NASDAQ$ACAD

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Acadia Pharmaceuticals reported an increase in NUPLAZID net sales and reiterated its full-year net sales guidance. However, the company received Complete Response Letters from the FDA regarding its sNDA for NUPLAZID in dementia-related psychosis.

Acadia Pharmaceuticals reported a net sales increase for NUPLAZID in Q1 2021, reaching $106.6 million, an 18% increase compared to Q1 2020. The company is reiterating its full-year net sales guidance of $510 to $550 million. However, they also received Complete Response Letters from the FDA regarding their sNDA for NUPLAZID for dementia-related psychosis.

  • NUPLAZID net sales were $106.6 million, an 18% increase over 1Q20.
  • The company received Complete Response Letters from the FDA regarding its sNDA for NUPLAZID in dementia-related psychosis (DRP).
  • Top-line results from the Phase 3 LAVENDER study evaluating trofinetide for the treatment of Rett syndrome are expected in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Acadia is reiterating its NUPLAZID net sales guidance of $510 to $550 million for the year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$107M

Previous: $90.1M+18.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.42

Previous: -$0.57+26.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.08M

Previous: -$934K-15.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$67.5M

Previous: -$89M+24.1%
Net Income

-$66.4M

Previous: -$88M+24.5%
Operating Income

-$66.8M

Previous: -$89.5M+25.4%
Gross Profit

$104M

Previous: $87.3M+19.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$578M

Previous: $651M-11.3%
Total Assets

$755M

Previous: $747M+1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.2M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

ACADIA · Revenue · Quarterly

$107M

Q1 2021+18.3%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 5 of 16 quarters(31%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ACADIA · $107M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • NUPLAZID
    $107M+18.3%

Forward guidance

Acadia is reiterating its NUPLAZID net sales guidance of $510 to $550 million. GAAP R&D guidance is decreased to $280 to $300 million from the previous range of $300 to $320 million. GAAP SG&A guidance is decreased to $385 to $415 million from the previous range of $560 to $590 million.

Tailwinds

  • Reiterating NUPLAZID net sales guidance of $510 to $550 million.
  • GAAP R&D guidance decreased to $280 to $300 million.
  • GAAP SG&A guidance decreased to $385 to $415 million.
  • Positive signs in the Parkinson’s disease psychosis market supporting revenue growth for the remainder of the year.
  • Anticipate continued improvements in the conditions related to the pandemic.

Headwinds

  • Received a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the FDA regarding its sNDA for NUPLAZID for the treatment of hallucinations and delusions associated with dementia-related psychosis (DRP).
  • Uncertainty of future commercial sales.
  • Risks and uncertainties inherent in drug development, approval and commercialization.
  • Past results of clinical trials may not be indicative of future trial results.
  • The company is still operating at a net loss.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 65 earnings

Positive

+23.7%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-22.9%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.9%-2.5%-3.6%
Q4 2025-1.4%-9.9%-16.9%
Q3 2025-2.9%+6.2%+22.9%
Q1 2025+14.4%+16.1%+48.4%
Q4 2024+1.8%-3.9%-10.2%
Q3 2024+14.7%+21.8%+15.2%
Q2 2024-17.6%-15.1%-11.9%
Q1 2024-11.8%-12.0%-13.7%
Q4 2023-8.3%-7.3%-28.6%
Q3 2023+5.0%+2.5%-1.4%
Q2 2023-6.0%-7.4%-4.0%
Q1 2023-2.3%-2.1%+12.3%
Q4 2022+9.4%+7.5%+0.3%
Q3 2022-6.6%-8.6%-0.6%
Q2 2022-1.3%-0.2%+2.5%
Q1 2022-4.9%-17.3%-9.6%
Q4 2021-2.2%-6.2%-4.8%
Q3 2021+7.7%+3.1%+8.8%
Q2 2021-11.0%-11.4%-22.4%
Q1 2021+7.3%+7.7%+21.4%
Q4 2020-4.9%-0.4%-48.0%
Q3 2020+4.2%+7.4%+16.4%
Q2 2020+0.3%-5.1%-12.1%
Q1 2020+5.3%+2.5%-5.3%
Q4 2019-3.9%+7.6%-4.5%
Q3 2019+0.4%+0.4%+7.2%
Q2 2019+14.7%+14.4%+10.6%
Q1 2019+6.0%+11.4%-0.2%
Q4 2018+7.5%+12.0%+12.2%
Q3 2018-7.7%-12.9%-12.7%
Q2 2018-2.0%+0.7%-1.1%
Q1 2018+15.6%+15.8%+14.3%
Q4 2017-22.9%-26.8%-30.5%
Q3 2017-9.6%-12.1%-7.6%
Q2 2017+8.6%+2.1%+17.1%
Q1 2017-8.6%-8.7%-17.8%
Q4 2016-8.1%-7.4%-14.4%
Q3 2016+23.7%+32.8%+24.9%
Q2 2016-1.8%-10.3%-15.0%
Q1 2016+0.4%
Q4 2015+2.2%
Q3 2015-13.1%
Q2 2015-17.8%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014+3.1%
Q1 2014-8.4%
Q4 2013-4.8%
Q3 2013-7.8%
Q2 2013-5.6%
Q1 2013-4.4%
Q4 2012-6.0%
Q3 2012+11.0%
Q2 2012-0.7%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q3 2011-5.0%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.9%
Q1 2011-4.1%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q2 2010-7.5%
Q1 2010+11.5%

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