NYSE$TROX

Tronox Holdings PLC · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tronox experienced a mixed third quarter, with revenue increasing year-over-year but falling short of expectations due to softer market conditions.

Tronox reported a 21% increase in revenue compared to the prior year, driven by higher volumes in TiO2, zircon, and other products. However, the company experienced a net loss of $25 million, or $0.16 per diluted share, and Adjusted EBITDA of $143 million, which was below previous guidance due to weaker demand and higher freight costs. The company anticipates lower TiO2 volumes in Q4 and expects Adjusted EBITDA to be between $120-135 million.

  • Revenue increased by 21% year-over-year to $804 million, driven by higher volumes.
  • Net loss was $25 million, or $0.16 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $143 million with a margin of 17.8%, below previous guidance.
  • Company anticipates lower TiO2 volumes in Q4 and expects Adjusted EBITDA to be between $120-135 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$804M

Previous: $662M+21.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.13

Previous: -$0.08-62.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$101M

Previous: -$54M-87.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$25M

Previous: -$14M-78.6%
Net Income

-$25M

Previous: -$14M-78.6%
Operating Income

$54M

Previous: $32M+68.8%
Gross Profit

$128M

Previous: $94M+36.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$167M

Previous: $246M-32.1%
Total Assets

$6.19B

Previous: $6.04B+2.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Tronox · Revenue · Quarterly

$804M

Q3 2024+21.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tronox · $662M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • TiO2
    $558M-17.1%
  • Other products
    $71M
  • Zircon
    $33M-74.2%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter, the company expects TiO2 volumes to decline 10-15% from Q3, zircon demand to be flat to slightly down, and Adjusted EBITDA to be between $120-135 million with margins in the high teens.

Tailwinds

  • Operating rates are expected to remain in the 80% range, driving cost structure improvements.
  • Fixed cost absorption is expected to improve.
  • The company expects to start seeing the benefit of the sale of lower cost tons.
  • The company will continue to evaluate opportunities for additional cost efficiencies.
  • Continued market recovery in the medium and long term will be aided by interest rate cuts, stimulus measures and anti-dumping investigations.

Headwinds

  • North America, Europe and China will experience higher seasonal demand declines.
  • TiO2 volumes are expected to decline 10-15% from the third quarter.
  • Zircon demand is expected to be flat to slightly down compared to the third quarter.
  • Expectations for pricing improvement in the fourth quarter have moderated.
  • Recent unfavorable exchange rate moves will impact results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

30 / 61 earnings

Positive

+33.8%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-20.8%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%+4.3%-13.2%
Q4 2025-10.5%+3.6%+0.9%
Q3 2025-0.6%+9.1%+20.4%
Q1 2025+1.5%-1.8%+5.0%
Q4 2024-11.0%-18.4%-28.0%
Q3 2024-7.5%-9.9%-8.4%
Q2 2024-17.6%-16.8%-13.8%
Q1 2024+12.9%+10.2%+16.6%
Q4 2023+9.8%+12.7%+25.0%
Q3 2023+2.7%+0.5%+20.1%
Q2 2023-4.3%-10.0%-15.6%
Q1 2023-0.4%+7.1%-9.7%
Q4 2022-3.2%-2.9%-19.9%
Q3 2022-6.8%-11.0%+5.4%
Q2 2022-0.6%-4.3%-5.8%
Q1 2022-1.6%-4.6%+1.3%
Q4 2021-6.7%-9.9%-13.1%
Q3 2021-9.1%-5.6%-8.6%
Q2 2021+1.9%-3.0%+19.2%
Q1 2021+0.3%+1.0%+7.0%
Q4 2020-2.9%+7.0%-4.1%
Q3 2020+5.8%+17.1%+37.8%
Q2 2020-2.4%-1.0%+18.5%
Q1 2020-8.4%+3.5%+24.2%
Q4 2019-12.0%-16.7%-30.2%
Q3 2019+2.9%+6.4%+5.3%
Q2 2019-2.3%-6.4%-12.1%
Q1 2019-6.1%-9.3%-8.4%
Q4 2018+2.2%+1.4%+13.7%
Q3 2018+5.2%+3.4%-17.5%
Q2 2018-8.9%-7.7%-12.2%
Q1 2018+1.4%+0.1%+9.1%
Q4 2017+8.3%+9.4%+0.9%
Q3 2017+1.9%+3.5%-24.6%
Q2 2017-1.8%-1.5%+9.9%
Q1 2017-6.2%-4.3%-8.0%
Q4 2016+33.8%+20.7%+15.5%
Q3 2016+3.1%+17.2%+36.0%
Q2 2016+6.9%+19.1%+50.4%
Q1 2016-5.4%
Q4 2015+8.3%
Q3 2015-20.8%
Q2 2015+2.2%
Q1 2015-6.0%
Q4 2014-3.7%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+6.5%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013+14.3%
Q3 2013+0.6%
Q2 2013+2.9%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012-18.6%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q4 2011+2.5%
Q3 2011-8.2%
Q2 2011+5.2%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q4 2010+0.0%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010

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