OTC$TSPH

TuSimple Holdings Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

TuSimple's Q1 2021 results were shared for the first time as a publicly traded company, highlighting progress in technology development, ecosystem partnerships, and Autonomous Freight Network expansion.

TuSimple reported Q1 2021 revenue of $944,000, a ~4x increase year-over-year. The company increased its R&D headcount to 821 and its global headcount to 978. TuSimple also increased its issued patents to 280 and drove ~3.7 million road miles. The company's cash position at the end of the quarter was $509 million.

  • Increased 1st Wave Reservations: Increased reservations by 1,200 for a total of 5,775 by quarter-end, with an additional 1,000 reservations added in April, bringing the current reservation book to 6,775 trucks.
  • Extended their Lead in Real-World Road Miles: Continued growth in real-world road miles with ~3.7M cumulative miles by quarter-end, a ~3x increase over the last 12 months.
  • Enhanced their Technology Leadership: Increased their issued patents 13% quarter-over-quarter to total 280 by quarter-end and grew R&D headcount 17% quarter-over-quarter to total 821 by quarter-end.
  • Generated ~$1M of Q1 Revenue: Accelerating revenue generation from paid freight loads which enables further development of their autonomous technology and their AFN commercial relationships.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$944K

Previous: $259K+264.5%
EPS (adj)

-$6.43

Previous: -$0.18-3561.7%
R&D Headcount

821

Previous: 701+17.1%
Global Headcount

978

Previous: 839+16.6%
Patents Issued

280

Previous: 247+13.4%
Road Miles Driven

3.7M

Previous: 2.9M+27.6%
Total Truck Reservations

5.8K

Previous: 4.6K+26.1%
Revenue Miles

603

Previous: 600+0.5%
Total Mapped Miles

5.0K

Previous: 4.0K+25.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.21M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$47.9M

No prior period
Net Income

-$385M

Previous: -$25.8M-1395.1%
Operating Income

-$58.6M

Previous: -$25.9M-126.8%
Gross Profit

-$1.3M

Previous: -$512K-154.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$509M

No prior period
Total Assets

$548M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$6.29M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

TuSimple · Revenue · Quarterly

$944K

Q1 2021+264.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 3 of 10 quarters(30%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

TuSimple provided full year 2021 guidance with revenue of $5 - $7 million, R&D investment of $165 - $185 million (excluding stock-based compensation), G&A spend of $45 – $55 million (excluding stock-based compensation), Capital Expenditures of $5 – $8 million and expects to end 2021 with a cash position in excess of $1.3B

Tailwinds

  • Revenue of $5 - $7 million, driven in part by accelerating utilization of our fleet and enhanced AFN partner operations
  • R&D investment of $165 - $185 million excluding stock-based compensation expense
  • G&A spend of $45 – $55 million excluding stock-based compensation expense
  • Capital Expenditures of $5 – $8 million
  • Expect to end 2021 with a cash position in excess of $1.3B

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

+3.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+12.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+100.0%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

9 / 15 earnings

Positive

+20.2%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.9%

Q2 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2023+0.0%+12.2%+100.0%
Q3 2023-5.2%
Q1 2023+7.6%
Q2 2023+7.6%
Q4 2022+20.2%
Q3 2022+6.6%
Q2 2022+8.0%
Q1 2022+5.6%
Q4 2021+11.9%
Q4 2019+11.9%
Q3 2021-5.3%
Q3 2020-5.3%
Q2 2021-9.9%
Q4 2020-2.7%
Q1 2021+2.1%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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