NYSE$USFD

US Foods Holding Corp. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

US Foods reported a 6.2% YoY increase in revenue to $9.49 billion, driven by strong case volume growth and food cost inflation. However, net income declined 55.1% due to a one-time pension settlement expense and LIFO adjustment impact. Adjusted EBITDA increased 13.7% to $441 million, with margin expansion of 30 basis points.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$9.49B

Previous: $8.94B+6.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.84

Previous: $0.64+31.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$441M

Previous: $388M+13.7%
Total Case Volume Growth

3.5%

Previous: 5.6%-37.5%
Food Cost Inflation

2.9%

No prior period
Net Income Margin

0.7%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

4.6%

Previous: 4.3%+7.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$105M

Previous: -$142M+26.1%
Net Income

$66M

Previous: $147M-55.1%
Operating Income

$302M

Previous: $278M+8.6%
Gross Profit

$1.67B

Previous: $1.59B+4.8%

Revenue & EPS history

US Foods · Revenue · Quarterly

$9.49B

Q4 2024+6.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 15 quarters(27%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

US Foods expects continued revenue growth of 4-6% in FY25, with margin expansion and strong adjusted EBITDA growth. The company is focused on operational efficiencies and volume growth to drive profitability.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth expected between 4% and 6%
  • Adjusted EBITDA growth forecasted between 8% and 12%
  • Adjusted EPS projected to grow between 17% and 23%
  • Operational efficiencies and pricing optimization to support margins
  • Acquisition of Jake's Finer Foods to expand market presence

Headwinds

  • Macroeconomic uncertainties may impact foodservice demand
  • Labor cost inflation could pressure margins
  • Potential supply chain disruptions remain a risk
  • Higher interest rates may impact financing costs
  • Ongoing cost inflation could affect pricing strategies

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

29 / 45 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-16.7%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.7%-8.8%-8.1%
Q4 2025+13.4%+8.0%+5.2%
Q3 2025-3.8%-2.6%+1.5%
Q1 2025+3.8%+6.8%+12.5%
Q4 2024+1.7%+1.3%-6.3%
Q3 2024+1.7%+1.8%+9.4%
Q2 2024+1.8%+5.3%+11.8%
Q1 2024+4.6%+4.1%+2.0%
Q4 2023+5.6%+6.0%+15.0%
Q3 2023+3.5%+5.8%+8.7%
Q2 2023-2.8%-5.8%-7.9%
Q1 2023+8.2%+7.0%+10.4%
Q4 2022+7.2%+6.3%-5.1%
Q3 2022+15.5%+15.1%+17.7%
Q2 2022+3.0%+3.0%-3.0%
Q1 2022+1.6%+2.4%-13.2%
Q4 2021-2.2%-3.7%-5.2%
Q3 2021-7.5%-11.8%-11.6%
Q2 2021+1.7%+0.6%-3.3%
Q1 2021-4.2%-2.9%-3.9%
Q4 2020-4.6%-1.3%-0.1%
Q3 2020+10.2%+11.6%+55.8%
Q2 2020+9.1%+15.5%+20.8%
Q1 2020-8.3%-1.6%+5.9%
Q4 2019-0.7%-0.6%-50.8%
Q3 2019+0.8%-2.8%+0.0%
Q2 2019+10.3%+10.8%+16.0%
Q1 2019+3.6%+5.5%-2.1%
Q4 2018+0.6%+0.1%-1.8%
Q3 2018+13.4%+12.5%+15.0%
Q2 2018-16.7%-18.5%-20.9%
Q1 2018+1.6%+1.1%+10.2%
Q4 2017+9.3%+6.6%+14.3%
Q3 2017-1.1%-1.3%+13.6%
Q2 2017-5.8%-6.4%-5.3%
Q1 2017-2.4%-0.3%+3.5%
Q4 2015-0.9%-1.2%-0.3%
Q4 2014-0.9%-1.2%-0.3%
Q4 2016-0.9%+1.6%-0.9%
Q3 2016+1.1%+1.8%+6.6%
Q3 2015+1.1%+1.8%+6.6%
Q2 2015+1.4%+1.6%+1.4%
Q1 2016+1.4%+1.6%+1.4%
Q1 2015+1.4%+1.6%+1.4%
Q2 2016+1.4%+1.6%+1.4%

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