NYSE$WM

Waste Management Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Accelerated earnings growth in the fourth quarter, driven by strong execution of price programs and optimization of cost of operations.

Waste Management reported strong Q4 2023 earnings, driven by pricing and operating excellence programs. The company's adjusted operating EBITDA grew by 14.7%, with margin expansion ahead of plan. WM anticipates continued growth throughout 2024.

  • Total company revenue grew by 5.7%, driven primarily by core price of 7.3%.
  • Adjusted operating EBITDA grew 14.7% to $1.56 billion, with margin expanding 240 basis points to 29.9% on an adjusted basis.
  • Operating EBITDA in the Collection and Disposal business grew $250 million to $1.77 billion.
  • The Company returned $593 million to shareholders, including $312 million of share repurchases and $281 million of cash dividends.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.22B

Previous: $4.94B+5.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.74

Previous: $1.30+33.8%
Core Price

7.3%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.04B

Previous: $2.81B-137.1%
Net Income

$493M

Previous: $499M-1.2%
Operating Income

$785M

Previous: $765M+2.6%
Gross Profit

$2.07B

Previous: $1.84B+12.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$22M

Previous: $13M+69.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Waste Management · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.22B

Q4 2023+5.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Waste Management anticipates continued growth throughout 2024, driven by disciplined pricing, enhanced operational efficiencies, prudent cost management, and contributions from investments in recycling and renewable energy businesses. The company expects total company adjusted operating EBITDA to grow almost 8% at the midpoint of its guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Total Company revenue is expected to grow between 6% and 7%.
  • Disciplined pricing programs are expected to result in core price of between 6% and 6.5%.
  • Collection and disposal yield approaching 5%.
  • Collection and disposal volume growth is expected to approach 1%.
  • Adjusted operating EBITDA margin is expected to be in the range of 29.0% and 29.4%, expanding 30 basis points at the midpoint of the range.

Headwinds

  • WM expects to spend in the range of $2.2 to $2.3 billion on capital expenditures to support its normal business activities.
  • WM intends to invest between $850 and $900 million for capital expenditures on high-return growth projects in its recycling and renewable energy businesses.
  • Free cash flow is projected to be between $1.90 and $2.05 billion including the sustainability growth investments.
  • The Company expects to invest $2.8 to $2.9 billion in growth investments across the recycling and renewable energy platforms from 2022 to 2026.
  • The Company’s outlook assumes a blended average single stream recycled commodity price of approximately $70 per ton.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

38 / 73 earnings

Positive

+8.6%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.2%+0.2%-7.0%
Q4 2025-1.9%-2.8%+4.0%
Q3 2025-4.4%-6.5%+1.7%
Q2 2025+0.3%+1.7%-3.5%
Q1 2025-0.1%+2.1%+3.8%
Q4 2024+6.1%+6.0%+11.1%
Q3 2024+6.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q2 2024-8.6%-8.3%-4.0%
Q1 2024+1.9%+1.6%+0.0%
Q4 2023+5.6%+6.7%+11.7%
Q3 2023+5.2%+3.5%+10.1%
Q2 2023-4.0%-5.2%-8.5%
Q1 2023-2.4%+0.7%-2.6%
Q4 2022-2.8%-1.9%-3.0%
Q3 2022-4.1%-4.0%-0.4%
Q2 2022+6.2%+5.4%+10.6%
Q1 2022+7.4%+5.4%+1.3%
Q4 2021-2.7%-2.7%+3.3%
Q3 2021-3.7%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2021-0.7%+1.1%+4.7%
Q1 2021+1.7%+3.0%+4.9%
Q4 2020-0.5%-2.0%+8.3%
Q3 2020+6.3%+10.5%+8.5%
Q2 2020-0.0%-0.8%+4.0%
Q1 2020+2.5%+1.5%+13.3%
Q4 2019+0.1%+0.5%-16.2%
Q3 2019-3.2%-4.8%-5.3%
Q2 2019+2.3%+1.9%+0.1%
Q1 2019-0.3%+1.2%+2.2%
Q4 2018+0.5%+0.5%+2.4%
Q3 2018-2.6%+1.8%+4.2%
Q2 2018+8.6%+9.1%+11.3%
Q1 2018-0.1%-1.7%-1.4%
Q4 2017+3.1%+2.7%+4.6%
Q3 2017+6.2%+6.0%+3.7%
Q2 2017-0.3%-0.6%+0.3%
Q1 2017-1.9%-1.6%-3.2%
Q4 2016+1.5%+2.1%+3.1%
Q3 2016+1.0%+4.7%+11.6%
Q2 2016-1.5%-1.3%-5.0%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+1.1%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014+0.3%
Q2 2014+3.4%
Q1 2014+2.5%
Q4 2013-5.7%
Q3 2013-2.5%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013+3.4%
Q4 2012+0.1%
Q3 2012+1.4%
Q2 2012+5.3%
Q1 2012-5.1%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011-2.8%
Q2 2011-11.3%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2010+0.1%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009-1.7%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2009+3.7%
Q3 2009-2.4%
Q3 2008-2.4%
Q2 2009-4.6%
Q4 2008-4.6%
Q4 2007-4.6%
Q2 2008-4.6%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro