NYSE$PSX

Phillips 66 · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a loss impacted by severe winter storms and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

Phillips 66 reported a first-quarter 2021 loss of $654 million, or $1.49 per share, compared to a loss of $539 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The adjusted loss was $509 million, or $1.16 per share, compared to an adjusted loss of $507 million in the fourth quarter. The company's financial and operating performance was impacted by severe winter storms, resulting in lower utilization and higher costs across its businesses.

  • First-quarter results reflected the impact of severe winter storms and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Renewable diesel production commenced at the San Francisco Refinery.
  • The South Texas Gateway Terminal was completed, and construction of the C2G Pipeline advanced.
  • A disciplined approach to capital allocation was maintained, including debt repayment.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$21.6B

Previous: $20.9B+3.6%
EPS (adj)

-$1.16

Previous: $1.02-213.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$654M

Previous: -$2.5B+73.8%
Net Income

-$654M

Previous: -$2.5B+73.8%
Operating Income

-$22.1B

Previous: -$23.1B+4.6%
Gross Profit

$1.56B

Previous: $2.44B-35.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.35B

Previous: $1.22B+10.6%
Total Assets

$55.5B

Previous: $53.5B+3.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Phillips 66 · Revenue · Quarterly

$21.6B

Q1 2021+3.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Phillips 66 plans to resume construction of the fourth fractionator in the second half of 2021 and expects a final investment decision for its U.S. Gulf Coast project in 2022.

Tailwinds

  • The South Texas Gateway Terminal commissioned additional storage capacity.
  • Construction of the C2G Pipeline continued.
  • Plans to resume construction of the fourth fractionator in the second half of 2021.
  • CPChem is advancing optimization and debottlenecking opportunities.
  • Phillips 66 is advancing its plans at the San Francisco Refinery to meet the growing demand for renewable fuels.

Headwinds

  • Continuing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and its negative impact on commercial activity and demand for refined petroleum products
  • The inability to timely obtain or maintain permits necessary for capital projects
  • Changes to worldwide government policies relating to renewable fuels and greenhouse gas emissions that adversely affect programs like the renewable fuel standards program, low carbon fuel standards and tax credits for biofuels
  • Fluctuations in NGL, crude oil, and natural gas prices, and petrochemical and refining margins
  • Unexpected changes in costs for constructing, modifying or operating our facilities

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

30 / 61 earnings

Positive

+6.0%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-7.9%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.4%+8.1%+6.5%
Q4 2025+5.4%+6.4%+12.1%
Q3 2025+3.5%+3.2%+2.5%
Q2 2025+0.1%-0.3%+6.7%
Q1 2025-0.7%-0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2024-2.5%+2.1%+7.3%
Q3 2024-5.3%-6.9%+3.5%
Q2 2024+3.6%-4.7%-2.8%
Q1 2024-3.6%-10.8%-9.3%
Q4 2023+2.2%+3.4%+1.3%
Q3 2023+2.1%+5.4%+7.7%
Q2 2023-1.5%-0.6%+4.5%
Q1 2023-2.6%-0.8%+2.4%
Q4 2022-7.9%-7.2%-0.6%
Q3 2022-1.0%-0.8%+3.6%
Q2 2022-0.6%-2.8%+4.7%
Q1 2022+2.3%+10.3%+16.6%
Q4 2021-1.2%+2.2%-1.3%
Q3 2021+1.8%+2.9%-9.8%
Q2 2021-2.5%+0.7%-4.8%
Q1 2021+3.5%+4.8%+3.8%
Q4 2020-5.7%-0.2%+16.2%
Q3 2020+4.3%+4.2%+41.9%
Q2 2020-3.1%-1.8%-2.1%
Q1 2020+0.4%-1.7%+7.0%
Q4 2019-7.7%-3.9%-22.4%
Q3 2019+6.0%+5.3%+5.4%
Q2 2019+1.2%+1.0%-6.3%
Q1 2019-3.7%-6.1%-13.9%
Q4 2018+2.7%+4.8%+2.8%
Q3 2018+0.0%+4.4%-9.6%
Q2 2018+5.3%+6.0%+2.8%
Q1 2018-1.1%+1.8%+2.7%
Q4 2017-5.6%-5.2%-9.4%
Q3 2017-0.2%+1.2%+2.7%
Q2 2017+3.5%+2.2%+0.1%
Q1 2017+1.9%+2.0%-0.8%
Q4 2016-2.4%-2.7%-3.3%
Q3 2016+1.5%-2.1%+6.1%
Q2 2016-2.6%+3.2%+3.1%
Q1 2016-6.4%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q3 2015+4.8%
Q2 2015-0.6%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014+2.9%
Q3 2014-0.2%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014+0.4%
Q4 2013-2.0%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+3.5%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2010-1.5%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2011-2.0%
Q3 2012-0.3%
Q2 2011+4.6%
Q2 2012+1.9%
Q4 2011-1.3%
Q1 2012-6.0%
Q1 2011

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