NYSE$STEM

Stem Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Stem announced Q4 2022 earnings with record revenue and bookings.

Stem reported record Q4 2022 revenue of $156 million, a 194% increase year-over-year. The company also reported record bookings of $458 million and a contracted backlog of $969 million. They are introducing full-year 2023 guidance and reaffirm plan to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in 2H’2023.

  • Record revenue of $156 million, up 194% from Q4 2021.
  • GAAP gross margin increased to 8% from (3)% in Q4 2021.
  • Record bookings of $458 million, up 111% year-over-year.
  • Contracted backlog of $969 million, up from $817 million in Q3 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$155M

Previous: $52.8M+194.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.23

Previous: -$0.23+0.0%
Contracted Backlog

$969M

Previous: $449M+115.8%
Bookings

$458M

Previous: $217M+111.2%
Net Income

-$35M

Previous: -$34.1M-2.6%
Operating Income

-$33.7M

Previous: -$83.1M+59.4%
Gross Profit

$13M

Previous: -$1.6M+912.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$88M

Previous: $748M-88.2%
Total Assets

$1.42B

Previous: $1.19B+19.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.25M

Previous: $5.56M+48.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Stem · Revenue · Quarterly

$155M

Q4 2022+194.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company’s full-year 2023 guidance ranges are as follows: Revenue $550 - $650 million, Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%) 15% - 20%, Adjusted EBITDA $(35) - $(5) million, Bookings $1,400 - $1,600 million, CARR (year-end) $80 - $90 million

Tailwinds

  • Revenue between $550 million and $650 million
  • Non-GAAP Gross Margin between 15% and 20%
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $(35) million and $(5) million
  • Bookings between $1,400 million and $1,600 million
  • CARR (year-end) between $80 million and $90 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

13 / 25 earnings

Positive

+30.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-40.5%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.1%-14.6%-28.0%
Q4 2025+21.2%+8.1%-13.8%
Q3 2025-28.0%-23.5%-25.1%
Q1 2025+30.3%+21.2%+17.8%
Q4 2024+13.1%-13.0%-24.6%
Q3 2024-30.2%-22.4%-27.5%
Q2 2024-40.5%-41.8%-53.9%
Q1 2024-26.5%-30.3%-28.1%
Q4 2023+4.7%-1.6%-14.5%
Q3 2023+10.9%+5.1%-0.3%
Q2 2023+6.1%+4.1%-21.3%
Q1 2023+11.5%+6.0%+36.1%
Q4 2022-19.0%-20.5%-36.5%
Q3 2022+1.5%-1.1%-0.3%
Q2 2022+23.9%+25.7%+21.5%
Q1 2022+6.5%-15.9%+6.8%
Q4 2021-10.2%-4.9%+11.0%
Q3 2021-0.7%-0.2%-20.7%
Q2 2020-14.5%-20.1%-20.9%
Q2 2021-14.5%-20.1%-20.9%
Q1 2021+6.9%+22.5%+77.1%
Q1 2020+6.9%+22.5%+77.1%
Q4 2020-12.0%-5.2%-3.8%
Q3 2020+0.0%+2.6%+76.9%
Q4 2019+0.0%+2.6%+76.9%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014

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