NYSE$PMT

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PennyMac reported net income attributable to common shareholders of $31.9 million for the second quarter of 2021.

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust reported net income attributable to common shareholders of $31.9 million, or $0.32 per common share on a diluted basis, for the second quarter of 2021, on net investment income of $121.6 million.

  • Net income attributable to common shareholders was $31.9 million, down from $65.4 million in the prior quarter.
  • Correspondent segment results and performance of government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) credit risk transfer (CRT) investments were strong.
  • Mortgage servicing rights (MSR) fair value declines were partially offset by fair value gains on interest rate hedges and Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS).
  • Book value per common share decreased to $20.77 at June 30, 2021 from $20.90 at March 31, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

-$35.5M

Previous: -$20.2M-75.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.32

Previous: $4.51-92.9%
Free Cash Flow

$38.1M

Previous: $465M-91.8%
Net Income

$38.1M

Previous: $465M-91.8%
Operating Income

-$147M

Previous: -$114M-29.0%
Gross Profit

-$35.5M

Previous: -$20.2M-75.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$68.6M

Previous: $346M-80.2%
Total Assets

$13.6B

Previous: $9.08B+49.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.01M

Previous: $868K+16.4%

Revenue & EPS history

PennyMac · Revenue · Quarterly

-$35.5M

Q2 2021+75.5%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 3 of 16 quarters(19%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PennyMac · $122M total across 4 segments · Q2 2021

  • Credit Sensitive Strategies
    $82.7M-82.0%
  • Correspondent Production
    $82.2M-58.4%
  • Corporate
    $710K
  • Interest Rate Sensitive Strategies
    -$44M+56.2%

Forward guidance

While the recent decline in interest rates combined with FHFA’s elimination of the Adverse Market Refinance Fee is expected to have a mark-to-market impact on PMT’s MSR value, these factors have meaningfully increased the population of loans that would benefit from a refinance. The continuation of this vibrant origination market combined with PMT’s high-quality interest rate sensitive and credit investments support PMT’s ability to continue delivering strong risk-adjusted returns to its shareholders.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

28 / 66 earnings

Positive

+16.4%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-14.3%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.1%-11.3%-16.2%
Q4 2025-10.8%-8.4%-9.3%
Q3 2025+8.4%+7.7%+8.3%
Q2 2025-0.2%-0.1%+0.6%
Q1 2025-6.9%-4.5%-7.5%
Q4 2024+5.5%+5.1%+13.7%
Q3 2024-2.1%-1.5%-3.4%
Q2 2024-8.1%-5.1%-5.4%
Q1 2024+1.7%+0.7%-2.4%
Q4 2023-2.6%-4.1%-0.4%
Q3 2023+16.4%+19.9%+30.5%
Q2 2023-10.1%-11.5%-10.1%
Q1 2023+7.3%+1.7%-1.2%
Q4 2022-3.1%-6.7%-14.7%
Q3 2022+10.6%+8.7%+21.1%
Q2 2022-2.4%-0.2%-8.3%
Q1 2022-3.0%-3.9%+0.7%
Q4 2021-6.2%-4.0%-9.3%
Q3 2021-4.2%-6.6%-11.2%
Q2 2021-1.3%-3.6%+0.2%
Q1 2021-1.6%-5.2%-1.0%
Q4 2020+1.9%+0.3%+2.4%
Q3 2020+0.3%+7.7%+15.7%
Q2 2020-8.2%-5.2%-12.5%
Q1 2020+3.7%-5.9%+49.8%
Q4 2019+0.0%-1.2%-9.0%
Q3 2019+1.0%-0.9%+1.4%
Q2 2019-0.4%-1.2%-1.2%
Q1 2019+2.3%-0.9%-1.0%
Q4 2018+4.5%+0.6%+0.1%
Q3 2018+5.8%+6.2%+9.0%
Q2 2018+3.9%+2.8%+4.6%
Q1 2018+4.2%+2.9%+6.7%
Q4 2017+4.4%+5.5%+8.9%
Q3 2017-6.2%-7.6%-3.0%
Q2 2017-3.1%-1.2%-1.8%
Q1 2017-1.0%-2.7%+0.5%
Q4 2016-2.6%-2.2%-0.9%
Q3 2016+6.0%+8.7%+8.1%
Q2 2016-9.0%-6.3%-5.5%
Q1 2016+4.6%
Q4 2015-14.3%
Q3 2015+3.5%
Q2 2015-6.9%
Q1 2015-10.2%
Q4 2014-6.6%
Q3 2014-0.2%
Q2 2014+4.0%
Q1 2014-6.7%
Q4 2013-0.3%
Q3 2013-4.5%
Q2 2013+4.0%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q4 2012-2.7%
Q3 2012+0.6%
Q2 2012+0.6%
Q1 2011+3.7%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q3 2011-0.4%
Q3 2010-0.4%
Q2 2010-4.1%
Q2 2011-4.1%
Q4 2010-4.1%
Q1 2010+2.8%

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