NYSE$TROX

Tronox Holdings PLC · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results with free cash flow exceeding expectations due to cash management initiatives.

Tronox reported Q4 2022 revenue of $649 million and a net loss of $14 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $113 million, and free cash flow was $126 million. The company faced volume declines in TiO2 and zircon but managed full-year Adjusted EBITDA of $875 million.

  • Revenue for Q4 2022 was $649 million.
  • The company reported a net loss of $14 million for Q4 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2022 was $113 million with a margin of 17.4%.
  • Free cash flow for Q4 2022 reached $126 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$649M

Previous: $884M-26.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.17

Previous: $0.53-132.1%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

17.4%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$126M

Previous: $50M+152.0%
Net Income

-$14M

Previous: $87M-116.1%
Operating Income

$36M

Previous: $134M-73.1%
Gross Profit

$105M

Previous: $218M-51.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$164M

Previous: $228M-28.1%
Total Assets

$6.31B

Previous: $5.99B+5.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Tronox · Revenue · Quarterly

$649M

Q4 2022-26.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tronox · $649M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • TiO2
    $478M-29.2%
  • Zircon
    $91M-23.5%
  • Other products
    $80M

Forward guidance

Q1 2023 Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $120-130 million.

Tailwinds

  • Market demand is expected to grow throughout the coatings season.
  • EBITDA is expected to continue to grow throughout 2023.
  • Margins are expected to expand due to growing sales volumes and lower costs.
  • Relief in input prices is anticipated.
  • Operational efficiencies are expected to improve, leading to fixed cost leverage on growing production volumes.

Headwinds

  • Global supply chain challenges.
  • Inflation-related challenges.
  • Impacts from operational challenges at KZN, South Africa from a fire.
  • Historical flooding at the new Atlas Campaspe mine site in Australia drove higher than anticipated costs.
  • First quarter TiO2 sales volume levels are expected to increase sequentially in the low- to mid-teens on a percent basis, but will remain depressed relative to the first quarter of 2022

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

30 / 61 earnings

Positive

+33.8%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-20.8%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%+4.3%-13.2%
Q4 2025-10.5%+3.6%+0.9%
Q3 2025-0.6%+9.1%+20.4%
Q1 2025+1.5%-1.8%+5.0%
Q4 2024-11.0%-18.4%-28.0%
Q3 2024-7.5%-9.9%-8.4%
Q2 2024-17.6%-16.8%-13.8%
Q1 2024+12.9%+10.2%+16.6%
Q4 2023+9.8%+12.7%+25.0%
Q3 2023+2.7%+0.5%+20.1%
Q2 2023-4.3%-10.0%-15.6%
Q1 2023-0.4%+7.1%-9.7%
Q4 2022-3.2%-2.9%-19.9%
Q3 2022-6.8%-11.0%+5.4%
Q2 2022-0.6%-4.3%-5.8%
Q1 2022-1.6%-4.6%+1.3%
Q4 2021-6.7%-9.9%-13.1%
Q3 2021-9.1%-5.6%-8.6%
Q2 2021+1.9%-3.0%+19.2%
Q1 2021+0.3%+1.0%+7.0%
Q4 2020-2.9%+7.0%-4.1%
Q3 2020+5.8%+17.1%+37.8%
Q2 2020-2.4%-1.0%+18.5%
Q1 2020-8.4%+3.5%+24.2%
Q4 2019-12.0%-16.7%-30.2%
Q3 2019+2.9%+6.4%+5.3%
Q2 2019-2.3%-6.4%-12.1%
Q1 2019-6.1%-9.3%-8.4%
Q4 2018+2.2%+1.4%+13.7%
Q3 2018+5.2%+3.4%-17.5%
Q2 2018-8.9%-7.7%-12.2%
Q1 2018+1.4%+0.1%+9.1%
Q4 2017+8.3%+9.4%+0.9%
Q3 2017+1.9%+3.5%-24.6%
Q2 2017-1.8%-1.5%+9.9%
Q1 2017-6.2%-4.3%-8.0%
Q4 2016+33.8%+20.7%+15.5%
Q3 2016+3.1%+17.2%+36.0%
Q2 2016+6.9%+19.1%+50.4%
Q1 2016-5.4%
Q4 2015+8.3%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-6.0%
Q4 2014-3.7%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+6.5%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013+14.3%
Q3 2013+0.6%
Q2 2013+2.9%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012-18.6%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q4 2011+2.5%
Q3 2011-8.2%
Q2 2011+5.2%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q4 2010+0.0%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010

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