NYSE$WCN

Waste Connections Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Waste Connections reported Q4 2023 results, demonstrating revenue growth and margin expansion.

Waste Connections reported an 8.9% increase in revenue to $2.036 billion for Q4 2023. Net income was $126.8 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 16.4% to $656.0 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 200 basis points to 32.2%.

  • Revenue increased by 8.9% year over year, reaching $2.036 billion.
  • Net income was reported at $126.8 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 16.4% year over year to $656.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 200 basis points to 32.2%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.04B

Previous: $1.87B+8.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.11

Previous: $0.89+24.7%
Core Price Growth

8.7%

Previous: 9.0%-3.3%
Surcharges

-0.8%

Previous: 1.6%-150.0%
Volume

-2.3%

Previous: -2.5%+8.0%
Recycling

0.8%

Previous: -2.9%+127.6%
Total Internal Growth

6.3%

Previous: 4.3%+46.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$307M

Previous: $294M-204.4%
Net Income

$127M

Previous: $194M-34.8%
Operating Income

$225M

Previous: $312M-28.0%
Gross Profit

$603M

Previous: $731M-17.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$14.3M

Previous: $15.1M-5.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Waste Connections · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.04B

Q4 2023+8.9%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Waste Connections · $2.06B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Solid Waste Collection
    $1.51B+10.5%
  • Disposal & Transfer
    $418M+12.7%
  • E&P Waste
    $58.5M+10.4%
  • Intermodal & Other
    $44.9M-1.4%
  • Solid Waste Recycling
    $35.1M-23.5%

Forward guidance

Waste Connections anticipates adjusted EBITDA growth of over 13% and adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 120 basis points in 2024. They expect a revenue contribution of approximately 4% from acquisitions already completed.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates adjusted EBITDA growth of over 13%.
  • Expects adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 120 basis points, reaching 32.7%.
  • Projects a revenue contribution of approximately 4% from completed acquisitions.
  • Potential upside from additional acquisitions.
  • Possible increases in recovered commodity values or reduction of inflationary pressures.

Headwinds

  • Outlook assumes no change in the current economic environment.
  • Outlook excludes impact from additional acquisitions that may close during the year.
  • Outlook excludes expensing of transaction-related items.
  • Actual results may differ materially depending on risks and uncertainties.
  • Risk factors detailed in the company's filings with the SEC and Canadian securities commissions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

37 / 65 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.1%+4.5%-0.6%
Q4 2025-8.2%-6.1%-3.0%
Q3 2025+2.7%+0.6%+0.9%
Q2 2025+0.0%+0.6%-4.7%
Q1 2025+0.5%-0.1%+0.6%
Q4 2024-0.6%-1.2%-2.5%
Q3 2024-1.5%-2.4%+4.7%
Q2 2024-2.9%-2.7%+3.2%
Q1 2024-0.6%-0.9%-0.4%
Q4 2023+6.3%+8.7%+9.6%
Q3 2023-4.8%-3.4%-0.8%
Q2 2023-1.5%+0.2%-2.5%
Q1 2023-3.1%-1.5%-2.0%
Q4 2022+1.2%+1.1%-0.2%
Q3 2022+5.8%+6.5%+11.1%
Q2 2022+2.7%+4.7%+5.5%
Q1 2022-2.5%-5.8%-3.2%
Q4 2021+0.7%+1.2%+15.5%
Q3 2021+0.5%+3.0%+1.6%
Q2 2021-1.2%-1.8%+2.9%
Q1 2021+1.3%+2.8%+3.8%
Q4 2020+1.3%+0.4%+4.6%
Q3 2020-2.7%-1.9%+2.8%
Q2 2020+0.7%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2020+5.3%+7.2%+12.6%
Q4 2019+3.1%+4.1%-11.0%
Q3 2019+1.1%+0.7%-0.1%
Q2 2019-3.3%-5.0%-3.8%
Q1 2019+2.1%+3.3%+6.0%
Q4 2018-4.6%-2.5%-0.6%
Q3 2018+3.5%+1.8%+7.9%
Q2 2018+1.7%+0.8%+1.6%
Q1 2018+2.2%+4.1%+8.2%
Q4 2017+0.7%+3.6%+7.3%
Q3 2017+2.7%+1.2%-2.0%
Q2 2017+3.3%+1.8%+1.3%
Q1 2017+2.8%+2.0%+4.6%
Q4 2016+3.7%+4.5%+3.9%
Q3 2016-1.7%-0.1%+3.0%
Q2 2016+3.2%+5.0%+6.8%
Q1 2016+3.4%
Q4 2015-1.4%
Q3 2015-4.0%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-1.5%
Q3 2014+2.2%
Q2 2014+1.1%
Q1 2014-0.0%
Q4 2013+0.9%
Q3 2013-2.3%
Q2 2013-0.6%
Q1 2013+3.9%
Q4 2012-2.7%
Q3 2012-3.4%
Q1 2012+2.0%
Q2 2012+2.0%
Q4 2010+1.3%
Q4 2011+1.3%
Q3 2011-5.4%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q1 2011-3.4%
Q3 2010-2.9%
Q2 2010+6.9%
Q1 2010-1.1%

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