NYSE$WM

Waste Management Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced second quarter earnings, demonstrating business’ resiliency and disciplined focus on cost and capital management.

Waste Management reported a decrease in revenue to $3.56 billion compared to $3.95 billion in the same period last year. Net income decreased to $307 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, compared to $381 million, or $0.89 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2019. The company saw robust improvements in volumes and earnings each month as we progressed through the quarter with June standing out as the strongest month.

  • Revenue declined by $331 million in the collection and disposal business, driven by volume declines partially offset by yield growth.
  • Core price for the second quarter was 1.3% compared to 4.2% in the second quarter of 2019.
  • Operating expenses as a percentage of revenue improved 70 basis points to 61.2% when compared to the second quarter of 2019.
  • Total Company operating EBITDA was $941 million, or 26.4% as a percentage of revenue for the second quarter of 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.56B

Previous: $3.95B-9.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.88

Previous: $1.11-20.7%
Core Price

1.3%

Previous: 4.2%-69.0%
Free Cash Flow

$307M

Previous: $381M-19.4%
Net Income

$307M

Previous: $381M-19.4%
Operating Income

$527M

Previous: $696M-24.3%
Gross Profit

$1.38B

Previous: $1.5B-8.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.66B

Previous: $2.25B+18.4%
Total Assets

$26.6B

Previous: $26B+2.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$10M

Previous: $16M-37.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Waste Management · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.56B

Q2 2020-9.8%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Total revenue for 2020 is expected to decline between 4% and 5% when compared to full year 2019. Company now expects adjusted operating EBITDA margin to be in the range of 28.0% to 28.5%, or flat to down 50 basis points on a year-over-year basis. Capital expenditures are projected to be between $1.55 and $1.65 billion, and the Company expects to generate free cash flow approaching $2 billion, exclusive of transaction and advisory costs incurred for the acquisition of Advanced Disposal.

Tailwinds

  • Strong performance in the second quarter of 2020
  • Improved volume outlook
  • Adjusted operating EBITDA margin expected to be in the range of 28.0% to 28.5%
  • Capital expenditures projected to be between $1.55 and $1.65 billion
  • Free cash flow approaching $2 billion

Headwinds

  • Total revenue for 2020 is expected to decline between 4% and 5% when compared to full year 2019.
  • Adjusted operating EBITDA margin flat to down 50 basis points on a year-over-year basis.
  • COVID-19 pandemic
  • Economic uncertainty
  • Transaction and advisory costs for the acquisition of Advanced Disposal

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

38 / 73 earnings

Positive

+8.6%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.2%+0.2%-7.0%
Q4 2025-1.9%-2.8%+4.0%
Q3 2025-4.4%-6.5%+1.7%
Q2 2025+0.3%+1.7%-3.5%
Q1 2025-0.1%+2.1%+3.8%
Q4 2024+6.1%+6.0%+11.1%
Q3 2024+6.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q2 2024-8.6%-8.3%-4.0%
Q1 2024+1.9%+1.6%+0.0%
Q4 2023+5.6%+6.7%+11.7%
Q3 2023+5.2%+3.5%+10.1%
Q2 2023-4.0%-5.2%-8.5%
Q1 2023-2.4%+0.7%-2.6%
Q4 2022-2.8%-1.9%-3.0%
Q3 2022-4.1%-4.0%-0.4%
Q2 2022+6.2%+5.4%+10.6%
Q1 2022+7.4%+5.4%+1.3%
Q4 2021-2.7%-2.7%+3.3%
Q3 2021-3.7%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2021-0.7%+1.1%+4.7%
Q1 2021+1.7%+3.0%+4.9%
Q4 2020-0.5%-2.0%+8.3%
Q3 2020+6.3%+10.5%+8.5%
Q2 2020-0.0%-0.8%+4.0%
Q1 2020+2.5%+1.5%+13.3%
Q4 2019+0.1%+0.5%-16.2%
Q3 2019-3.2%-4.8%-5.3%
Q2 2019+2.3%+1.9%+0.1%
Q1 2019-0.3%+1.2%+2.2%
Q4 2018+0.5%+0.5%+2.4%
Q3 2018-2.6%+1.8%+4.2%
Q2 2018+8.6%+9.1%+11.3%
Q1 2018-0.1%-1.7%-1.4%
Q4 2017+3.1%+2.7%+4.6%
Q3 2017+6.2%+6.0%+3.7%
Q2 2017-0.3%-0.6%+0.3%
Q1 2017-1.9%-1.6%-3.2%
Q4 2016+1.5%+2.1%+3.1%
Q3 2016+1.0%+4.7%+11.6%
Q2 2016-1.5%-1.3%-5.0%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015+1.1%
Q3 2015+2.7%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014+0.3%
Q2 2014+3.4%
Q1 2014+2.5%
Q4 2013-5.7%
Q3 2013-2.5%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013+3.4%
Q4 2012+0.1%
Q3 2012+1.4%
Q2 2012+5.3%
Q1 2012-5.1%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011-2.8%
Q2 2011-11.3%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2010+0.1%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q1 2009-1.7%
Q1 2010+0.4%
Q4 2009+3.7%
Q3 2009-2.4%
Q3 2008-2.4%
Q2 2009-4.6%
Q4 2008-4.6%
Q4 2007-4.6%
Q2 2008-4.6%

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