NYSE$OSCR

Oscar Health Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Oscar Health reported strong second quarter results, closing out the best six months in the company's history.

Oscar Health reported strong second quarter results with robust revenue growth, improved operating margin, and strong bottom line performance. The company updated its full year 2024 guidance, projecting revenue to be in the $9.0 billion to $9.1 billion range and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the $160 million to $210 million range.

  • Total Revenue of $2.2 billion, a 46% increase YoY
  • Medical Loss Ratio of 79.0%, a 90 bps improvement YoY
  • SG&A Expense Ratio of 19.6%, a 260 bps improvement YoY
  • Net income attributable to Oscar of $56.2 million, or $0.20 of diluted earnings per share, a $71.7 million improvement YoY

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.22B

Previous: $1.52B+45.9%
EPS

$0.20

Previous: -$0.07+385.7%
Medical loss ratio

79.0%

Previous: 79.9%-1.1%
SG&A expense ratio

19.6%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$104M

No prior period
Total membership

1.6M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$7.56M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$56.2M

Previous: -$15.5M+462.0%
Net Income

$56.2M

Previous: -$15.5M+462.0%
Operating Income

$67.8M

Previous: -$6.53M+1138.6%
Gross Profit

$512M

Previous: $340M+50.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.27B

Previous: $2.32B-2.3%
Total Assets

$5.01B

Previous: $4.56B+9.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$28.7M

Previous: $33.3M-13.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Oscar Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.22B

Q2 2024+45.9%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Oscar is updating its full year 2024 outlook to reflect first half outperformance. The Company projects Revenue to be in the $9.0 billion to $9.1 billion range, $700 million above the prior range of $8.3 billion to $8.4 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the $160 million to $210 million range, $35 million higher than the prior range of $125 million to $175 million. Additionally, the Company now projects a lower SG&A Expense Ratio in the range of 19.75% to 20.25%, and a modestly higher Medical Loss Ratio in the range of 80.5% to 81.5%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue to be in the $9.0 billion to $9.1 billion range
  • Revenue is $700 million above the prior range of $8.3 billion to $8.4 billion
  • Adjusted EBITDA to be in the $160 million to $210 million range
  • Adjusted EBITDA is $35 million higher than the prior range of $125 million to $175 million
  • SG&A Expense Ratio in the range of 19.75% to 20.25%

Headwinds

  • Medical Loss Ratio in the range of 80.5% to 81.5%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.5%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

16 / 25 earnings

Positive

+30.0%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-23.9%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.7%+22.6%+36.6%
Q4 2025+1.7%+6.0%+2.7%
Q3 2025-2.8%-12.8%-1.5%
Q1 2025+30.0%+28.7%+18.0%
Q4 2024+3.1%-3.7%+4.5%
Q3 2024-12.9%-12.8%+0.4%
Q2 2024+7.2%+4.4%-1.4%
Q1 2024+9.3%+14.1%+2.8%
Q4 2023+22.7%+27.5%+7.7%
Q3 2023+23.5%+24.5%+42.0%
Q2 2023+8.6%+1.9%-10.5%
Q1 2023-8.8%-6.6%+17.8%
Q4 2022+21.0%+36.2%-3.9%
Q3 2022-23.9%-4.5%-11.3%
Q2 2022+19.9%+21.1%-3.7%
Q1 2022-8.9%-2.0%-25.0%
Q4 2019+6.3%+2.5%+39.1%
Q4 2021+2.4%+15.6%+21.9%
Q3 2020-2.4%-6.3%-12.7%
Q3 2021-23.3%-25.2%-33.0%
Q2 2020-16.4%-11.8%+19.4%
Q2 2021-0.9%-12.0%+17.9%
Q4 2020+15.2%+14.5%+23.1%
Q1 2020+15.2%+14.5%+23.1%
Q1 2021+3.6%+4.2%+14.0%

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