NASDAQ$AAL

American Airlines Group Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

American Airlines reported a significant decrease in revenue due to the COVID-19 pandemic, while taking actions to reduce costs and bolster liquidity.

American Airlines reported a third-quarter net loss of $2.4 billion, with revenue down 73% year-over-year. The company focused on reducing costs, strengthening its financial position, and ensuring customer confidence in travel. The airline ended the quarter with $13.6 billion in liquidity, which increased to $15.6 billion pro forma for October.

  • Third-quarter revenue was $3.2 billion, a 73% decrease year-over-year.
  • Third-quarter net loss was $2.4 billion, or ($4.71) per share.
  • The company ended the third quarter with approximately $13.6 billion in total available liquidity, increasing to $15.6 billion pro forma.
  • American Airlines reduced its daily cash burn rate to approximately $44 million per day in the third quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.17B

Previous: $11.9B-73.4%
EPS (adj)

-$5.54

Previous: $1.42-490.1%
Yield

$14.01

Previous: $16.95-17.3%
Avg. Fuel Price per Gallon

$1.23

Previous: $2.05-40.0%
Fuel Consumption (gallons)

499.0M

Previous: 1.2B-58.7%
Cost per ASM

$19.64

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$2.4B

Previous: $425M-664.5%
Net Income

-$2.4B

Previous: $425M-664.5%
Operating Income

-$2.87B

Previous: $808M-455.3%
Gross Profit

-$1.16B

Previous: -$2.85B+59.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$253M

Previous: $312M-18.9%
Total Assets

$62.8B

Previous: $61.2B+2.6%

Revenue & EPS history

American Airlines · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.17B

Q3 2020-73.4%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

American Airlines · $3.17B total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Passenger
    $2.54B-76.9%
  • Other
    $426M-39.8%
  • Cargo
    $207M-0.5%

Forward guidance

American Airlines expects its fourth-quarter system capacity to be down more than 50% year over year, with long-haul international capacity down approximately 75% year over year. The company presently expects its fourth-quarter cash burn rate to be approximately $25 to $30 million per day and it expects to end the fourth quarter with more than $13 billion in total available liquidity, which excludes any proceeds from the $1 billion at-the-market equity offering.

Tailwinds

  • The company will continue to match its forward capacity with observed bookings trends.
  • American Airlines expects to end the fourth quarter with more than $13 billion in total available liquidity.
  • The company reduced its daily cash burn rate to approximately $44 million per day in the third quarter from approximately $58 million per day in the second quarter.
  • SurfaceWise2 is approved by the EPA as the first-ever long-lasting product to help fight the spread of the novel coronavirus and it will be applied to American’s entire fleet in the coming months.
  • Testing options are now available to customers traveling to Hawaii and Costa Rica, with Jamaica and the Bahamas soon to follow.

Headwinds

  • American Airlines expects its fourth-quarter system capacity to be down more than 50% year over year.
  • Long-haul international capacity is expected to be down approximately 75% year over year.
  • The company has removed more than 150 aircraft from its fleet through early retirements or by placing aircraft into temporary storage.
  • More than 20,000 team members have opted for an early out or long-term leave.
  • 19,000 team members were furloughed beginning Oct. 1.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.5%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%+1.2%+20.3%
Q4 2025-6.6%-8.7%-4.3%
Q3 2025+3.8%+5.1%+6.5%
Q2 2025-2.2%+0.8%-1.5%
Q1 2025+3.1%+6.2%+20.1%
Q4 2024-8.7%-8.1%-18.4%
Q3 2024+2.5%+7.7%+12.1%
Q2 2024+4.4%+5.8%+2.2%
Q1 2024-0.3%-2.9%-0.6%
Q4 2023+8.6%+4.3%+8.6%
Q3 2023-2.5%-1.3%+8.2%
Q2 2023-6.3%-10.5%-19.1%
Q1 2023+7.1%+8.1%+12.6%
Q4 2022+1.0%-0.7%-4.3%
Q3 2022-2.0%+2.1%+0.4%
Q2 2022-10.1%-11.7%-6.8%
Q1 2022+3.6%-3.6%-16.5%
Q4 2021-5.8%-1.6%-0.4%
Q3 2021-1.9%-0.7%-1.2%
Q2 2021-0.9%+0.3%-13.6%
Q1 2021+0.5%+3.6%+7.4%
Q4 2020+3.7%+0.2%+26.4%
Q3 2020-1.1%-11.9%-1.7%
Q2 2020+0.3%+3.6%+7.0%
Q1 2020-15.8%-24.7%-16.9%
Q4 2019+1.2%-1.5%+1.8%
Q3 2019+9.1%+9.3%+1.4%
Q2 2019-9.7%-11.2%-26.5%
Q1 2019+1.1%+1.5%-12.7%
Q4 2018+10.5%+14.7%+12.1%
Q3 2018+7.0%+14.2%+25.1%
Q2 2018+3.9%+3.5%+1.6%
Q1 2018-4.1%-4.2%-0.8%
Q4 2017-3.1%-4.0%-2.6%
Q3 2017-6.8%-8.2%-4.8%
Q2 2017+0.9%+0.9%-9.5%
Q1 2017-8.1%-5.5%+5.0%
Q4 2016-9.5%-11.2%-6.7%
Q3 2016-1.8%-2.3%+13.9%
Q2 2016+2.4%+3.5%+4.4%
Q1 2016-7.5%
Q4 2015+3.3%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-5.8%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014-8.7%
Q3 2014+7.5%
Q2 2014-3.8%
Q1 2014-2.9%
Q4 2013+9.3%
Q3 2013+3.2%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013-1.8%
Q4 2012+9.3%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012-1.6%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-1.6%
Q1 2010-1.5%
Q1 2011-2.1%
Q4 2008-1.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2009+6.5%
Q3 2010+6.5%
Q2 2009+10.4%
Q2 2010+10.4%
Q4 2009+10.4%

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