NYSE$ONT

Montrose Environmental Group Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Montrose Environmental Group reported first quarter 2022 results with revenue increase despite COVID-19 revenue decline and operating segments' Adjusted EBITDA margin accretion.

Montrose Environmental Group's first quarter 2022 total revenue increased by 0.6% to $134.7 million compared to the prior year, driven by organic growth in Water, Renewable Energy, and GHG measurement services, offsetting a decline in CTEH COVID-19-related revenue. The net loss was $7.5 million, improved from $12.9 million in the prior year. The Total Operating Segments Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 17.8%.

  • Total revenue increased by 0.6% to $134.7 million compared to the prior year quarter.
  • Net loss improved to $7.5 million compared to a net loss of $12.9 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Total Operating Segments Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 17.8%, compared to 17.3% in the prior year quarter.
  • The company reiterates its full year 2022 outlook for revenue to be in the range of $520.0 million to $570.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $73.0 million to $78.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$135M

Previous: $134M+0.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.39

Previous: -$0.18-116.7%
Adj EBITDA Margin

12.2%

Previous: 12.6%-3.2%
Leverage Ratio

1.1

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$262K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$18.6M

No prior period
Net Income

-$7.54M

Previous: -$11.6M+35.0%
Operating Income

-$7.64M

Previous: -$8.33M+8.4%
Gross Profit

$46.3M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$93.8M

Previous: $10.6M+781.4%
Total Assets

$790M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$10.4M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Montrose · Revenue · Quarterly

$135M

Q1 2022+0.6%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Montrose · $111M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Remediation and Reuse
    $60.5M
  • Measurement and Analysis
    $50.5M

Forward guidance

The Company reiterates its full year 2022 outlook for revenue to be in the range of $520.0 million to $570.0 million and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $73.0 million to $78.0 million. The Company’s 2022 forecast reflects an expectation of organic growth outperformance relative to the Company’s historical average of 7.0% - 9.0% (excluding CTEH). The 2022 forecast also reflects revenue from CTEH to be elevated versus CTEH's expected $75.0 - $95.0 million revenue run-rate.

Tailwinds

  • Strong organic growth in nearly all business lines, excluding CTEH business.
  • Successfully integrating the highly additive team from Environmental Standards.
  • Optimistic about prospective and accretive acquisitions in our pipeline.
  • Expects organic growth outperformance relative to the Company’s historical average of 7.0% - 9.0% (excluding CTEH).
  • CTEH revenue to be elevated versus CTEH's expected $75.0 - $95.0 million revenue run-rate.

Headwinds

  • CTEH remains elevated due to a continuation of certain COVID-19 pandemic related services which remain difficult to forecast.
  • Outlook does not include any benefit from future acquisitions that have not yet been completed.
  • Cash used in operating activities for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $18.3 million compared to cash used in operating activities of $13.9 million in the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin declined 40 basis points to 12.2% compared to 12.6% in the prior year quarter despite an increase in Total Operating Segments Adjusted EBITDA margin to 17.8%, compared to 17.3% in the prior year quarter, mainly due to investments in corporate infrastructure to enable the next phase of growth.
  • Corporate investments were accelerated given the faster-than-anticipated growth in the business and to support the continued ramp in revenues.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

13 / 27 earnings

Positive

+32.6%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+22.6%+21.4%-9.7%
Q3 2025+5.1%+0.3%+6.8%
Q2 2025+8.1%+20.7%+34.5%
Q1 2025+17.3%+23.6%+42.3%
Q4 2024+32.6%+6.9%-17.4%
Q3 2024-11.3%-18.5%-36.5%
Q1 2024-8.2%-6.9%-5.0%
Q4 2023+15.2%+9.4%+18.7%
Q3 2023+4.8%+4.6%+28.3%
Q2 2023+10.4%+3.9%-6.0%
Q1 2023+15.4%+16.4%+41.7%
Q4 2022-14.0%-26.4%-31.1%
Q3 2022-6.1%+18.7%+7.8%
Q2 2022+0.4%+9.7%+0.7%
Q1 2022-8.7%-9.5%-13.0%
Q4 2021-9.4%+3.2%+19.0%
Q3 2021+2.0%+1.6%-5.9%
Q2 2021+4.8%-3.8%+13.2%
Q1 2021-9.2%-6.6%-9.3%
Q4 2020+6.1%+8.7%+30.5%
Q3 2020-0.5%+11.6%-7.1%
Q3 2019-0.5%+11.6%-7.1%
Q1 2020-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q2 2020-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q1 2019-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q2 2019-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q4 2019-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q2 2013

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