NASDAQ$ADV

Advantage Solutions Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Advantage Solutions' third quarter performance was marked by a 13% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by recovery in in-store sampling and retail merchandising services, but faced challenges due to the tight labor market and wage inflation.

Advantage Solutions reported a 13.2% increase in revenue for Q3 2022 compared to Q3 2021. However, operating income, net income, and Adjusted EBITDA decreased due to investments in wages and macroeconomic pressures. The company is updating its fiscal year 2022 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $430 million to $440 million.

  • Revenues increased by 13.2% to $1,051.1 million compared to the third quarter of 2021.
  • Operating income decreased by 28.6% to $46.8 million compared to the third quarter of 2021.
  • Net income decreased by 4.5% to $23.2 million compared to the third quarter of 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 11.6% to $118.3 million compared to the third quarter of 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.05B

Previous: $929M+13.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: $0.18+11.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$118M

Previous: $520M-77.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$30M

Previous: -$24.1M-24.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$8.98M

Previous: -$795K-1029.3%
Net Income

$21.1M

Previous: $23.3M-9.7%
Operating Income

$46.8M

Previous: $65.6M-28.6%
Gross Profit

$143M

Previous: $163M-12.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$96.2M

Previous: $168M-42.7%
Total Assets

$5.81B

Previous: $5.85B-0.7%
Stock-Based Comp

-$828K

Previous: -$6.03M+86.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Advantage Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.05B

Q3 2022+13.2%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is updating its fiscal year 2022 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $430 million to $440 million.

Tailwinds

  • Strong customer demand.
  • Sampling and demonstration business will continue to build back in 2023.

Headwinds

  • Unprecedented tight labor market.
  • Increasing inflationary pressures.
  • Broad macro-economic uncertainty are challenging consumers, retailers and CPG brands, alike.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-2.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

9 / 25 earnings

Positive

+18.6%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-20.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+15.3%-5.5%+1.8%
Q4 2025-1.0%+15.9%+57.6%
Q3 2025-3.3%+8.9%-30.1%
Q1 2025-17.8%-14.3%+12.2%
Q4 2024-8.9%-28.4%-44.9%
Q3 2024+10.1%-1.6%+5.1%
Q2 2024+4.2%+0.3%+3.6%
Q1 2024-17.6%-20.2%-29.1%
Q4 2023+2.1%-3.4%+14.6%
Q3 2023-16.0%-16.5%+29.1%
Q2 2023+2.3%+1.2%+12.4%
Q1 2023+10.8%+18.5%+62.3%
Q4 2022+18.6%+7.7%-28.2%
Q3 2022-20.2%-17.5%-33.4%
Q2 2022-9.7%+3.2%-32.5%
Q1 2022-11.0%-9.6%-15.3%
Q4 2021-15.9%-26.9%-18.9%
Q3 2021+4.4%+1.6%-13.9%
Q2 2021-6.7%-6.0%-13.0%
Q1 2021-3.8%-5.6%-4.7%
Q4 2020-0.2%+7.2%+27.1%
Q2 2020-0.2%+7.2%+27.1%
Q3 2020-2.1%-13.8%-1.5%
Q1 2020+0.5%+0.0%+4.9%
Q4 2019-1.0%-1.0%+5.1%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q1 2017
Q1 2016

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