NYSE$SRI

Stoneridge Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Stoneridge's Q3 2020 results showed strong execution, with EPS of $0.25 and adjusted EPS of $0.18, driven by top-line growth exceeding expectations due to strong recovery across global end markets.

Stoneridge reported strong Q3 2020 results with sales of $175.8 million and EPS of $0.25. The company experienced top-line growth exceeding expectations due to strong recovery across global end markets, resulting in improved gross and operating margins.

  • Experienced top-line growth that exceeded expectations due to strong recovery across global end markets.
  • Improved gross and operating margins, resulting in an adjusted contribution margin of 35.8% relative to the second quarter.
  • Took several steps forward in the continued commercialization of MirrorEye®, including a pre-wire option with Daimler Trucks North America.
  • Expect continued ramp-up of MirrorEye® retrofit orders and pursuing pre-wire relationships with other OEMs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$176M

Previous: $203M-13.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.18

Previous: $0.37-51.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.78M

Previous: -$10.6M+45.3%
Free Cash Flow

$934K

Previous: -$3.91M+123.9%
Net Income

$6.71M

Previous: $6.66M+0.8%
Operating Income

$9.83M

Previous: $9.32M+5.4%
Gross Profit

$46M

Previous: $51.9M-11.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$68.3M

Previous: $55.3M+23.6%
Total Assets

$582M

Previous: $594M-2.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.43M

Previous: $1.11M+29.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Stoneridge · Revenue · Quarterly

$176M

Q3 2020-13.6%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Stoneridge · $184M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Control Devices
    $101M
  • Electronics
    $70.4M
  • Stoneridge Brazil
    $12.8M

Forward guidance

The company expects fourth quarter revenue to decline slightly relative to the third quarter, with adjusted earnings per share to a range of ($0.05) to $0.05. For 2021, the company expects revenue to exceed $715 million, an increase of at least 20% adjusted for the discontinued soot sensor business.

Tailwinds

  • Continued recovery with production forecasts implying 13.5% growth in weighted-average end markets.
  • New program launches are expected to create significant growth opportunities for the Company in 2021 and beyond.
  • Production forecast tailwinds based on current market conditions.
  • Continued ramp-up of MirrorEye® retrofit programs.
  • Launch of several new programs in 2021.

Headwinds

  • Expect fourth quarter revenue to decline slightly relative to the third quarter based on the continued stabilization of global production, offset by historical seasonality in Control Devices.
  • Anticipate incremental expenses due to the reinstatement of certain wage and benefit programs and the normalization of other operating expenses.
  • Expect incremental D&D expenses to continue to support launches of large programs in 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

37 / 66 earnings

Positive

+20.7%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-26.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.6%-3.9%
Q4 2025-22.8%-26.5%-26.1%
Q3 2025-3.8%-4.5%-19.1%
Q2 2025+9.2%+2.4%+9.5%
Q1 2025+7.5%+13.7%+30.1%
Q4 2024+20.7%+27.4%+10.2%
Q3 2024-26.0%-26.0%-27.4%
Q2 2024+7.9%-7.4%-13.4%
Q1 2024-1.2%+6.1%+5.9%
Q4 2023-5.6%-10.7%-0.9%
Q3 2023+2.0%+0.7%+3.0%
Q2 2023+12.8%+17.5%+1.1%
Q1 2023-11.4%-13.6%-7.8%
Q4 2022-11.5%-15.7%-21.5%
Q3 2022+9.4%+18.7%+16.5%
Q2 2022-2.0%+1.1%-1.1%
Q1 2022+1.4%-11.7%+14.8%
Q4 2021+9.3%+11.2%+19.0%
Q3 2021-7.2%-6.6%+2.9%
Q2 2021-11.2%-7.8%-17.2%
Q1 2021+2.9%-1.7%-9.2%
Q4 2020+8.2%+10.8%+11.8%
Q3 2020+6.5%+1.1%+20.4%
Q2 2020-3.3%-3.5%-3.5%
Q1 2020-5.4%-5.9%+23.8%
Q4 2019-16.9%-22.2%-42.1%
Q3 2019-7.7%-9.5%-9.9%
Q2 2019-7.5%-7.2%-8.1%
Q1 2019-2.3%-2.4%-17.2%
Q4 2018+5.3%+7.0%+2.8%
Q3 2018+10.4%+12.2%+20.5%
Q2 2018+2.4%-7.7%-12.0%
Q1 2018+2.7%+5.7%+21.3%
Q4 2017+2.1%+5.5%+23.4%
Q3 2017-5.1%-2.7%-3.8%
Q2 2017+11.0%+11.1%+9.6%
Q1 2017-8.0%-9.7%-20.9%
Q4 2016+5.3%+4.2%+0.5%
Q3 2016-20.2%-20.1%-12.2%
Q2 2016-0.3%+1.0%+1.7%
Q1 2016+5.4%
Q4 2015+11.0%
Q3 2015+2.3%
Q2 2015+17.2%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+2.5%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-5.2%
Q1 2014-6.2%
Q4 2013+4.2%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013+9.0%
Q1 2013+15.1%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011+7.9%
Q2 2012+7.9%
Q1 2011-5.7%
Q1 2012+2.2%
Q4 2009+5.2%
Q3 2010+2.8%
Q3 2011+2.8%
Q2 2011-22.1%
Q2 2010-22.1%
Q4 2010-22.1%
Q1 2010+20.3%

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