NYSE$SRI

Stoneridge Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Stoneridge reported full-year results, announced additional OEM MirrorEye awards, and authorized additional share repurchase.

Stoneridge announced full-year 2019 results, with sales of $834.3 million and EPS of $2.13. Adjusted sales were $830.1 million and adjusted EPS was $1.47. The company also announced two additional OEM MirrorEye awards with $50 million peak annual revenue and an additional $50 million share repurchase authorization.

  • Experienced a challenging fourth quarter primarily due to non-recurring events.
  • Accelerated transformation by rationalizing product portfolio and optimizing manufacturing footprint.
  • Invested in significant new programs to drive long-term profitable growth.
  • Awarded three additional MirrorEye OEM programs, including the largest single program in Company history.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$190M

Previous: $211M-9.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $0.47-40.4%
Capital Expenditures

$7.77M

Previous: $6.21M+25.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$3.79M

Previous: $26.9M-114.1%
Net Income

$4.21M

Previous: $12.1M-65.1%
Operating Income

$1.07M

Previous: $12.7M-91.5%
Gross Profit

$44.2M

Previous: $58M-23.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$69.4M

Previous: $81.1M-14.4%
Total Assets

$602M

Previous: $560M+7.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.49M

Previous: $1.42M+5.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Stoneridge · Revenue · Quarterly

$190M

Q4 2019-9.7%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Stoneridge · $161M total across 2 segments · Q1 2026

  • Electronics
    $145M
  • Stoneridge Brazil
    $16M

Forward guidance

The Company announced 2020 sales guidance of $750.0 - $770.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expecting reduced 2020 revenue relative to 2019 excluding the impact of divested product lines, with midpoint revenue guidance of $760.0 million driven primarily by reduced end market production forecasts and the continued ramp-down of our legacy shift-by-wire programs.
  • Included a modest amount of MirrorEye retrofit revenue in guidance and will continue to evaluate assumptions as the year progresses.
  • 2020 revenue guidance considers the fact that divested product lines contributed approximately $37.4 million to sales in 2019.
  • Expect that the impact of new program launches will drive significant growth in 2021 and have updated our 2021 targeted revenue to reflect a growth rate of approximately 12% relative to 2020 guidance.
  • Expecting $8 to $12 million of incremental operational improvements

Headwinds

  • Expecting reduced 2020 revenue relative to 2019 excluding the impact of divested product lines, with midpoint revenue guidance of $760.0 million driven primarily by reduced end market production forecasts and the continued ramp-down of our legacy shift-by-wire programs.
  • Expecting on-going investment in resources to support multiple future program launches and continued new product development.
  • Anticipate effective tax rate in 2020 to be 20% to 25% compared to 8.4% in 2019 which reduces EPS by approximately $0.23 based on the midpoint of our guided tax rate.
  • Experienced a challenging fourth quarter primarily as a result of non-recurring events, such as the General Motors strike and incremental facility closure costs, as well as inefficiencies in one of our plants.
  • Headwinds in commercial vehicle end-markets will temper revenue growth in 2020 before the ramp-up of several large programs at the end of the year and into 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

37 / 66 earnings

Positive

+20.7%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-26.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.6%-3.9%
Q4 2025-22.8%-26.5%-26.1%
Q3 2025-3.8%-4.5%-19.1%
Q2 2025+9.2%+2.4%+9.5%
Q1 2025+7.5%+13.7%+30.1%
Q4 2024+20.7%+27.4%+10.2%
Q3 2024-26.0%-26.0%-27.4%
Q2 2024+7.9%-7.4%-13.4%
Q1 2024-1.2%+6.1%+5.9%
Q4 2023-5.6%-10.7%-0.9%
Q3 2023+2.0%+0.7%+3.0%
Q2 2023+12.8%+17.5%+1.1%
Q1 2023-11.4%-13.6%-7.8%
Q4 2022-11.5%-15.7%-21.5%
Q3 2022+9.4%+18.7%+16.5%
Q2 2022-2.0%+1.1%-1.1%
Q1 2022+1.4%-11.7%+14.8%
Q4 2021+9.3%+11.2%+19.0%
Q3 2021-7.2%-6.6%+2.9%
Q2 2021-11.2%-7.8%-17.2%
Q1 2021+2.9%-1.7%-9.2%
Q4 2020+8.2%+10.8%+11.8%
Q3 2020+6.5%+1.1%+20.4%
Q2 2020-3.3%-3.5%-3.5%
Q1 2020-5.4%-5.9%+23.8%
Q4 2019-16.9%-22.2%-42.1%
Q3 2019-7.7%-9.5%-9.9%
Q2 2019-7.5%-7.2%-8.1%
Q1 2019-2.3%-2.4%-17.2%
Q4 2018+5.3%+7.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+10.4%+12.2%+20.5%
Q2 2018+2.4%-7.7%-12.0%
Q1 2018+2.7%+5.7%+21.3%
Q4 2017+2.1%+5.5%+23.4%
Q3 2017-5.1%-2.7%-3.8%
Q2 2017+11.0%+11.1%+9.6%
Q1 2017-8.0%-9.7%-20.9%
Q4 2016+5.3%+4.2%+0.5%
Q3 2016-20.2%-20.1%-12.2%
Q2 2016-0.3%+1.0%+1.7%
Q1 2016+5.4%
Q4 2015+11.0%
Q3 2015+2.3%
Q2 2015+17.2%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+2.5%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-5.2%
Q1 2014-6.2%
Q4 2013+4.2%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013+9.0%
Q1 2013+15.1%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011+7.9%
Q2 2012+7.9%
Q1 2011-5.7%
Q1 2012+2.2%
Q4 2009+5.2%
Q3 2010+2.8%
Q3 2011+2.8%
Q2 2011-22.1%
Q2 2010-22.1%
Q4 2010-22.1%
Q1 2010+20.3%

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