NYSE$XIFR

XPLR Infrastructure LP · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

XPLR Infrastructure experienced a net loss due to a goodwill impairment charge, but reported a solid adjusted EBITDA. The company announced a strategic repositioning, suspending distributions to unitholders and focusing on reinvesting cash flows.

XPLR Infrastructure reported a net loss attributable to XPLR Infrastructure of $101 million for Q4 2024, including a one-time after-tax impairment of goodwill of $194 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $483 million. The company is strategically repositioning to reinvest retained cash flows and has suspended distributions to unitholders.

  • Strategic repositioning to focus on reinvesting retained cash flows in existing assets and other investments.
  • Suspension of distributions to common unitholders indefinitely to facilitate a business plan without equity issuance.
  • All convertible equity portfolio financing buyout payments are expected to be paid in cash.
  • Credit ratings affirmations received from all agencies.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$294M

Previous: $232M+26.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.99

Previous: -$0.35+382.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$483M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$52M

Previous: -$205M+74.6%
Net Income

-$101M

Previous: $148M-168.2%
Operating Income

-$516M

Previous: -$53M-873.6%
Gross Profit

$40M

Previous: -$35M+214.3%

Revenue & EPS history

NextEra Energy Partners · Revenue · Quarterly

$294M

Q4 2024+26.7%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 2 of 14 quarters(14%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

XPLR Infrastructure expects adjusted EBITDA to be roughly flat year-over-year in 2025, with potential impacts from the timing of the Meade pipeline investment sale. For 2026, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $1.75 billion to $1.95 billion, with free cash flow before growth in the range of $600 million to $700 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to complete its previously announced 1.6-GW repowering program by mid-2026.
  • Believes there are numerous repowering and co-located storage opportunities within its existing portfolio.
  • Expects free cash flow before growth to be in the range of $600 million to $700 million in 2026 and remain relatively consistent through the end of the decade.
  • Cumulative free cash flow before growth will exceed the remaining convertible equity portfolio financing buyout options.
  • The partnership will have a consistent source of capital which it can invest back in the business at attractive returns.

Headwinds

  • Suspending its distribution to common unitholders for an indefinite period.
  • Results may be impacted by the timing of the expected sale of the Meade pipeline investment that is currently expected in the fourth quarter 2025.
  • The decline in adjusted EBITDA of approximately $105 million is due to the expected sale of the Meade pipeline investment in the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • 2025 is a transition year which will have partial impacts of approximately $945 million for convertible equity portfolio financing buyouts, the potential Meade pipeline investment sale and other holdco financings.
  • Adjusted EBITDA expectations assume, among other things, normal weather and operating conditions; positive macroeconomic conditions in the U.S.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

21 / 46 earnings

Positive

+15.7%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-25.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%+4.2%+3.6%
Q4 2025+9.2%+6.0%+4.3%
Q3 2025-5.1%+2.3%-6.6%
Q1 2025+5.5%+5.2%+6.1%
Q4 2024-25.1%-33.3%-44.1%
Q3 2024-16.3%-18.7%-33.1%
Q2 2024-6.6%-3.7%-6.4%
Q1 2024+7.9%+5.4%+17.4%
Q4 2023+7.4%+12.0%+1.0%
Q3 2023+15.7%+22.4%+5.5%
Q2 2023-3.9%-8.4%-19.8%
Q1 2023-12.2%-9.7%-7.6%
Q4 2022-2.5%-4.5%-11.5%
Q3 2022-0.3%+0.7%+7.7%
Q2 2022+9.7%+8.8%+14.8%
Q1 2022-6.9%-10.6%-12.6%
Q4 2021-0.1%-1.2%+1.7%
Q3 2021+3.1%+5.0%+9.7%
Q2 2021-0.6%+3.1%+6.1%
Q1 2021+1.3%+2.7%-4.0%
Q4 2020-8.7%-3.0%-13.7%
Q3 2020-0.8%-0.4%-1.8%
Q2 2020+2.8%+6.7%+5.8%
Q1 2020+11.1%+10.8%+14.2%
Q4 2019-2.1%-0.6%+8.2%
Q3 2019+2.7%+2.6%+3.8%
Q2 2019-3.3%-3.3%-1.5%
Q1 2019-2.2%-0.5%-2.6%
Q4 2018-4.3%-6.7%-1.6%
Q3 2018-2.6%-9.6%-0.2%
Q2 2018+3.9%+3.7%+8.0%
Q1 2018+3.0%+5.5%+8.6%
Q4 2017+4.3%+6.9%-5.0%
Q3 2017-0.7%-0.4%-1.9%
Q2 2017+1.9%+6.1%+0.2%
Q1 2017+5.1%+3.9%+4.2%
Q4 2016+10.1%+14.2%+9.3%
Q3 2016-2.3%-4.3%-7.4%
Q2 2016-1.8%-3.5%-3.9%
Q1 2016-0.8%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+7.3%
Q2 2015-8.6%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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