NYSE$PSX

Phillips 66 · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Phillips 66 reported strong Q4 2021 earnings driven by improved Refining profitability and record earnings in Midstream, Chemicals, and Marketing and Specialties.

Phillips 66 reported fourth-quarter earnings of $1.3 billion, or $2.88 per share. Adjusted earnings were also $1.3 billion, or $2.94 per share. The company generated $1.8 billion of operating cash flow and approved a 2022 capital program of $1.9 billion. They also began operations of the C2G Pipeline and increased the quarterly dividend to 92 cents per share.

  • Reported fourth-quarter earnings of $1.3 billion or $2.88 per share; adjusted earnings of $1.3 billion or $2.94 per share
  • Generated $1.8 billion of operating cash flow; $1.4 billion excluding working capital
  • Approved 2022 capital program of $1.9 billion
  • Began operations of C2G Pipeline and increased quarterly dividend to 92 cents per share

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$33.6B

Previous: $16.8B+100.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.94

Previous: -$1.16+353.4%
Crude capacity utilization

90.0%

Previous: 101.0%-10.9%
Net Income

$1.27B

Previous: -$539M+336.2%
Gross Profit

$2.79B

Previous: $901M+209.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.1B

Previous: $2.5B+24.0%
Total Assets

$56B

Previous: $55B+1.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Phillips 66 · Revenue · Quarterly

$33.6B

Q4 2021+100.2%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Phillips 66 is optimistic on economic recovery and the outlook for its businesses. The company advanced major projects across its portfolio, including the C2G Pipeline, Frac 4 at the Sweeny Hub, and the Rodeo Renewed project.

Tailwinds

  • Completion of Frac 4 at the Sweeny Hub is expected in the fourth quarter of 2022, adding 150,000 BPD of capacity.
  • CPChem is growing its normal alpha olefins business with a second world-scale unit to produce 1-hexene, expected startup in 2023.
  • Expanding CPChem’s propylene splitting capacity by 1 billion pounds per year with a new unit, expected startup in 2023.
  • Rodeo Renewed refinery conversion project is expected to be finished in early 2024, with over 50,000 BPD of renewable fuel production capacity.
  • Phillips 66 is exploring additional opportunities to invest in hydrogen and electric vehicle charging to support European low-carbon goals.

Headwinds

  • The continuing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and its negative impact on commercial activity and demand for refined petroleum products
  • The inability to timely obtain or maintain permits necessary for capital projects
  • Changes to worldwide government policies relating to renewable fuels and greenhouse gas emissions
  • Fluctuations in NGL, crude oil, and natural gas prices, and petrochemical and refining margins
  • Unexpected changes in costs for constructing, modifying or operating our facilities

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

30 / 61 earnings

Positive

+6.0%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-7.9%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.4%+8.1%+6.5%
Q4 2025+5.4%+6.4%+12.1%
Q3 2025+3.5%+3.2%+2.5%
Q2 2025+0.1%-0.3%+6.7%
Q1 2025-0.7%-0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2024-2.5%+2.1%+7.3%
Q3 2024-5.3%-6.9%+3.5%
Q2 2024+3.6%-4.7%-2.8%
Q1 2024-3.6%-10.8%-9.3%
Q4 2023+2.2%+3.4%+1.3%
Q3 2023+2.1%+5.4%+7.7%
Q2 2023-1.5%-0.6%+4.5%
Q1 2023-2.6%-0.8%+2.4%
Q4 2022-7.9%-7.2%-0.6%
Q3 2022-1.0%-0.8%+3.6%
Q2 2022-0.6%-2.8%+4.7%
Q1 2022+2.3%+10.3%+16.6%
Q4 2021-1.2%+2.2%-1.3%
Q3 2021+1.8%+2.9%-9.8%
Q2 2021-2.5%+0.7%-4.8%
Q1 2021+3.5%+4.8%+3.8%
Q4 2020-5.7%-0.2%+16.2%
Q3 2020+4.3%+4.2%+41.9%
Q2 2020-3.1%-1.8%-2.1%
Q1 2020+0.4%-1.7%+7.0%
Q4 2019-7.7%-3.9%-22.4%
Q3 2019+6.0%+5.3%+5.4%
Q2 2019+1.2%+1.0%-6.3%
Q1 2019-3.7%-6.1%-13.9%
Q4 2018+2.7%+4.8%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.0%+4.4%-9.6%
Q2 2018+5.3%+6.0%+2.8%
Q1 2018-1.1%+1.8%+2.7%
Q4 2017-5.6%-5.2%-9.4%
Q3 2017-0.2%+1.2%+2.7%
Q2 2017+3.5%+2.2%+0.1%
Q1 2017+1.9%+2.0%-0.8%
Q4 2016-2.4%-2.7%-3.3%
Q3 2016+1.5%-2.1%+6.1%
Q2 2016-2.6%+3.2%+3.1%
Q1 2016-6.4%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q3 2015+4.8%
Q2 2015-0.6%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014+2.9%
Q3 2014-0.2%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014+0.4%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+3.5%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2011-2.0%
Q3 2012-0.3%
Q2 2011+4.6%
Q2 2012+1.9%
Q4 2011-1.3%
Q1 2012-6.0%
Q1 2011

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