Q3 2021+0.8%+7.3%-2.1%
Q2 2021+1.1%+5.3%+14.7%
Q1 2021-1.9%+2.5%+9.2%
Q4 2020+2.2%-4.6%+6.4%
Q3 2020-16.7%-18.8%+3.3%
Q2 2020+11.7%+17.2%+23.2%
Q1 2020-15.7%-6.9%-9.3%
Q4 2019-11.8%-14.4%-29.6%
Q3 2019+10.6%+9.2%+24.3%
Q2 2019+3.1%+3.6%-9.3%
Q1 2019-10.6%-9.5%-16.0%
Q4 2018+8.1%+4.6%-0.5%
Q3 2018-11.1%-10.0%-13.2%
Q2 2018+14.6%+13.9%+14.6%
Q1 2018-5.3%-5.4%+0.9%
Q4 2017+15.0%+15.0%+13.3%
Q3 2017-6.7%-16.9%-14.1%
Q2 2017-0.7%-4.8%-7.0%
Q1 2017-9.0%-10.4%-1.6%
Q4 2016+5.8%+6.1%+4.0%
Q3 2016-4.1%-8.0%+8.1%
Q2 2016+1.1%+4.4%+6.7%
Q1 2016-11.3%
Q4 2015-14.3%
Q3 2015-8.5%
Q2 2015+7.5%
Q1 2015-2.8%
Q4 2014-10.3%
Q3 2014-18.3%
Q2 2014+6.9%
Q1 2014-15.1%
Q4 2013-7.9%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013-3.5%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+4.6%
Q2 2012+0.6%
Q1 2012-2.8%
Q4 2011-5.5%
Q3 2011+7.6%
Q2 2011+4.3%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-1.4%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q4 2008-1.4%
Q3 2010-1.8%
Q3 2009-1.8%
Q2 2009+2.9%
Q2 2010+2.9%
Q4 2009+2.9%

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