NYSE$VTR
Ventas Inc · Q4 2019 earnings
Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Announced results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2019.
Ventas, Inc. reported solid enterprise results for Q4 2019, benefiting from its diverse high-quality portfolio and effective capital markets execution. While the Senior Housing business faced challenges, actions are being taken to improve performance and position the company for future success.
- Medical Office, Healthcare and Research & Innovation portfolios grew and performed well.
- Team is sharply focused on achieving goals and delivering value for stakeholders as they enter 2020.
- Well-positioned to benefit from expected improvement in senior housing fundamentals.
- Actions are being taken to improve performance and position Ventas for success and growth
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Ventas · Revenue · Quarterly
$996M
Revenue by segment
Ventas · $214M total across 3 segments · Q4 2019
- Triple-net leased properties$191M—89.1%
- Income from loans and investments$22.4M—10.4%
- Interest and other income$875K—0.4%
Forward guidance
Ventas expects 2020 per share Normalized FFO, Nareit FFO and net income attributable to common stockholders, and same-store cash NOI growth, assuming no new investments and approximately $1.3 billion in divestitures and receipt of loan repayments (inclusive of $0.6 billion in proceeds arising from property contributions to seed the Fund), to range as follows:
Tailwinds
- Office and NNN Healthcare portfolio to contribute an incremental $0.04 per share to its 2020 Normalized FFO
- Total Senior Housing (NNN and SHOP) portfolio to contribute approximately the same amount per share of Normalized FFO in 2020 as it did in the fourth quarter 2019 annualized.
- Proceeds from the dispositions will be used to fund future growth through investment in $0.6 billion of high-quality developments and redevelopment projects in 2020, principally in the Office segment.
Headwinds
- Full year SHOP year over year same-store NOI growth is projected to be negative in 2020 as a result of the trajectory of the business in the second half of 2019 and the resulting lower occupancy start point in January 2020, together with the impact of cumulative supply.
- Capital recycling, including the anticipated sale of non-core senior housing assets ($0.6 billion), as well as other dispositions and loan repayments ($0.2 billion), is expected to be approximately ($0.05) dilutive to earnings in 2020.
- While the Fund is expected to be accretive to Ventas earnings as it scales assets under management, it will initially be dilutive to the Company by ($0.03) per share in 2020.
- The Company’s 2020 guidance is based on a number of other assumptions that are subject to change and many of which are outside the control of the Company.
- There can be no assurance that the Company will achieve these results.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019
+0.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.1%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.3%
Avg return
30 days after
58%
42 / 73 earnings
Positive
+13.9%
Q3 2020
Best reaction
-10.8%
Q3 2019
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.8% | +3.9% | +1.7% | |
| Q4 2025 | +3.4% | +7.3% | +6.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | +6.8% | +7.4% | +15.5% | |
| Q2 2025 | +0.5% | +2.0% | +1.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | -6.5% | -6.1% | -8.3% | |
| Q4 2024 | +8.3% | +11.4% | +11.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | -0.8% | -2.5% | -3.0% | |
| Q2 2024 | +3.6% | +5.0% | +14.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +4.4% | +6.3% | +13.5% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.6% | -1.6% | -4.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +3.0% | +2.3% | +9.3% | |
| Q2 2023 | -7.3% | -6.2% | -11.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | -2.1% | -2.8% | -3.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | -1.7% | -2.0% | -13.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | +5.7% | +13.0% | +23.7% | |
| Q2 2022 | -5.1% | -1.9% | -8.2% | |
| Q1 2022 | -1.4% | -8.9% | -2.7% | |
| Q4 2021 | +1.0% | +0.9% | +13.4% | |
| Q3 2021 | -0.5% | +3.7% | -10.7% | |
| Q2 2021 | -4.3% | -5.1% | -6.1% | |
| Q1 2021 | +1.7% | -3.4% | +5.1% | |
| Q4 2020 | +3.5% | +7.9% | +7.6% | |
| Q3 2020 | +13.9% | +17.8% | +20.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | +7.8% | +4.0% | +12.8% | |
| Q1 2020 | +7.2% | -1.1% | +59.8% | |
| Q4 2019 | +6.5% | +1.1% | -63.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | -10.8% | -10.4% | -20.8% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.1% | -0.3% | +6.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | +0.7% | +2.8% | +10.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | -1.1% | -0.4% | -3.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | +0.6% | +2.0% | +8.0% | |
| Q2 2018 | -3.3% | -0.9% | +2.4% | |
| Q1 2018 | +8.3% | +10.3% | +13.0% | |
| Q4 2017 | -0.9% | -2.6% | -2.4% | |
| Q3 2017 | +3.5% | +3.2% | +5.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | -0.1% | -2.1% | +0.7% | |
| Q1 2017 | -0.2% | -2.1% | +3.8% | |
| Q4 2016 | +1.6% | -0.2% | -2.1% | |
| Q3 2016 | +2.0% | -4.8% | -9.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | +2.7% | -1.1% | -3.2% | |
| Q1 2016 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +2.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -5.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -0.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -9.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -6.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +4.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -2.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +1.7% | — | — |
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