NASDAQ$ALEC

Alector Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Alector reported fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results and provided a corporate update.

Alector reported Q4 2022 collaboration revenue of $14.4 million and a net loss of $52.4 million, with cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaling $712.9 million, expected to fund operations through 2025.

  • On track to complete enrollment in the INVOKE-2 Phase 2 clinical trial of AL002 in patients with early Alzheimer’s disease in Q3 2023, with data readout expected by Q4 2024.
  • Preparing to engage with regulatory authorities in mid-2023 and targeting data readout from the pivotal INFRONT-3 clinical trial for latozinemab in early 2025 pending regulatory feedback.
  • Company and GSK plan to advance AL101 program in 2023, with the initiation of a PK bridging study to be followed by a global Phase 2 clinical trial in early Alzheimer’s disease
  • $712.9 million in cash, cash equivalents and investments provide runway through 2025

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$14.4M

Previous: $14M+3.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.63

Previous: -$0.68+7.4%
Capital Expenditures

$766K

Previous: $557K+37.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$49.7M

Previous: -$49.8M+0.3%
Net Income

-$52.4M

Previous: -$55.6M+5.7%
Operating Income

-$55.4M

Previous: -$55.7M+0.5%
Gross Profit

$12.3M

Previous: -$38.8M+131.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$713M

Previous: $735M-3.0%
Total Assets

$788M

Previous: $815M-3.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$11M

Previous: $12.7M-13.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Alector · Revenue · Quarterly

$14.4M

Q4 2022+3.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alector · $14.4M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Collaboration Revenue
    $14.4M+3.1%

Forward guidance

Management anticipates, for the year ending 2023, collaboration revenue to be between $15 million and $25 million, total research and development expenses to be between $225 million and $245 million and total general and administrative expenses to be between $60 million and $70 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

15 / 29 earnings

Positive

+32.9%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-18.4%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.1%-16.0%-36.6%
Q4 2025+7.1%-11.7%-16.3%
Q3 2025+4.1%+8.4%-2.8%
Q1 2025+4.2%+7.4%+23.8%
Q4 2024-3.5%-15.4%-25.0%
Q3 2024+12.8%+21.3%-56.8%
Q2 2024+0.8%+0.9%-4.2%
Q1 2024-1.9%+1.7%-17.7%
Q4 2023+7.9%+14.4%-7.1%
Q3 2023-2.6%-17.7%+6.0%
Q2 2023+32.9%+12.4%-15.6%
Q1 2023+13.0%+20.6%+8.5%
Q4 2022+0.9%-9.5%-30.3%
Q3 2022-18.4%+3.1%+3.1%
Q2 2022+16.3%+12.7%-6.9%
Q1 2022-12.7%-20.0%-11.9%
Q4 2021+1.9%-1.3%-7.8%
Q3 2021+2.3%+4.1%-20.7%
Q2 2021+9.5%+9.0%+10.1%
Q1 2021-7.8%-12.4%+6.1%
Q4 2020-4.7%-10.7%-14.3%
Q3 2020+0.4%+7.2%+25.2%
Q2 2020-6.9%-7.4%-13.5%
Q1 2020-5.0%+0.3%+3.7%
Q4 2019-1.5%-4.4%+0.8%
Q3 2019-6.1%-4.2%+19.5%
Q2 2019-1.7%-18.0%+9.4%
Q1 2019+4.9%+1.3%+0.2%
Q4 2018-8.6%-3.5%+10.8%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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