NYSE$ONT

Montrose Environmental Group Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Increased revenue with continued organic revenue growth and improved operating cash flow.

Montrose Environmental Group reported a revenue increase of 2.7% to $139.9 million in Q2 2022 compared to $136.2 million in the prior year quarter. The increase was primarily driven by organic growth in the Measurement and Analysis and Remediation and Reuse segments, partially offset by lower COVID-19-related services provided by CTEH.

  • Revenue increased to $139.9 million with continued organic revenue growth.
  • Operating cash flow increased by $18.1 million over the prior year.
  • The company reiterates its full year 2022 outlook.
  • Adjusted Net Income was $5.4 million, and Adjusted Net Income per Share was $0.04.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$140M

Previous: $136M+2.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: -$0.71+104.2%
Capital Expenditures

$3.24M

Previous: $1.43M+126.2%
Free Cash Flow

$12.1M

Previous: -$4.57M+366.1%
Net Income

-$7.8M

Previous: -$14.5M+46.2%
Operating Income

-$5.75M

Previous: -$7.12M+19.3%
Gross Profit

$49.5M

Previous: $44.1M+12.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$98.4M

No prior period
Total Assets

$788M

Previous: $682M+15.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.9M

Previous: $2.42M+352.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Montrose · Revenue · Quarterly

$140M

Q2 2022+2.7%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Montrose · $111M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Remediation and Reuse
    $60.5M
  • Measurement and Analysis
    $50.5M

Forward guidance

The Company expects revenue to be in the range of $520.0 million to $570.0 million. Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA, under the revised methodology, is expected to be in the range of $68.0 million to $73.0 million for the full year 2022, inclusive of $5.0 million of start-up losses, which is consistent with the Company’s outlook originally provided on February 28, 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Expects revenue to be in the range of $520.0 million to $570.0 million.
  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $68.0 million to $73.0 million.
  • The Company’s 2022 forecast reflects an expectation of organic growth outperformance relative to the Company’s historical average of 7.0% - 9.0% (excluding CTEH).
  • The 2022 forecast also reflects revenue from CTEH to be elevated versus CTEH's expected $75.0 - $95.0 million revenue run-rate.
  • CTEH remains elevated due to a continuation of certain COVID-19 pandemic related services which remain difficult to forecast.

Headwinds

  • The outlook does not include any benefit from future acquisitions that have not yet been completed.
  • The inherent variability in our CTEH response business and the timing of select larger project awards which are ongoing and expanding in scope remain hard to predict and may impact results.
  • With costs, we have seen certain variable expenses such as travel accelerate faster than anticipated in the current inflationary environment
  • Cyberattack in June which temporarily disrupted business
  • Net loss was $(7.8) million, or $(0.40) per share

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

13 / 27 earnings

Positive

+32.6%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+22.6%+21.4%-9.7%
Q3 2025+5.1%+0.3%+6.8%
Q2 2025+8.1%+20.7%+34.5%
Q1 2025+17.3%+23.6%+42.3%
Q4 2024+32.6%+6.9%-17.4%
Q3 2024-11.3%-18.5%-36.5%
Q1 2024-8.2%-6.9%-5.0%
Q4 2023+15.2%+9.4%+18.7%
Q3 2023+4.8%+4.6%+28.3%
Q2 2023+10.4%+3.9%-6.0%
Q1 2023+15.4%+16.4%+41.7%
Q4 2022-14.0%-26.4%-31.1%
Q3 2022-6.1%+18.7%+7.8%
Q2 2022+0.4%+9.7%+0.7%
Q1 2022-8.7%-9.5%-13.0%
Q4 2021-9.4%+3.2%+19.0%
Q3 2021+2.0%+1.6%-5.9%
Q2 2021+4.8%-3.8%+13.2%
Q1 2021-9.2%-6.6%-9.3%
Q4 2020+6.1%+8.7%+30.5%
Q3 2020-0.5%+11.6%-7.1%
Q3 2019-0.5%+11.6%-7.1%
Q1 2020-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q2 2020-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q1 2019-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q2 2019-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q4 2019-2.1%+0.5%-17.3%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q2 2013

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