NYSE$XIFR

XPLR Infrastructure LP · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income attributable to NextEra Energy Partners and adjusted EBITDA, also closed on the acquisition of Meade Pipeline Co LLC.

NextEra Energy Partners, LP reported a net income of $34 million for the fourth quarter of 2019. The company's adjusted EBITDA stood at $280 million, and cash available for distribution (CAFD), excluding Desert Sunlight projects, was $101 million.

  • Grows distributions approximately 15% year-over-year
  • Acquires more than 600 megawatts of new wind and solar projects and Meade Pipeline Co LLC during the year
  • Partnership continues to expect it can achieve long-term growth expectations without additional acquisitions until 2021
  • NextEra Energy Partners delivered a total unitholder return of approximately 28% in 2019

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$206M

Previous: $155M+32.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.50

Previous: -$0.39+228.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$280M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$54M

Previous: $15M+260.0%
Free Cash Flow

$40M

Previous: $78M-48.7%
Net Income

$83M

Previous: -$15M+653.3%
Operating Income

$43M

Previous: $30M+43.3%
Gross Profit

$117M

Previous: $92M+27.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$128M

Previous: $147M-12.9%
Total Assets

$12.3B

Previous: $9.41B+30.3%

Revenue & EPS history

NextEra Energy Partners · Revenue · Quarterly

$206M

Q4 2019+32.9%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

NextEra Energy Partners expects 12% to 15% per year growth in limited partner distributions through at least 2024 and expects the annualized rate of the fourth-quarter 2020 distribution, which is payable in February 2021, to be in a range of $2.40 to $2.46 per common unit.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA, CAFD and limited partner distribution expectations assume, among other things, normal weather and operating conditions
  • Public policy support for wind and solar development and construction
  • Market demand and transmission expansion support for wind and solar development
  • Market demand for pipeline capacity
  • Access to capital at reasonable cost and terms

Headwinds

  • PG&E, which contributes a significant portion of NEP's revenues, has filed a voluntary petition for reorganization under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code.
  • Any rejection by PG&E of a material portion of NEP's PPAs with it or any material reduction in the prices NEP charges PG&E under those PPAs that occurs in connection with PG&E's Chapter 11 proceedings
  • Any events of default under the financing agreements of NEP's solar facilities that provide power and renewable energy credits to PG&E under these PPAs as a result of PG&E's reorganization activities, could have a material adverse effect on NEP's results of operations, financial condition or business
  • NEP's portfolio includes renewable energy projects that have a limited operating history.
  • Such projects may not perform as expected

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

21 / 46 earnings

Positive

+15.7%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-25.1%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.6%+4.2%+3.6%
Q4 2025+9.2%+6.0%+4.3%
Q3 2025-5.1%+2.3%-6.6%
Q1 2025+5.5%+5.2%+6.1%
Q4 2024-25.1%-33.3%-44.1%
Q3 2024-16.3%-18.7%-33.1%
Q2 2024-6.6%-3.7%-6.4%
Q1 2024+7.9%+5.4%+17.4%
Q4 2023+7.4%+12.0%+1.0%
Q3 2023+15.7%+22.4%+5.5%
Q2 2023-3.9%-8.4%-19.8%
Q1 2023-12.2%-9.7%-7.6%
Q4 2022-2.5%-4.5%-11.5%
Q3 2022-0.3%+0.7%+7.7%
Q2 2022+9.7%+8.8%+14.8%
Q1 2022-6.9%-10.6%-12.6%
Q4 2021-0.1%-1.2%+1.7%
Q3 2021+3.1%+5.0%+9.7%
Q2 2021-0.6%+3.1%+6.1%
Q1 2021+1.3%+2.7%-4.0%
Q4 2020-8.7%-3.0%-13.7%
Q3 2020-0.8%-0.4%-1.8%
Q2 2020+2.8%+6.7%+5.8%
Q1 2020+11.1%+10.8%+14.2%
Q4 2019-2.1%-0.6%+8.2%
Q3 2019+2.7%+2.6%+3.8%
Q2 2019-3.3%-3.3%-1.5%
Q1 2019-2.2%-0.5%-2.6%
Q4 2018-4.3%-6.7%-1.6%
Q3 2018-2.6%-9.6%-0.2%
Q2 2018+3.9%+3.7%+8.0%
Q1 2018+3.0%+5.5%+8.6%
Q4 2017+4.3%+6.9%-5.0%
Q3 2017-0.7%-0.4%-1.9%
Q2 2017+1.9%+6.1%+0.2%
Q1 2017+5.1%+3.9%+4.2%
Q4 2016+10.1%+14.2%+9.3%
Q3 2016-2.3%-4.3%-7.4%
Q2 2016-1.8%-3.5%-3.9%
Q1 2016-0.8%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+7.3%
Q2 2015-8.6%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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