NYSE$TALO

Talos Energy Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced third quarter 2022 operational and financial results.

Talos Energy reported a net income of $250.5 million and revenue of $377.1 million for the third quarter of 2022. The company repaid $140.0 million in credit facility borrowings and achieved record liquidity of $806.8 million.

  • Production of 53.0 MBoe/d (67% oil, 75% liquids), inclusive of planned maintenance downtime.
  • Revenue of $377.1 million, driven by realized prices of $90.73 per barrel for oil.
  • Net Income of $250.5 million, or $2.99 Net Income per diluted share.
  • Repaid $140.0 million in credit facility borrowings and achieved record liquidity of $806.8 million and leverage of 0.8x.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$377M

Previous: $291M+29.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.75

Previous: -$0.04+1975.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$210M

Previous: -$212M+0.9%
Free Cash Flow

$40.9M

Previous: -$228M+117.9%
Net Income

$250M

Previous: -$16.7M+1600.6%
Operating Income

$164M

Previous: $92.3M+77.6%
Gross Profit

$377M

Previous: $291M+29.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$64.5M

Previous: $59.4M+8.5%
Total Assets

$2.81B

Previous: $2.79B+1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.31M

Previous: $2.61M+64.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Talos Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$377M

Q3 2022+29.6%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Talos has provided production guidance for the fourth quarter of 2022 as well as an update on guidance related to full year 2022 production, cash operating expenses, general and administrative expenses and capital expenditures (inclusive of plugging and abandonment).

Tailwinds

  • Production for the fourth quarter of 2022 is expected to be 56.0 - 57.0 MBoe/d.
  • Capital Expenditures for the fourth quarter of 2022 is expected to be $170-$180 million, inclusive of plugging and abandonment.
  • The company expects to close our acquisition of EnVen around year end.
  • The transaction adds material scale to our business, both in terms of production and operated infrastructure, while also diversifying our production across a broader asset base.
  • The acquisition lowers Talos’s Scope 1 GHG Emissions Intensity and will be a catalyst to de-classify Talos’s Board of Directors and enhance its independence to better align with shareholder interests.

Headwinds

  • Production for the fourth quarter of 2022 is expected to be inclusive of the impact of 3.5 - 4.0 MBoe/d of downtime associated with ongoing loop currents, Odyssey pipeline maintenance, unplanned maintenance at the third-party operated Delta House facility, timing of the Bulleit recompletion and lower royalty relief on natural gas production as a result of higher realized prices throughout 2022.
  • Utilizing fourth quarter 2022 production guidance, full year 2022 production is expected to be modestly below the low end of Talos’s original guidance range.
  • Cash operating expenses and General & Administrative expenses for the full year 2022 are expected towards the upper half of the originally guided ranges of $300 - $320 million and $68 - $73 million, respectively.
  • Capital Expenditures for the full year 2022 is expected towards the high end of the originally guided range of $450 - $480 million.
  • Production from one of the Company’s Tornado wells generated increased water volumes during the third quarter primarily as a result of the ongoing sub-surface water flood project in the Phoenix Field.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.2%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

18 / 38 earnings

Positive

+19.2%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-17.0%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-7.5%-5.7%
Q4 2025-13.5%-1.8%+26.2%
Q3 2025+2.4%+11.5%+24.0%
Q1 2025+4.4%+14.6%+11.5%
Q4 2024+5.3%-2.3%+9.6%
Q3 2024+1.2%-4.6%-13.4%
Q2 2024+19.2%+18.3%+7.9%
Q1 2024-3.7%-5.8%-18.6%
Q4 2023-0.2%+0.3%+7.2%
Q3 2023-9.4%-8.5%-20.6%
Q2 2023+3.5%+3.2%+3.3%
Q1 2023-17.0%-13.2%+4.4%
Q4 2022-11.9%-7.7%-18.7%
Q3 2022-4.5%-0.0%-9.2%
Q2 2022+8.3%+9.6%+24.1%
Q1 2022+1.4%-10.7%+20.7%
Q4 2021+9.6%+33.1%+28.9%
Q3 2021-2.9%-1.7%-25.5%
Q2 2021-6.9%-2.0%+15.3%
Q1 2021+5.8%+6.5%+38.7%
Q4 2020+1.8%+11.3%-9.8%
Q3 2020-4.7%+9.6%+58.6%
Q2 2020-4.4%+7.2%-8.5%
Q1 2020+3.4%+4.2%+39.0%
Q4 2019-10.3%-1.1%-7.5%
Q3 2019+0.2%-1.6%+5.3%
Q2 2019+3.7%+4.8%+7.2%
Q1 2018-1.9%-3.2%-22.4%
Q1 2019-2.0%-4.6%-22.9%
Q4 2018+11.8%+10.5%+25.4%
Q1 2017+11.8%+12.3%+28.3%
Q3 2018+2.5%-8.7%-21.9%
Q3 2017+2.5%-8.7%-21.9%
Q4 2015-2.8%+0.1%-9.1%
Q4 2017-2.8%+0.1%-9.1%
Q4 2016-2.8%+0.1%-9.1%
Q2 2017-3.8%-8.0%-2.4%
Q2 2018-2.9%-8.0%-8.1%

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