OTC$TSPH

TuSimple Holdings Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

TuSimple made progress on key initiatives to launch scalable autonomous freight operations and expanded its Autonomous Freight Network.

TuSimple reported a Q2 2021 revenue of $1.5 million, a ~5x increase year-over-year. The company focused on advancing its Driver-Out pilot program, L4 semi-truck production with Navistar, and expanding the Autonomous Freight Network (AFN). TuSimple's R&D team grew, and the company achieved approximately 4.6 million cumulative road miles by the end of the quarter.

  • Accelerated hiring of world class R&D talent.
  • Launched new Dallas-Fort Worth facility to meet growing freight demand.
  • Demonstrated power of TSP technology to revolutionize freight during a pilot with Giumarra.
  • Achieved industry-leading ~4.6 million cumulative road miles by quarter-end.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.48M

Previous: $263K+463.5%
EPS (adj)

$2.28

Previous: -$0.19+1291.0%
R&D Headcount

1.0K

No prior period
Global Headcount

1.2K

No prior period
Patents Issued

318

No prior period
Road Miles Driven

4.6M

No prior period
Revenue Miles

880.0K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$5.93M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$121M

No prior period
Net Income

-$117M

Previous: -$28.1M-314.9%
Operating Income

-$121M

Previous: -$28M-331.3%
Gross Profit

-$1.5M

Previous: -$594K-152.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.49B

No prior period
Total Assets

$1.54B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$52.5M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

TuSimple · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.48M

Q2 2021+463.5%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 3 of 10 quarters(30%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

TuSimple provided full year 2021 guidance, including revenue between $5 million and $7 million, R&D expense between $200 million and $220 million (excluding stock-based compensation), G&A expense between $50 million and $60 million (excluding stock-based compensation), stock-based compensation between $130 million and $150 million, capex between $14 million and $18 million, Adjusted EBITDA between ($260) million and ($280) million, and expects to end 2021 with a cash position greater than $1.25 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue of $5 -$7 million
  • R&D expense guidance upward to $200 -$220 million, excluding stock-based compensation, to reflect enhanced strategic investment in building out critical technology teams to accelerate and de-risk our technology development
  • G&A expense guidance upward to $50 -$60 million, excluding stock-based compensation related to higher people costs for critical functions such as IT and HR which scale with the broader business
  • Introducing stock-based compensation guidance between $130 -$150 million, includes one-time items triggered by the IPO
  • Expect to end 2021 with a cash position greater than $1.25 billion

Headwinds

  • Adjusting R&D expense guidance upward to reflect strategic investment in building out critical technology teams.
  • Adjusting G&A expense guidance upward due to higher people costs for critical functions.
  • Introducing stock-based compensation guidance including one-time items triggered by the IPO.
  • Adjusting Capex guidance to purchase rather than lease semi-trucks, the acceleration of AFN terminal buildouts, and the expansion of testing and G&A facilities
  • Introducing Adjusted EBITDA guidance between ($260) -($280) million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

+3.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+12.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+100.0%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

9 / 15 earnings

Positive

+20.2%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.9%

Q2 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2023+0.0%+12.2%+100.0%
Q3 2023-5.2%
Q1 2023+7.6%
Q2 2023+7.6%
Q4 2022+20.2%
Q3 2022+6.6%
Q2 2022+8.0%
Q1 2022+5.6%
Q4 2021+11.9%
Q4 2019+11.9%
Q3 2021-5.3%
Q3 2020-5.3%
Q2 2021-9.9%
Q4 2020-2.7%
Q1 2021+2.1%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro