NYSE$WCN

Waste Connections Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Waste Connections reported strong revenue growth of 11.02% YoY in Q4 2024, reaching $2.26 billion. However, the company faced an operating loss of $199.19 million due to $601.57 million in impairments related to landfill closures. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $731.95 million, showing solid operational performance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.26B

Previous: $2.04B+11.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.16

Previous: $1.11+4.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$378M

Previous: -$307M-22.9%
Free Cash Flow

$152M

No prior period
Net Income

-$196M

Previous: $127M-254.6%
Operating Income

-$199M

Previous: $225M-188.7%
Gross Profit

$936M

Previous: $603M+55.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Waste Connections · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.26B

Q4 2024+11%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Waste Connections · $2.06B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Solid Waste Collection
    $1.51B+10.5%
  • Disposal & Transfer
    $418M+12.7%
  • E&P Waste
    $58.5M+10.4%
  • Intermodal & Other
    $44.9M-1.4%
  • Solid Waste Recycling
    $35.1M-23.5%

Forward guidance

Waste Connections expects revenue between $9.45B and $9.60B in 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin expansion up to 33.3%. The company anticipates higher free cash flow and continued acquisition-driven growth.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue expected to grow up to 9.60B in 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin projected to expand up to 33.3%
  • Continued acquisitions expected to drive growth
  • Improving commodity-driven revenues
  • Strong balance sheet with leverage below 2.7x

Headwinds

  • Impairments and landfill closures could impact profitability
  • Volume declines in solid waste internal growth
  • Higher capital expenditures planned, impacting short-term cash flow
  • Potential fluctuations in recycling revenue
  • Macroeconomic uncertainties affecting demand

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

37 / 65 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.1%+4.5%-0.6%
Q4 2025-8.2%-6.1%-3.0%
Q3 2025+2.7%+0.6%+0.9%
Q2 2025+0.0%+0.6%-4.7%
Q1 2025+0.5%-0.1%+0.6%
Q4 2024-0.6%-1.2%-2.5%
Q3 2024-1.5%-2.4%+4.7%
Q2 2024-2.9%-2.7%+3.2%
Q1 2024-0.6%-0.9%-0.4%
Q4 2023+6.3%+8.7%+9.6%
Q3 2023-4.8%-3.4%-0.8%
Q2 2023-1.5%+0.2%-2.5%
Q1 2023-3.1%-1.5%-2.0%
Q4 2022+1.2%+1.1%-0.2%
Q3 2022+5.8%+6.5%+11.1%
Q2 2022+2.7%+4.7%+5.5%
Q1 2022-2.5%-5.8%-3.2%
Q4 2021+0.7%+1.2%+15.5%
Q3 2021+0.5%+3.0%+1.6%
Q2 2021-1.2%-1.8%+2.9%
Q1 2021+1.3%+2.8%+3.8%
Q4 2020+1.3%+0.4%+4.6%
Q3 2020-2.7%-1.9%+2.8%
Q2 2020+0.7%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2020+5.3%+7.2%+12.6%
Q4 2019+3.1%+4.1%-11.0%
Q3 2019+1.1%+0.7%-0.1%
Q2 2019-3.3%-5.0%-3.8%
Q1 2019+2.1%+3.3%+6.0%
Q4 2018-4.6%-2.5%-0.6%
Q3 2018+3.5%+1.8%+7.9%
Q2 2018+1.7%+0.8%+1.6%
Q1 2018+2.2%+4.1%+8.2%
Q4 2017+0.7%+3.6%+7.3%
Q3 2017+2.7%+1.2%-2.0%
Q2 2017+3.3%+1.8%+1.3%
Q1 2017+2.8%+2.0%+4.6%
Q4 2016+3.7%+4.5%+3.9%
Q3 2016-1.7%-0.1%+3.0%
Q2 2016+3.2%+5.0%+6.8%
Q1 2016+3.4%
Q4 2015-1.4%
Q3 2015-4.0%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-1.5%
Q3 2014+2.2%
Q2 2014+1.1%
Q1 2014-0.0%
Q4 2013+0.9%
Q3 2013-2.3%
Q2 2013-0.6%
Q1 2013+3.9%
Q4 2012-2.7%
Q3 2012-3.4%
Q1 2012+2.0%
Q2 2012+2.0%
Q4 2010+1.3%
Q4 2011+1.3%
Q3 2011-5.4%
Q2 2011-0.6%
Q1 2011-3.4%
Q3 2010-2.9%
Q2 2010+6.9%
Q1 2010-1.1%

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