NASDAQ$AAL

American Airlines Group Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

American Airlines faced significant challenges due to COVID-19, reporting a net loss and taking actions to reduce costs and bolster liquidity.

American Airlines reported a first-quarter net loss of $2.2 billion, or ($5.26) per share. Excluding net special items, the net loss was $1.1 billion, or ($2.65) per share. The company ended the quarter with $6.8 billion of available liquidity and expects to end the second quarter with approximately $11 billion of liquidity. In response to the drop in demand, American has reduced costs and improved its liquidity position.

  • Reported a first-quarter net loss of $2.2 billion, or ($5.26) per share.
  • Excluding net special items, the first-quarter net loss was $1.1 billion, or ($2.65) per share.
  • Ended the first quarter with $6.8 billion of available liquidity.
  • Expects to end the second quarter with approximately $11 billion of liquidity.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.52B

Previous: $10.6B-19.5%
EPS (adj)

-$2.65

Previous: $0.52-609.6%
Yield

$17.00

Previous: $17.62-3.5%
Avg. Fuel Price per Gallon

$1.83

Previous: $2.04-10.3%
Fuel Consumption (gallons)

972.0M

Previous: 1.1B-7.7%
Aircraft at End of Period

1.5K

Previous: 1.6K-5.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.24B

Previous: $185M-1311.4%
Net Income

-$2.24B

Previous: $185M-1311.4%
Operating Income

-$2.55B

Previous: $375M-779.7%
Gross Profit

-$2.2B

Previous: -$2.56B+14.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$474M

Previous: $337M+40.7%
Total Assets

$58.6B

Previous: $60.8B-3.6%

Revenue & EPS history

American Airlines · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.52B

Q1 2020-19.5%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

American Airlines · $8.52B total across 3 segments · Q1 2020

  • Passenger
    $7.68B
  • Other
    $687M
  • Cargo
    $147M

Forward guidance

American Airlines expects its average estimated second-quarter 2020 cash burn rate to be approximately $70 million per day. As the company’s cost initiatives gain traction, its estimated daily cash burn rate is expected to decline over time to approximately $50 million per day for the month of June. Based on its current forecast, the company expects to have approximately $11 billion of liquidity at the end of the second quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Enhanced cleaning procedures through expanded fogging and the use of an EPA-approved disinfectant in high-touch areas.
  • Purchased face masks for frontline team members and made them required for flight attendants starting May 1.
  • Began distributing sanitizing wipes or gels and face masks to customers.
  • Extended waivers for travel occurring through the end of September 2020, enabling customers to change plans and travel through December 2021, and waived change fees for customers who purchase new tickets by May 31, 2020, for future travel.
  • Introduced flexible travel waivers and name changes for corporate customers.

Headwinds

  • Reduced system capacity by approximately 80% in both April and May, and 70% in June, including schedule changes announced today.
  • Accelerated the retirement of four aircraft types, consisting of 20 Embraer 190s, 34 Boeing 757s, 17 Boeing 767s and nine Airbus A330-300s, along with a number of older regional aircraft.
  • Suspended all nonessential hiring, paused noncontractual pay increases, reduced executive and board compensation, and implemented voluntary leave and early retirement programs to reduce labor costs.
  • Deferred marketing expenditures and reduced contractor, event and training expenses.
  • Consolidated its footprint at its airport facilities.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+10.5%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%+1.2%+20.3%
Q4 2025-6.6%-8.7%-4.3%
Q3 2025+3.8%+5.1%+6.5%
Q2 2025-2.2%+0.8%-1.5%
Q1 2025+3.1%+6.2%+20.1%
Q4 2024-8.7%-8.1%-18.4%
Q3 2024+2.5%+7.7%+12.1%
Q2 2024+4.4%+5.8%+2.2%
Q1 2024-0.3%-2.9%-0.6%
Q4 2023+8.6%+4.3%+8.6%
Q3 2023-2.5%-1.3%+8.2%
Q2 2023-6.3%-10.5%-19.1%
Q1 2023+7.1%+8.1%+12.6%
Q4 2022+1.0%-0.7%-4.3%
Q3 2022-2.0%+2.1%+0.4%
Q2 2022-10.1%-11.7%-6.8%
Q1 2022+3.6%-3.6%-16.5%
Q4 2021-5.8%-1.6%-0.4%
Q3 2021-1.9%-0.7%-1.2%
Q2 2021-0.9%+0.3%-13.6%
Q1 2021+0.5%+3.6%+7.4%
Q4 2020+3.7%+0.2%+26.4%
Q3 2020-1.1%-11.9%-1.7%
Q2 2020+0.3%+3.6%+7.0%
Q1 2020-15.8%-24.7%-16.9%
Q4 2019+1.2%-1.5%+1.8%
Q3 2019+9.1%+9.3%+1.4%
Q2 2019-9.7%-11.2%-26.5%
Q1 2019+1.1%+1.5%-12.7%
Q4 2018+10.5%+14.7%+12.1%
Q3 2018+7.0%+14.2%+25.1%
Q2 2018+3.9%+3.5%+1.6%
Q1 2018-4.1%-4.2%-0.8%
Q4 2017-3.1%-4.0%-2.6%
Q3 2017-6.8%-8.2%-4.8%
Q2 2017+0.9%+0.9%-9.5%
Q1 2017-8.1%-5.5%+5.0%
Q4 2016-9.5%-11.2%-6.7%
Q3 2016-1.8%-2.3%+13.9%
Q2 2016+2.4%+3.5%+4.4%
Q1 2016-7.5%
Q4 2015+3.3%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-5.8%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014-8.7%
Q3 2014+7.5%
Q2 2014-3.8%
Q1 2014-2.9%
Q4 2013+9.3%
Q3 2013+3.2%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013-1.8%
Q4 2012+9.3%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012+1.7%
Q1 2012-1.6%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-1.6%
Q1 2010-1.5%
Q1 2011-2.1%
Q4 2008-1.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2009+6.5%
Q3 2010+6.5%
Q2 2009+10.4%
Q2 2010+10.4%
Q4 2009+10.4%

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