NYSE$NXRT

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported results for the fourth quarter and full year 2022.

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. reported financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2022, featuring a net income of $3.8 million for the quarter.

  • Completed the sale of Hollister Place for $36.8 million during the fourth quarter.
  • Paid down $260.5 million of principal on its corporate credit facility in Q4 and extended the maturity date to June 30, 2025.
  • Paid a fourth quarter dividend of $0.42 per share of common stock on December 30, 2022, a 10.5% increase over the prior quarter’s dividend.
  • Total revenues were $69.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to $58.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$69.3M

Previous: $58.5M+18.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.75

Previous: $0.69+8.7%
Physical Occupancy

94.1%

Previous: 94.3%-0.2%
Avg Monthly Rent

$1.48K

Previous: $1.26K+17.4%
Net Income

$3.8M

Previous: $38.8M-90.2%
Operating Income

$46.3M

Previous: $64.4M-28.2%
Gross Profit

$41.4M

Previous: $35.7M+15.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$16.8M

Previous: $49.5M-66.1%
Total Assets

$2.23B

Previous: $2.06B+7.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.03M

Previous: $1.79M+13.6%

Revenue & EPS history

NexPoint Residential · Revenue · Quarterly

$69.3M

Q4 2022+18.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NexPoint Residential · $69.6M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Rental Income
    $67.8M
  • Other Income
    $1.76M

Forward guidance

NXRT provided initial 2023 guidance ranges for earnings per diluted share, Core FFO per diluted share, Same Store rental income, Same Store total revenue, Same Store total expenses, Same Store NOI, interest expense and its related components and Acquisitions and Dispositions.

Tailwinds

  • Earnings per diluted share is expected to be between $0.90 and $1.26.
  • Core FFO per diluted share is expected to be between $2.92 and $3.27.
  • Same Store Rental Income is expected to grow between 10.5% and 12.6%.
  • Total Revenue is expected to grow between 9.9% and 11.9%.
  • Total Expenses are expected to grow between 10.3% and 11.2%.

Headwinds

  • Interest Expense on Mortgage Debt is expected to be between $(98.0) million and $(109.5) million.
  • Interest Expense on Revolver is expected to be between $(2.0) million and $(2.2) million.
  • Deferred Financing Cost & Discount Amortization is expected to be $(3.0) million.
  • Mark to Market – Fair Value of Rate Caps is expected to be between $(1.7) million and $4.4 million.
  • Total Interest Expense is expected to be between $(59.3) million and $(62.5) million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

27 / 44 earnings

Positive

+9.7%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-10.2%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%+0.1%+0.7%
Q4 2025-0.2%-5.1%-15.4%
Q3 2025+2.2%+0.4%+4.0%
Q1 2025+2.0%+5.3%-6.5%
Q3 2024-0.7%-5.2%+10.4%
Q2 2024+0.3%+1.6%+8.9%
Q1 2024+2.3%+4.6%+7.5%
Q4 2023-6.5%-5.7%+1.2%
Q3 2023+0.3%+12.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-10.2%-13.7%-21.7%
Q1 2023-5.0%-2.0%-8.0%
Q4 2022+1.1%+0.2%-17.9%
Q3 2022+9.1%+12.8%+14.1%
Q2 2022-1.6%+5.7%-7.4%
Q1 2022+3.7%-0.4%-19.5%
Q4 2021+9.5%+7.8%+12.1%
Q3 2021+2.4%+5.6%+8.8%
Q2 2021-2.7%-3.5%+0.5%
Q1 2021-1.6%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2020-0.2%-2.5%+8.0%
Q3 2020-1.0%+0.2%-2.1%
Q2 2020+7.0%+7.8%+9.7%
Q1 2020+8.4%-2.4%+24.0%
Q4 2019-2.8%-3.4%-28.3%
Q3 2019+3.4%+3.3%+2.1%
Q2 2019+1.0%+3.2%+8.0%
Q1 2019+3.7%+5.9%+8.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%-0.8%-3.5%
Q3 2018+1.7%-4.6%+4.0%
Q2 2018+9.7%+13.2%+16.0%
Q1 2018+1.0%+2.9%+3.5%
Q4 2017-4.3%-2.6%+2.7%
Q3 2017+7.7%+14.7%+20.9%
Q2 2017-4.9%-3.6%-7.1%
Q1 2017+1.1%+0.0%+0.1%
Q4 2016-1.6%+1.0%+7.5%
Q3 2016+3.6%+6.9%+11.7%
Q2 2016+1.9%+3.3%+7.5%
Q1 2016+1.3%
Q4 2015-1.1%
Q3 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q2 2015+5.2%
Q1 2015+1.5%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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