NYSE$PFSI

PennyMac Financial Services Inc. · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PennyMac Financial demonstrated strong performance in Q3 2023, driven by its balanced business model and growth in the servicing segment.

PennyMac Financial Services reported a net income of $92.9 million, or $1.77 per share, on revenue of $400.3 million. The company's book value per share increased to $71.56. The servicing portfolio grew, approaching $600 billion in unpaid principal balance.

  • Returned to a double-digit annualized return on equity.
  • Demonstrated the earnings power of balanced business model.
  • Servicing portfolio provides strong profitability with operational efficiency and scale.
  • Continued gaining market share driven by superior execution in correspondent channel and growth in broker-direct lending.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$12.6M

Previous: $3.27M+284.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.77

Previous: $2.46-28.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$891K

Previous: -$5.6M+84.1%
Free Cash Flow

$92M

Previous: $130M-29.0%
Net Income

$92.9M

Previous: $135M-31.3%
Operating Income

-$271M

Previous: -$301M+10.0%
Gross Profit

$12.6M

Previous: $3.27M+284.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.18B

Previous: $1.56B-24.5%
Total Assets

$18.9B

Previous: $16.4B+15.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.81M

Previous: $6.47M+36.3%

Revenue & EPS history

PennyMac · Revenue · Quarterly

$12.6M

Q3 2023+284.3%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 0 of 15 quarters(0%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PennyMac · $392M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Servicing Segment
    $217M-18.5%
  • Production Segment
    $174M-12.6%

Forward guidance

Management expects interest rates to stay higher for longer, which should benefit the servicing portfolio's profitability due to operational efficiency and scale. They anticipate generating increasingly stronger returns over time.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates continued growth in the servicing portfolio.
  • Expects the servicing portfolio to provide strong profitability.
  • Believes operational efficiency and scale will drive returns.
  • Aims to generate increasingly stronger returns over time.
  • Expects strength in production to drive growth.

Headwinds

  • Anticipates challenging mortgage landscape.
  • Expects interest rates to stay higher for longer.
  • Faces potential impacts from interest rate changes.
  • Exposed to risks in real estate market conditions.
  • Subject to continually changing regulations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

23 / 52 earnings

Positive

+19.8%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-33.2%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+0.8%-7.3%
Q4 2025-33.2%-35.8%-38.6%
Q3 2025+6.3%+10.0%+4.4%
Q2 2025-1.3%-2.9%+14.9%
Q1 2025-2.7%-1.7%-1.8%
Q4 2024-8.8%-8.3%-9.7%
Q3 2024-4.7%-3.9%-0.9%
Q2 2024-2.7%+0.7%+0.3%
Q1 2024-7.1%-5.8%-1.6%
Q4 2023+6.9%+2.9%-2.1%
Q3 2023+10.4%+6.7%+22.7%
Q2 2023-6.9%-8.5%-15.6%
Q1 2023-2.4%-6.5%-5.6%
Q4 2022-3.9%-3.9%-8.7%
Q3 2022+16.9%+11.0%+22.4%
Q2 2022+4.1%+1.0%-6.1%
Q1 2022-4.7%-8.2%-3.9%
Q4 2021-0.8%+2.1%-0.9%
Q3 2021+3.0%+2.4%+4.3%
Q2 2021+10.9%+7.6%+5.3%
Q1 2021-5.0%-3.3%+1.4%
Q4 2020+2.8%-1.0%-1.8%
Q3 2020-1.2%-0.5%+5.7%
Q2 2020+3.1%+4.6%+1.1%
Q1 2020+8.1%+1.9%+26.0%
Q4 2019+8.1%+5.0%+4.0%
Q3 2019-1.2%-2.8%+9.3%
Q2 2019+5.3%+8.7%+23.2%
Q1 2019+5.6%+5.7%-4.0%
Q4 2018+4.8%+4.5%+6.4%
Q3 2018-0.4%+4.1%+2.6%
Q2 2018+14.6%+11.2%+10.4%
Q1 2018-6.7%-2.6%-5.2%
Q4 2017+1.2%+3.2%+12.4%
Q3 2017-0.3%+0.3%+14.2%
Q2 2017-3.7%-2.0%-3.4%
Q1 2017-6.7%-5.5%-3.8%
Q4 2016+10.6%+11.8%+5.0%
Q3 2016+4.7%+5.6%+4.4%
Q2 2016+19.8%+20.8%+28.5%
Q1 2016-5.1%
Q4 2015-3.8%
Q3 2015-1.0%
Q2 2015-3.1%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014-4.3%
Q3 2014-3.3%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014+8.6%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013-1.7%
Q2 2013-0.2%
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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