NYSE$WM

Waste Management Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong organic revenue growth and cost optimization, driving record results.

Waste Management announced strong Q3 2024 results, driven by investments in technology and disciplined pricing programs, leading to an 11% growth in adjusted operating EBITDA and a record margin of 30.5%. The company is on track to deliver approximately $6.5 billion in adjusted operating EBITDA and $2.15 billion in free cash flow for the full year 2024.

  • Total company revenue grew by 7.9% driven by core price of 6.5%.
  • Adjusted operating EBITDA increased by $170 million, with the margin growing to a record high of 30.5%.
  • The company completed 24 out of 39 planned recycling automation and new market projects, adding 1.5 million tons of annual recycling capacity.
  • The company has invested $790 million on acquisitions in 2024, largely for solid waste businesses, and continues to work toward acquiring Stericycle.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.6B

Previous: $5.2B+7.8%
EPS

$1.88

Previous: $1.63+15.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$781M

Previous: -$673M-16.0%
Free Cash Flow

$760M

Previous: $663M+14.6%
Net Income

$760M

Previous: $663M+14.6%
Operating Income

$1.12B

Previous: $1.02B+9.6%
Gross Profit

$2.21B

Previous: $2.01B+9.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$614M

Previous: $150M+309.3%
Total Assets

$34.7B

Previous: $31.9B+8.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$27M

Previous: $24M+12.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Waste Management · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.6B

Q3 2024+7.8%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company anticipates continued growth in its solid waste business, increased contributions from sustainability growth investments, and the successful integration of the Stericycle business to create a significant step change in revenue, earnings, and free cash flow in 2025. The Company expects to deliver adjusted operating EBITDA near the upper end of 2024 guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Continued growth in the solid waste business is expected.
  • Increased contributions from sustainability growth investments are anticipated.
  • Successful integration of the Stericycle business is expected to create a significant step change in revenue.
  • Successful integration of the Stericycle business is expected to create a significant step change in earnings.
  • Successful integration of the Stericycle business is expected to create a significant step change in free cash flow.

Headwinds

  • Failure to implement optimization, automation, growth, and cost savings initiatives and overall business strategy.
  • Failure to obtain the results anticipated from strategic initiatives, investments, acquisitions, including the planned Stericycle acquisition, or new lines of business.
  • Existing or new environmental and other regulations, including developments related to emerging contaminants, gas emissions, renewable energy, extended producer responsibility and our natural gas fleet.
  • Macroeconomic conditions, geopolitical conflict and large-scale market disruption resulting in labor, supply chain and transportation constraints, inflationary cost pressures and fluctuations in commodity prices, fuel and other energy costs.
  • Weakness in general economic conditions and capital markets, including potential for an economic recession.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

38 / 73 earnings

Positive

+8.6%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.2%+0.2%-7.0%
Q4 2025-1.9%-2.8%+4.0%
Q3 2025-4.4%-6.5%+1.7%
Q2 2025+0.3%+1.7%-3.5%
Q1 2025-0.1%+2.1%+3.8%
Q4 2024+6.1%+6.0%+11.1%
Q3 2024+6.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q2 2024-8.6%-8.3%-4.0%
Q1 2024+1.9%+1.6%+0.0%
Q4 2023+5.6%+6.7%+11.7%
Q3 2023+5.2%+3.5%+10.1%
Q2 2023-4.0%-5.2%-8.5%
Q1 2023-2.4%+0.7%-2.6%
Q4 2022-2.8%-1.9%-3.0%
Q3 2022-4.1%-4.0%-0.4%
Q2 2022+6.2%+5.4%+10.6%
Q1 2022+7.4%+5.4%+1.3%
Q4 2021-2.7%-2.7%+3.3%
Q3 2021-3.7%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2021-0.7%+1.1%+4.7%
Q1 2021+1.7%+3.0%+4.9%
Q4 2020-0.5%-2.0%+8.3%
Q3 2020+6.3%+10.5%+8.5%
Q2 2020-0.0%-0.8%+4.0%
Q1 2020+2.5%+1.5%+13.3%
Q4 2019+0.1%+0.5%-16.2%
Q3 2019-3.2%-4.8%-5.3%
Q2 2019+2.3%+1.9%+0.1%
Q1 2019-0.3%+1.2%+2.2%
Q4 2018+0.5%+0.5%+2.4%
Q3 2018-2.6%+1.8%+4.2%
Q2 2018+8.6%+9.1%+11.3%
Q1 2018-0.1%-1.7%-1.4%
Q4 2017+3.1%+2.7%+4.6%
Q3 2017+6.2%+6.0%+3.7%
Q2 2017-0.3%-0.6%+0.3%
Q1 2017-1.9%-1.6%-3.2%
Q4 2016+1.5%+2.1%+3.1%
Q3 2016+1.0%+4.7%+11.6%
Q2 2016-1.5%-1.3%-5.0%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+1.1%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014+0.3%
Q2 2014+3.4%
Q1 2014+2.5%
Q4 2013-5.7%
Q3 2013-2.5%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013+3.4%
Q4 2012+0.1%
Q3 2012+1.4%
Q2 2012+5.3%
Q1 2012-5.1%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011-2.8%
Q2 2011-11.3%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2010+0.1%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009-1.7%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2009+3.7%
Q3 2009-2.4%
Q3 2008-2.4%
Q2 2009-4.6%
Q4 2008-4.6%
Q4 2007-4.6%
Q2 2008-4.6%

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