NYSE$NXRT

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023.

NexPoint Residential Trust reported a net loss of $(3.9) million for Q1 2023, with total revenues of $69.2 million. Same Store NOI increased by 9.4%. The company refinanced Venue on Camelback and paid down $17.5 million on its credit facility.

  • Net Loss, FFO, Core FFO and AFFO of $(3.9)M, $19.3M, $18.6M and $21.0M, respectively.
  • Q1 Same Store properties average effective rent, total revenue and NOI increased 13.3%, 11.1% and 9.4%, respectively.
  • Occupancy decreased 30 bps from the prior year period.
  • Weighted average effective monthly rent per unit across all 40 properties was $1,487, while physical occupancy was 94.0%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$69.2M

Previous: $60.8M+13.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.71

Previous: $0.78-9.0%
Physical Occupancy

94.0%

Previous: 94.2%-0.2%
Avg Monthly Rent

$1.49K

Previous: $1.31K+13.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$18M

Previous: -$9.12M-97.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.9M

Previous: -$13.8M-58.9%
Net Income

-$3.88M

Previous: -$4.65M+16.5%
Operating Income

$13.1M

Previous: $5.66M+131.8%
Gross Profit

$56M

Previous: $47.2M+18.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$14.1M

Previous: $99.5M-85.8%
Total Assets

$2.2B

Previous: $2.16B+1.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.97M

Previous: $1.88M+4.7%

Revenue & EPS history

NexPoint Residential · Revenue · Quarterly

$69.2M

Q1 2023+13.9%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NexPoint Residential · $69.6M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Rental Income
    $67.8M
  • Other Income
    $1.76M

Forward guidance

NXRT is updating 2023 guidance ranges for earnings per diluted share, Core FFO per diluted share, Same Store rental income, Same Store total revenue, Same Store total expenses, Same Store NOI, interest expense and its related components, and reaffirming Acquisitions and Dispositions.

Tailwinds

  • Earnings (loss) per diluted share $ 0.86 - $ 1.14
  • Core FFO per diluted share $ 2.92 - $ 3.20
  • Rental Income growth 10.5 % - 12.1 %
  • Total Revenue growth 10.1 % - 11.6 %
  • Same Store NOI growth 9.2 % - 12.8 %

Headwinds

  • Interest Expense on Mortgage Debt $ (100.0 ) - $ (105.1 ) million
  • Interest Expense on Revolver $ (2.5 ) million
  • Deferred Financing Cost & Discount Amortization $ (3.0 ) million
  • Mark to Market – Fair Value of Rate Caps $ (3.5 ) - $ (0.3 ) million
  • Total Interest Expense $ (65.1 ) - $ (63.2 ) million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

27 / 44 earnings

Positive

+9.7%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-10.2%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%+0.1%+0.7%
Q4 2025-0.2%-5.1%-15.4%
Q3 2025+2.2%+0.4%+4.0%
Q1 2025+2.0%+5.3%-6.5%
Q3 2024-0.7%-5.2%+10.4%
Q2 2024+0.3%+1.6%+8.9%
Q1 2024+2.3%+4.6%+7.5%
Q4 2023-6.5%-5.7%+1.2%
Q3 2023+0.3%+12.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-10.2%-13.7%-21.7%
Q1 2023-5.0%-2.0%-8.0%
Q4 2022+1.1%+0.2%-17.9%
Q3 2022+9.1%+12.8%+14.1%
Q2 2022-1.6%+5.7%-7.4%
Q1 2022+3.7%-0.4%-19.5%
Q4 2021+9.5%+7.8%+12.1%
Q3 2021+2.4%+5.6%+8.8%
Q2 2021-2.7%-3.5%+0.5%
Q1 2021-1.6%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2020-0.2%-2.5%+8.0%
Q3 2020-1.0%+0.2%-2.1%
Q2 2020+7.0%+7.8%+9.7%
Q1 2020+8.4%-2.4%+24.0%
Q4 2019-2.8%-3.4%-28.3%
Q3 2019+3.4%+3.3%+2.1%
Q2 2019+1.0%+3.2%+8.0%
Q1 2019+3.7%+5.9%+8.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%-0.8%-3.5%
Q3 2018+1.7%-4.6%+4.0%
Q2 2018+9.7%+13.2%+16.0%
Q1 2018+1.0%+2.9%+3.5%
Q4 2017-4.3%-2.6%+2.7%
Q3 2017+7.7%+14.7%+20.9%
Q2 2017-4.9%-3.6%-7.1%
Q1 2017+1.1%+0.0%+0.1%
Q4 2016-1.6%+1.0%+7.5%
Q3 2016+3.6%+6.9%+11.7%
Q2 2016+1.9%+3.3%+7.5%
Q1 2016+1.3%
Q4 2015-1.1%
Q3 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q2 2015+5.2%
Q1 2015+1.5%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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