NYSE$NXRT

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported continued strength in operations, boosted quarterly dividend by 10.5%, and announced accretive 19-property refinancing transaction, extending average maturity to ~6.4 years.

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. reported financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2022, with continued strength in operations. The company boosted its quarterly dividend by 10.5% and announced an accretive 19-property refinancing transaction, extending the average maturity to approximately 6.4 years.

  • Net Loss, FFO, Core FFO and AFFO of $(0.6)M, $24.5M, $21.8M and $24.3M, respectively, attributable to common stockholders for the quarter ended September 30, 2022, compared to Net Loss, FFO, Core FFO, and AFFO of $(5.4)M, $16.1M, $16.4M and $18.6M, respectively, attributable to common stockholders for the quarter ended September 30, 2021.
  • For the three months ended September 30, 2022, Q3 Same Store properties average effective rent, total revenue and NOI increased 19.4%, 15.0% and 13.1%, respectively, and occupancy decreased 130 bps over the prior year period.
  • NXRT paid a third quarter dividend of $0.38 per share of common stock on September 30, 2022.
  • On October 24, 2022, the Company’s board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share, an 10.5% increase from the previous dividend per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$68.1M

Previous: $56.4M+20.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.85

Previous: $0.65+30.8%
Physical Occupancy

94.1%

Previous: 95.3%-1.3%
Avg Monthly Rent

$1.45K

Previous: $1.2K+20.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$183M

Previous: -$230M+20.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$183M

Previous: -$235M+22.1%
Net Income

-$597K

Previous: -$5.39M+88.9%
Operating Income

$11M

Previous: $5.56M+97.3%
Gross Profit

$55.7M

Previous: $43.6M+27.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$15.8M

Previous: $18.4M-14.3%
Total Assets

$2.27B

Previous: $2.01B+13.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.01M

Previous: $1.81M+11.1%

Revenue & EPS history

NexPoint Residential · Revenue · Quarterly

$68.1M

Q3 2022+20.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NexPoint Residential · $69.6M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Rental Income
    $67.8M
  • Other Income
    $1.76M

Forward guidance

NXRT is updating 2022 guidance ranges for earnings per diluted share, Core FFO per diluted share, Same Store rental income, Same Store total revenue, Same Store total expenses, Same Store NOI, Acquisitions and Dispositions

Tailwinds

  • Earnings per diluted share: $1.30 - $1.36
  • Core FFO per diluted share: $3.05 - $3.11
  • Same Store Rental Income growth: 13.2% - 13.6%
  • Same Store Total Revenue growth: 12.7% - 13.1%
  • Same Store NOI growth: 14.9% - 16.1%

Headwinds

  • Same Store Total Expenses growth: 9.0% - 9.7%
  • Acquisitions: $143.4 million
  • Dispositions: $0 - $200 million
  • Weighted average diluted share count estimate for full year 2022 is approximately 26.2 million.
  • Actual acquisitions and dispositions could vary significantly from projections.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

27 / 44 earnings

Positive

+9.7%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-10.2%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%+0.1%+0.7%
Q4 2025-0.2%-5.1%-15.4%
Q3 2025+2.2%+0.4%+4.0%
Q1 2025+2.0%+5.3%-6.5%
Q3 2024-0.7%-5.2%+10.4%
Q2 2024+0.3%+1.6%+8.9%
Q1 2024+2.3%+4.6%+7.5%
Q4 2023-6.5%-5.7%+1.2%
Q3 2023+0.3%+12.0%+13.5%
Q2 2023-10.2%-13.7%-21.7%
Q1 2023-5.0%-2.0%-8.0%
Q4 2022+1.1%+0.2%-17.9%
Q3 2022+9.1%+12.8%+14.1%
Q2 2022-1.6%+5.7%-7.4%
Q1 2022+3.7%-0.4%-19.5%
Q4 2021+9.5%+7.8%+12.1%
Q3 2021+2.4%+5.6%+8.8%
Q2 2021-2.7%-3.5%+0.5%
Q1 2021-1.6%-1.1%+1.9%
Q4 2020-0.2%-2.5%+8.0%
Q3 2020-1.0%+0.2%-2.1%
Q2 2020+7.0%+7.8%+9.7%
Q1 2020+8.4%-2.4%+24.0%
Q4 2019-2.8%-3.4%-28.3%
Q3 2019+3.4%+3.3%+2.1%
Q2 2019+1.0%+3.2%+8.0%
Q1 2019+3.7%+5.9%+8.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%-0.8%-3.5%
Q3 2018+1.7%-4.6%+4.0%
Q2 2018+9.7%+13.2%+16.0%
Q1 2018+1.0%+2.9%+3.5%
Q4 2017-4.3%-2.6%+2.7%
Q3 2017+7.7%+14.7%+20.9%
Q2 2017-4.9%-3.6%-7.1%
Q1 2017+1.1%+0.0%+0.1%
Q4 2016-1.6%+1.0%+7.5%
Q3 2016+3.6%+6.9%+11.7%
Q2 2016+1.9%+3.3%+7.5%
Q1 2016+1.3%
Q4 2015-1.1%
Q3 2015+2.9%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q2 2015+5.2%
Q1 2015+1.5%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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