NYSE$OSCR

Oscar Health Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Oscar Health reported strong revenue growth and improved financial performance.

Oscar Health announced positive third quarter results, demonstrating strong revenue growth and improved financial performance. The company is updating its full year 2024 outlook to reflect year-to-date performance and expects to deliver positive adjusted EBITDA and net income profitability this year.

  • Total revenue increased by 68% year-over-year to $2.4 billion, driven by higher membership and rate increases.
  • Medical Loss Ratio increased 80 bps year-over-year to 84.6%, due to modestly higher medical costs.
  • SG&A Expense Ratio improved 360 bps year-over-year to 19.0%, driven by improved fixed cost leverage and variable cost efficiencies.
  • Net loss attributable to Oscar improved by $10.8 million year-over-year to $54.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.42B

Previous: $1.44B+68.3%
EPS

-$0.22

Previous: -$0.29+24.1%
Medical loss ratio

84.6%

Previous: 83.8%+1.0%
SG&A expense ratio

19.0%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

-$11.6M

No prior period
Total membership

1.7M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$7.57M

Previous: -$6.48M-16.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$54.6M

Previous: -$65.4M+16.5%
Net Income

-$54.6M

Previous: -$65.4M+16.5%
Operating Income

-$48.4M

Previous: -$58.2M+16.9%
Gross Profit

$421M

Previous: $280M+50.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.21B

Previous: $1.4B-13.8%
Total Assets

$4.48B

Previous: $3.35B+33.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$29.3M

Previous: $28.8M+1.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Oscar Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.42B

Q3 2024+68.3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Oscar is updating its full year 2024 outlook to reflect year-to-date performance. The Company projects Revenue to be in the $9.2 billion to $9.3 billion range, $200 million above the prior range of $9.0 billion to $9.1 billion, and a lower SG&A Expense Ratio in the range of 19.4% to 19.6%. Additionally, the Company now projects Medical Loss Ratio to be towards the high-end of the prior range of 80.5% to 81.5%, and Adjusted EBITDA to be towards the high-end of the prior range of $160 million to $210 million. The Company also expects to achieve net income profitability this year.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue to be in the $9.2 billion to $9.3 billion range, $200 million above the prior range.
  • SG&A Expense Ratio in the range of 19.4% to 19.6%.
  • Medical Loss Ratio to be towards the high-end of the prior range of 80.5% to 81.5%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA to be towards the high-end of the prior range of $160 million to $210 million.
  • Company expects to achieve net income profitability this year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.5%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

16 / 25 earnings

Positive

+30.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-23.9%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.7%+22.6%+36.6%
Q4 2025+1.7%+6.0%+2.7%
Q3 2025-2.8%-12.8%-1.5%
Q1 2025+30.0%+28.7%+18.0%
Q4 2024+3.1%-3.7%+4.5%
Q3 2024-12.9%-12.8%+0.4%
Q2 2024+7.2%+4.4%-1.4%
Q1 2024+9.3%+14.1%+2.8%
Q4 2023+22.7%+27.5%+7.7%
Q3 2023+23.5%+24.5%+42.0%
Q2 2023+8.6%+1.9%-10.5%
Q1 2023-8.8%-6.6%+17.8%
Q4 2022+21.0%+36.2%-3.9%
Q3 2022-23.9%-4.5%-11.3%
Q2 2022+19.9%+21.1%-3.7%
Q1 2022-8.9%-2.0%-25.0%
Q4 2019+6.3%+2.5%+39.1%
Q4 2021+2.4%+15.6%+21.9%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.3%-12.7%
Q3 2021-23.3%-25.2%-33.0%
Q2 2020-16.4%-11.8%+19.4%
Q2 2021-0.9%-12.0%+17.9%
Q4 2020+15.2%+14.5%+23.1%
Q1 2020+15.2%+14.5%+23.1%
Q1 2021+3.6%+4.2%+14.0%

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