NYSE$VTR

Ventas Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ventas experienced strong growth driven by property performance, particularly in SHOP and Outpatient Medical & Research portfolios.

Ventas reported strong growth in Q4 2023, driven by property performance, especially in the senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP) and outpatient medical & research portfolio. The company anticipates unprecedented demand for senior housing in the coming years due to the growing senior population.

  • Ventas delivered strong growth in the fourth quarter and full year 2023, fueled by property performance.
  • The company achieved consecutive years of significant organic growth in its senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP).
  • Ventas expects unprecedented demand for senior housing in 2024 and subsequent years.
  • The company is focused on leveraging its differentiated platform to drive continued organic SHOP performance and investing in senior housing.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.16B

Previous: $1.05B+10.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.76

Previous: $0.73+4.1%
Normalized FFO per share

$0.76

No prior period
Nareit FFO per share

$0.79

No prior period
Net Income

-$84.7M

Previous: -$43.4M-95.3%
Operating Income

-$113M

Previous: -$83.1M-35.9%
Gross Profit

-$671M

Previous: $460M-245.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.69M

Previous: $1.93M+194.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Ventas · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.16B

Q4 2023+10.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ventas · $1.15B total across 6 segments · Q3 2023

  • Resident fees and services
    $754M+12.8%
  • Outpatient medical and research portfolio
    $226M
  • Triple-net leased properties
    $160M
  • Third-party capital management revenues
    $5.32M
  • Interest and other income
    $2.75M+463.2%
  • Income from loans and investments
    $1.21M-90.5%

Forward guidance

Ventas expects significant property NOI growth, led by SHOP in 2024 based on favorable supply/demand fundamentals and the Company’s advantaged platform.

Tailwinds

  • Significant property NOI growth is expected.
  • SHOP is expected to lead growth in 2024.
  • Favorable supply/demand fundamentals.
  • Company’s advantaged platform.
  • Full year guidance for 2024 Normalized FFO per share of $3.13 at the midpoint of the range compares to 2023 Normalized FFO per share of $2.99.

Headwinds

  • Higher interest expense is expected to impact results negatively.
  • Capital recycling activities are expected to have a negative impact.
  • Guidance is based on assumptions that are subject to change.
  • Actual results may vary from these assumptions.
  • There can be no assurance that the Company will achieve these results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

42 / 73 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-10.8%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%+3.9%+1.7%
Q4 2025+3.4%+7.3%+6.3%
Q3 2025+6.8%+7.4%+15.5%
Q2 2025+0.5%+2.0%+1.3%
Q1 2025-6.5%-6.1%-8.3%
Q4 2024+8.3%+11.4%+11.6%
Q3 2024-0.8%-2.5%-3.0%
Q2 2024+3.6%+5.0%+14.1%
Q1 2024+4.4%+6.3%+13.5%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.6%-4.5%
Q3 2023+3.0%+2.3%+9.3%
Q2 2023-7.3%-6.2%-11.1%
Q1 2023-2.1%-2.8%-3.1%
Q4 2022-1.7%-2.0%-13.9%
Q3 2022+5.7%+13.0%+23.7%
Q2 2022-5.1%-1.9%-8.2%
Q1 2022-1.4%-8.9%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+0.9%+13.4%
Q3 2021-0.5%+3.7%-10.7%
Q2 2021-4.3%-5.1%-6.1%
Q1 2021+1.7%-3.4%+5.1%
Q4 2020+3.5%+7.9%+7.6%
Q3 2020+13.9%+17.8%+20.3%
Q2 2020+7.8%+4.0%+12.8%
Q1 2020+7.2%-1.1%+59.8%
Q4 2019+6.5%+1.1%-63.4%
Q3 2019-10.8%-10.4%-20.8%
Q2 2019+0.1%-0.3%+6.7%
Q1 2019+0.7%+2.8%+10.9%
Q4 2018-1.1%-0.4%-3.8%
Q3 2018+0.6%+2.0%+8.0%
Q2 2018-3.3%-0.9%+2.4%
Q1 2018+8.3%+10.3%+13.0%
Q4 2017-0.9%-2.6%-2.4%
Q3 2017+3.5%+3.2%+5.9%
Q2 2017-0.1%-2.1%+0.7%
Q1 2017-0.2%-2.1%+3.8%
Q4 2016+1.6%-0.2%-2.1%
Q3 2016+2.0%-4.8%-9.3%
Q2 2016+2.7%-1.1%-3.2%
Q1 2016+0.6%
Q4 2015+2.1%
Q3 2015-5.7%
Q2 2015+3.8%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014-0.6%
Q2 2014-0.3%
Q1 2014+2.2%
Q4 2013-1.9%
Q3 2013+0.9%
Q2 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2012+2.3%
Q3 2012+0.4%
Q2 2012+2.2%
Q1 2012+0.1%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q3 2011+0.9%
Q2 2011-9.3%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q4 2010-6.2%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q2 2010+4.0%
Q1 2009-0.8%
Q1 2010-1.6%
Q4 2007+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q3 2008-2.1%
Q3 2009-2.1%
Q2 2008+1.7%
Q2 2009+1.7%
Q4 2008+1.7%

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