NYSE$TALO
Talos Energy Inc · Q4 2023 earnings
Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Talos Energy reported solid operational and financial results, achieving production and margins in line with expectations and advancing strategic initiatives.
Talos Energy Inc. announced its Q4 2023 operational and financial results, highlighted by production in line with guidance, the acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy, and successful refinancing efforts. The company delivered 67.7 Mboe/d of oil-weighted production and generated Upstream margins of approximately $42 per barrel of oil equivalent.
- Fourth quarter production was 67.7 MBoe/d, with Upstream margins of approximately $42 per barrel of oil equivalent.
- First production from Lime Rock and Venice projects was achieved ahead of schedule.
- The acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy Inc. was announced for $1.29 billion, expected to close in March 2024.
- Approximately $865 million in 2026 notes were refinanced, extending maturities and reducing interest costs.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Talos Energy · Revenue · Quarterly
$385M
Forward guidance
Talos Energy anticipates significant free cash flow generation and the advancement of key Upstream projects in its 2024 operational and financial plan, along with the integration of QuarterNorth.
Tailwinds
- Production between 87.0 and 93.0 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (“MBoe/d”) (over 70% oil), assuming only nine months of contributions from QuarterNorth.
- Upstream capital expenditures, inclusive of QuarterNorth, of $565 to $595 million, a reduction from Talos standalone 2023 levels.
- Capital allocation framework focused on material debt reduction and investment in key Upstream projects.
- Based on recent strip pricing, Talos is targeting year-end 2024 leverage of 1.0x or less, including acquisition debt incurred offset by targeted debt paydown of approximately $400 million throughout the year from cash flow generation, excluding any potential proceeds from TLCS.
- Expected year-over-year production growth of approximately 35%-40%, while capital expenditures are expected to be less than standalone 2023 levels, resulting in material expected free cash flow generation.
Headwinds
- Production guidance includes known and expected deductions from baseline production of the assets, including only nine assumed months of QuarterNorth contributions (versus twelve months pro forma).
- Production guidance includes expected planned downtime for facility and downstream maintenance, including the HP-1 drydock and Katmai shut-in, among others.
- Production guidance includes expected but unplanned downtime for risking and weather-related events.
- For the first quarter 2024, Talos expects average daily production of 70.0 - 72.0 MBoe/d, which includes the impact of the planned Helix Producer I (“HP-I”) dry-dock shut-in in March 2024 and does not include any contributions from QuarterNorth.
- Talos is expanding its capital raise process to include a full range of strategic alternatives for its TLCS subsidiary and will provide additional updates as available.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023
-0.3%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+3.2%
Avg return
30 days after
47%
18 / 38 earnings
Positive
+19.2%
Q2 2024
Best reaction
-17.0%
Q1 2023
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -1.8% | -7.5% | -5.7% | |
| Q4 2025 | -13.5% | -1.8% | +26.2% | |
| Q3 2025 | +2.4% | +11.5% | +24.0% | |
| Q1 2025 | +4.4% | +14.6% | +11.5% | |
| Q4 2024 | +5.3% | -2.3% | +9.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | +1.2% | -4.6% | -13.4% | |
| Q2 2024 | +19.2% | +18.3% | +7.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | -3.7% | -5.8% | -18.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.2% | +0.3% | +7.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | -9.4% | -8.5% | -20.6% | |
| Q2 2023 | +3.5% | +3.2% | +3.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | -17.0% | -13.2% | +4.4% | |
| Q4 2022 | -11.9% | -7.7% | -18.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | -4.5% | -0.0% | -9.2% | |
| Q2 2022 | +8.3% | +9.6% | +24.1% | |
| Q1 2022 | +1.4% | -10.7% | +20.7% | |
| Q4 2021 | +9.6% | +33.1% | +28.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | -2.9% | -1.7% | -25.5% | |
| Q2 2021 | -6.9% | -2.0% | +15.3% | |
| Q1 2021 | +5.8% | +6.5% | +38.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | +1.8% | +11.3% | -9.8% | |
| Q3 2020 | -4.7% | +9.6% | +58.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | -4.4% | +7.2% | -8.5% | |
| Q1 2020 | +3.4% | +4.2% | +39.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | -10.3% | -1.1% | -7.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | +0.2% | -1.6% | +5.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | +3.7% | +4.8% | +7.2% | |
| Q1 2018 | -1.9% | -3.2% | -22.4% | |
| Q1 2019 | -2.0% | -4.6% | -22.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | +11.8% | +10.5% | +25.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | +11.8% | +12.3% | +28.3% | |
| Q3 2018 | +2.5% | -8.7% | -21.9% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.5% | -8.7% | -21.9% | |
| Q4 2015 | -2.8% | +0.1% | -9.1% | |
| Q4 2017 | -2.8% | +0.1% | -9.1% | |
| Q4 2016 | -2.8% | +0.1% | -9.1% | |
| Q2 2017 | -3.8% | -8.0% | -2.4% | |
| Q2 2018 | -2.9% | -8.0% | -8.1% |
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